MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1915-10-07. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| FL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | St. Louis Terriers | FL | 0.5 | 87 | 67 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 67.0 | 87-67 | 87-67 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -18.8% | -12.8% | |||||||
| 2 | Pittsburgh Rebels | FL | 0.6 | 86 | 67 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 67.0 | 86-67 | 86-67 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -60.1% | -74.2% | |||||||
| 3 | Chicago Whales | FL | 0.5 | 86 | 66 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 66.0 | 86-66 | 86-66 | >99.9% | <0.1% | 0.0% | +78.9% | +97.0% | |||||||
| 4 | Kansas City Packers | FL | -0.2 | 81 | 72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 72.0 | 81-72 | 81-72 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.4% | |||||||
| 5 | Newark Pepper | FL | 0.3 | 80 | 72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 72.0 | 80-72 | 80-72 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -8.6% | |||||||
| 6 | Buffalo Blues | FL | 0.0 | 74 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 78.0 | 74-78 | 74-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||
| 7 | Brooklyn Tip-Tops | FL | -0.3 | 70 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 82.0 | 70-82 | 70-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||
| 8 | Baltimore Terrapins | FL | -1.3 | 0.0 | 47 | 107 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 107.0 | 47-107 | 47-107 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | 0.7 | 0.0 | 90 | 62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 90.0 | 62.0 | 90-62 | 90-62 | >99.9% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +37.5% | ||||||
| 2 | Boston Braves | NL | 0.3 | 0.0 | 83 | 69 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 69.0 | 83-69 | 83-69 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -8.3% | ||||||
| 3 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | 0.2 | 0.0 | 80 | 72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 72.0 | 80-72 | 80-72 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -28.9% | ||||||
| 4 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 73 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 80.0 | 73-80 | 73-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | ||||||
| 5 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.2 | 0.1 | 73 | 81 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 81.0 | 73-81 | 73-81 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -0.3 | 0.1 | 72 | 81 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 81.0 | 72-81 | 72-81 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | ||||||
| 7 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | -0.2 | 0.1 | 71 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 83.0 | 71-83 | 71-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | New York Giants | NL | -0.3 | 0.1 | 69 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 83.0 | 69-83 | 69-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 1.4 | -0.2 | 101 | 50 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 101.0 | 50.0 | 101-50 | 101-50 | >99.9% | 64.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +28.5% | ||||||
| 2 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 1.0 | -0.2 | 100 | 54 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 54.0 | 100-54 | 100-54 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -28.2% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.9 | -0.2 | 93 | 61 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 61.0 | 93-61 | 93-61 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.3% | ||||||
| 4 | Washington Nationals | AL | 0.5 | -0.2 | 85 | 68 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 68.0 | 85-68 | 85-68 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | New York Yankees | AL | -0.3 | -0.1 | 69 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 83.0 | 69-83 | 69-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -0.5 | 0.1 | 63 | 91 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 63.0 | 91.0 | 63-91 | 63-91 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Cleveland Indians | AL | -0.7 | -0.1 | 57 | 95 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.0 | 95.0 | 57-95 | 57-95 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | -2.4 | 0.1 | 43 | 109 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 109.0 | 43-109 | 43-109 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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