MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1914-10-10. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| FL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Indianapolis Hoosiers | FL | 0.8 | 88 | 65 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 65.0 | 88-65 | 88-65 | >99.9% | <0.1% | 0.0% | +84.3% | +44.0% | |||||||
| 2 | Chicago Chi-Feds | FL | 0.5 | -0.2 | 87 | 67 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 67.0 | 87-67 | 87-67 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -83.9% | -36.5% | ||||||
| 3 | Baltimore Terrapins | FL | 0.2 | -0.1 | 84 | 70 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 70.0 | 84-70 | 84-70 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -0.4% | -1.3% | ||||||
| 4 | Buffalo Buffeds | FL | 0.1 | -0.2 | 80 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 71.0 | 80-71 | 80-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -2.6% | ||||||
| 5 | Brooklyn Tip-Tops | FL | 0.2 | -0.2 | 77 | 77 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 77.0 | 77-77 | 77-77 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -3.6% | ||||||
| 6 | Kansas City Packers | FL | -0.1 | -0.1 | 67 | 84 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 84.0 | 67-84 | 67-84 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Pittsburgh Rebels | FL | -0.8 | 0.0 | 64 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 86.0 | 64-86 | 64-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | St. Louis Terriers | FL | -0.9 | 0.0 | 62 | 89 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.0 | 89.0 | 62-89 | 62-89 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Boston Braves | NL | 1.2 | -0.2 | 94 | 59 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 59.0 | 94-59 | 94-59 | >99.9% | 45.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +30.8% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Giants | NL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 84 | 70 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 70.0 | 84-70 | 84-70 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -27.7% | ||||||
| 3 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.2 | -0.1 | 81 | 72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 72.0 | 81-72 | 81-72 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.2% | ||||||
| 4 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.3 | 0.0 | 78 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 76.0 | 78-76 | 78-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.9% | ||||||
| 5 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | 0.3 | 0.0 | 75 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 79.0 | 75-79 | 75-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.3 | 0.0 | 74 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 80.0 | 74-80 | 74-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | -0.2 | 0.0 | 69 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 69-85 | 69-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | -1.4 | 0.1 | 60 | 94 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 94.0 | 60-94 | 60-94 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | 1.5 | -0.2 | 99 | 53 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.0 | 53.0 | 99-53 | 99-53 | >99.9% | 55.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.4% | ||||||
| 2 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.6 | -0.2 | 91 | 62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 62.0 | 91-62 | 91-62 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.4% | ||||||
| 3 | Washington Nationals | AL | 0.2 | 0.0 | 81 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 73.0 | 81-73 | 81-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.0 | -0.1 | 80 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 73.0 | 80-73 | 80-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -0.8 | 0.1 | 71 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 82.0 | 71-82 | 71-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | New York Yankees | AL | 0.1 | -0.1 | 70 | 84 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 84.0 | 70-84 | 70-84 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Chicago White Sox | AL | -0.5 | -0.1 | 70 | 84 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 84.0 | 70-84 | 70-84 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Cleveland Naps | AL | -1.1 | 0.0 | 51 | 102 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 102.0 | 51-102 | 51-102 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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