MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1966-10-02. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | 0.7 | 0.0 | 95 | 67 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 95.0 | 67.0 | 95-67 | 95-67 | >99.9% | 56.6% | 0.0% | +19.6% | +73.7% | ||||||
| 2 | San Francisco Giants | NL | 0.2 | 0.1 | 93 | 68 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 68.0 | 93-68 | 93-68 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -0.2% | -16.3% | ||||||
| 3 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.8 | 0.0 | 92 | 70 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 70.0 | 92-70 | 92-70 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -19.5% | -57.1% | ||||||
| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.1 | 0.1 | 87 | 75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 75.0 | 87-75 | 87-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.3% | ||||||
| 5 | Atlanta Braves | NL | 1.0 | 0.0 | 85 | 77 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 77.0 | 85-77 | 85-77 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -0.1 | 0.1 | 83 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 79.0 | 83-79 | 83-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.0 | 0.1 | 76 | 84 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 84.0 | 76-84 | 76-84 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Houston Astros | NL | -0.8 | 0.1 | 72 | 90 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 90.0 | 71-90 | 71-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 9 | New York Mets | NL | -1.2 | 0.2 | 66 | 95 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 66.0 | 94.0 | 66-94 | 66-94 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 10 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 59 | 103 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 59.0 | 103.0 | 59-103 | 59-103 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | 0.6 | 0.0 | 97 | 63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 63.0 | 97-63 | 97-63 | >99.9% | 43.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.2% | ||||||
| 2 | Minnesota Twins | AL | 0.8 | 0.0 | 89 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.0 | 73.0 | 89-73 | 89-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | ||||||
| 3 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 74.0 | 88-74 | 88-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | ||||||
| 4 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.2 | 0.0 | 83 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 79.0 | 83-79 | 83-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Cleveland Indians | AL | -0.2 | 0.0 | 81 | 81 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81.0 | 81-81 | 81-81 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | California Angels | AL | -0.4 | 0.0 | 80 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 82.0 | 80-82 | 80-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Kansas City Athletics | AL | -0.3 | 0.0 | 74 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 86.0 | 74-86 | 74-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Boston Red Sox | AL | -0.2 | 0.0 | 72 | 90 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 72-90 | 72-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 9 | Washington Senators | AL | -0.5 | 0.1 | 71 | 88 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 88.0 | 71-88 | 71-88 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 10 | New York Yankees | AL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70 | 89 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 89.0 | 70-89 | 70-89 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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