MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1968-09-29. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.6 | 0.0 | 97 | 65 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 65.0 | 97-65 | 97-65 | >99.9% | 44.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.0% | ||||||
| 2 | San Francisco Giants | NL | 0.6 | 0.0 | 88 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 74.0 | 88-74 | 88-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 0.3 | 0.1 | 84 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 78.0 | 84-78 | 84-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.1 | 0.1 | 83 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 79.0 | 83-79 | 83-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Atlanta Braves | NL | -0.2 | 0.1 | 81 | 81 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81.0 | 81-81 | 81-81 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.2 | 0.1 | 80 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 82.0 | 80-82 | 80-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 76 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 86.0 | 76-86 | 76-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 76 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 86.0 | 76-86 | 76-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 9 | New York Mets | NL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 73 | 89 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 89.0 | 73-89 | 73-89 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 10 | Houston Astros | NL | -0.2 | 0.1 | 72 | 90 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 72-90 | 72-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 1.0 | 0.0 | 103 | 59 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 103.0 | 59.0 | 103-59 | 103-59 | >99.9% | 55.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +2.2% | ||||||
| 2 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | 0.5 | 0.0 | 91 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 71.0 | 91-71 | 91-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -2.2% | ||||||
| 3 | Cleveland Indians | AL | -0.2 | 0.0 | 86 | 75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 75.0 | 86-75 | 86-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.1 | 0.0 | 86 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 76.0 | 86-76 | 86-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | New York Yankees | AL | 0.3 | 0.0 | 83 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 79.0 | 83-79 | 83-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Oakland Athletics | AL | 0.1 | 0.0 | 82 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 80.0 | 82-80 | 82-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Minnesota Twins | AL | 0.1 | 0.0 | 79 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 83.0 | 79-83 | 79-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Chicago White Sox | AL | -0.5 | 0.0 | 67 | 95 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 95.0 | 67-95 | 67-95 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 9 | California Angels | AL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 67 | 95 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 95.0 | 67-95 | 67-95 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 10 | Washington Senators | AL | -0.7 | 0.1 | 65 | 96 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 65.0 | 96.0 | 65-96 | 65-96 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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