MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1968-09-29. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1St. Louis CardinalsNL0.60.097650.00.097.065.097-6597-65>99.9%44.5%0.0%0.0%+0.0%
2San Francisco GiantsNL0.60.088740.00.088.074.088-7488-74<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3Chicago CubsNL0.30.184780.00.084.078.084-7884-78<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Cincinnati RedsNL0.10.183790.00.083.079.083-7983-79<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Atlanta BravesNL-0.20.181810.00.081.081.081-8181-81<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.20.180820.00.080.082.080-8280-82<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia PhilliesNL-0.60.176860.00.076.086.076-8676-86<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Los Angeles DodgersNL-0.40.176860.00.076.086.076-8676-86<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9New York MetsNL-0.40.173890.00.073.089.073-8973-89<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Houston AstrosNL-0.20.172900.00.072.090.072-9072-90<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1Detroit TigersAL1.00.0103590.00.0103.059.0103-59103-59>99.9%55.5%0.0%0.0%+2.2%
2Baltimore OriolesAL0.50.091710.00.091.071.091-7191-71<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-2.2%
3Cleveland IndiansAL-0.20.086750.00.086.075.086-7586-75<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Boston Red SoxAL0.10.086760.00.086.076.086-7686-76<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5New York YankeesAL0.30.083790.00.083.079.083-7983-79<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Oakland AthleticsAL0.10.082800.00.082.080.082-8082-80<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Minnesota TwinsAL0.10.079830.00.079.083.079-8379-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Chicago White SoxAL-0.50.067950.00.067.095.067-9567-95<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9California AngelsAL-0.60.167950.00.067.095.067-9567-95<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Washington SenatorsAL-0.70.165960.00.065.096.065-9665-96<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%