MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1916-10-05. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1Brooklyn RobinsNL0.7-0.194600.00.094.060.094-6094-60>99.9%47.8%0.0%+44.8%+65.3%
2Philadelphia PhilliesNL0.80.191620.00.091.062.091-6291-62<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-43.1%-39.6%
3Boston BravesNL0.6-0.189630.00.089.063.089-6389-63<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-1.7%-25.7%
4New York GiantsNL0.4-0.186660.00.086.066.086-6686-66<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Chicago CubsNL-0.20.267860.00.067.086.067-8667-86<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Pittsburgh PiratesNL-0.70.265890.00.065.089.065-8965-89<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Cincinnati RedsNL-0.70.260930.00.060.093.060-9360-93<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8St. Louis CardinalsNL-0.80.260930.00.060.093.060-9360-93<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1Boston Red SoxAL0.7-0.291630.00.091.063.091-6391-63>99.9%52.2%0.0%+2.1%+39.5%
2Chicago White SoxAL0.7-0.289650.00.089.065.089-6589-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-2.1%-13.8%
3Detroit TigersAL0.5-0.287670.00.087.067.087-6787-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-24.8%
4New York YankeesAL-0.1-0.180740.00.080.074.080-7480-74<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.2%
5St. Louis BrownsAL0.5-0.179750.00.079.075.079-7579-75<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.7%
6Cleveland IndiansAL-0.2-0.177770.00.077.077.077-7777-77<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.1%
7Washington NationalsAL-0.20.076770.00.076.077.076-7776-77<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia AthleticsAL-1.90.3361170.00.036.0117.036-11736-117<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%