MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1967-10-01. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.9 | 0.0 | 101 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 101.0 | 60.0 | 101-60 | 101-60 | >99.9% | 51.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.1% | ||||||
| 2 | San Francisco Giants | NL | 0.6 | 0.0 | 91 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 71.0 | 91-71 | 91-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 0.3 | 0.0 | 87 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 74.0 | 87-74 | 87-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | -0.1 | 0.0 | 87 | 75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 75.0 | 87-75 | 87-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | 0.6 | 0.0 | 82 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 80.0 | 82-80 | 82-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | -0.1 | 0.0 | 81 | 81 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81.0 | 81-81 | 81-81 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Atlanta Braves | NL | -0.2 | 0.1 | 77 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 85.0 | 77-85 | 77-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 73 | 89 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 89.0 | 73-89 | 73-89 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 9 | Houston Astros | NL | -1.0 | 0.1 | 69 | 93 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 93.0 | 69-93 | 69-93 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 10 | New York Mets | NL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 61 | 101 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.0 | 101.0 | 61-101 | 61-101 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.9 | 0.0 | 92 | 70 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 70.0 | 92-70 | 92-70 | >99.9% | 48.5% | +55.8% | +67.9% | +52.3% | ||||||
| 2 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.6 | 0.0 | 91 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 71.0 | 91-71 | 91-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | -14.4% | -9.2% | -10.7% | ||||||
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | AL | 0.5 | 0.0 | 91 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 71.0 | 91-71 | 91-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | -41.4% | -44.7% | -36.8% | ||||||
| 4 | Chicago White Sox | AL | -0.1 | 0.0 | 89 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.0 | 73.0 | 89-73 | 89-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -14.0% | -4.7% | ||||||
| 5 | California Angels | AL | 0.1 | 0.1 | 84 | 77 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 77.0 | 84-77 | 84-77 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Washington Senators | AL | 0.0 | 0.1 | 76 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 85.0 | 76-85 | 76-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 85.0 | 76-85 | 76-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Cleveland Indians | AL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 75 | 87 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 87.0 | 75-87 | 75-87 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 9 | New York Yankees | AL | -0.7 | 0.1 | 72 | 90 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 72-90 | 72-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 10 | Kansas City Athletics | AL | -0.7 | 62 | 99 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.0 | 99.0 | 62-99 | 62-99 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||


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