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TOR  6
@BOS  1
 LAA  2
@DET  1
 KCR  7
CHW  3
 NYY 10
MIN  1
 OAK 10
BAL  1
 TBD  7
SEA  6
 TEX  5
CLE  2
 SFG  7
@CHC  4
 HOU  2
NYM  1
 COL 12
@LAD  5
 FLA 10
@MIL  3
 PHI  8
ATL  7
 ATL  3
@PHI  1
(11)		 SDP  2
CIN  1
 STL  6
PIT  3
 WSN  5
ARI  3
Standings at end of play this day

Robert F. Kennedy Stadium, Attendance: 30,771

 Sunday, September 3, 2006, 1:07PM
Time of Game: 2:32
Diamondbacks
3
64-72
Lost 5
4th, 9 GB
 
                1  2  3   4  5  6   7  8  9    R  H  E
                -  -  -   -  -  -   -  -  -    -  -  -
Diamondbacks    0  0  0   0  1  1   1  0  0    3  5  2
Nationals       1  0  0   0  0  0   0  4  X    5  7  0
W: Ryan Wagner (3-2), L: Brandon Webb (14-6), S: Jon Rauch (1)
 Nationals
5
59-77
Won 4
5th, 25½ GB

Batting Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks         AB   R   H RBI   BB  SO    BA   OPS  Pit  Str   PO   A  Details
S Drew SS                     5   0   0   0    0   1  .314  .843   18   12    0   4   
O Hudson 2B                   3   0   1   1    1   0  .287  .806   13    6    1   2   
L Gonzalez LF                 2   1   0   0    2   0  .277  .826   20    9    1   0   IW
E Byrnes CF                   4   0   0   0    0   1  .277  .827   13    8    1   0   
J Estrada C                   4   0   1   0    0   0  .302  .783   23   16    9   0   
C Jackson 1B                  2   0   0   1    1   1  .278  .776   20    8   10   1   SF
C Tracy 3B                    4   1   2   1    0   0  .277  .769   11    8    0   0   HR
C Quentin RF                  3   1   1   0    1   0  .237  .856   18   10    1   0   
B Webb P                      1   0   0   0    0   0  .148  .352    7    5    1   1   2·SH
  B Lyon P                    0   0   0   0    0   0                          0   0   
  C Counsell PH               1   0   0   0    0   0  .265  .675    3    2    0   0   
Totals                       29   3   5   0    5   3              146   84   24   8
Batting Events
HR: C Tracy (16, off T Armas; 5th inn, 0 on, 0 outs to RF).
SF: C Jackson (7, off T Armas).
SH: B Webb 2 (9, 2 off T Armas).
IBB: L Gonzalez (9, by R Wagner).
TB: C Tracy 5; C Quentin; O Hudson; J Estrada.
RBI: O Hudson (63); C Jackson (62); C Tracy (69).
2-out RBI: O Hudson.
Team LOB: 7.
With RISP: 1 for 6.
Fielding Events
E: C Tracy (23); L Gonzalez (1).
Washington Nationals         AB   R   H RBI   BB  SO    BA   OPS  Pit  Str   PO   A  Details
A Soriano LF                  4   1   1   0    0   3  .291  .963   17   11    2   0   SB
F Lopez SS                    4   1   1   1    0   0  .275  .755   14    9    2   3   
R Zimmerman 3B                4   1   2   1    0   2  .287  .829   20   12    2   1   
N Johnson 1B                  2   0   0   0    2   1  .290  .936   16    7    7   0   IW
A Kearns RF                   4   0   2   3    0   0  .263  .825   18   10    4   0   2B
J Vidro 2B                    4   0   0   0    0   0  .289  .738   10    8    4   3   
B Schneider C                 4   0   0   0    0   2  .243  .628   12    8    3   0   
N Logan CF                    3   1   1   0    0   0  .375  .750    7    6    3   0   
T Armas P                     2   0   0   0    0   1  .071  .164    8    7    0   3   
  R Wagner P                  0   0   0   0    0   0  .333  .667              0   0   
  R Church PH                 0   0   0   0    1   0  .255  .871    5    1    0   0   
  H Mateo PR                  0   1   0   0    0   0  .188  .673              0   0   
  J Rauch P                   0   0   0   0    0   0  .000  .000              0   0   
Totals                       31   5   7   0    3   9              127   79   27  10
Batting Events
2B: A Kearns (30, off B Webb).
IBB: N Johnson (13, by B Webb).
TB: A Kearns 3; R Zimmerman 2; F Lopez; N Logan; A Soriano.
RBI: A Kearns 3 (76); F Lopez (44); R Zimmerman (93).
2-out RBI: A Kearns.
Team LOB: 5.
With RISP: 4 for 11.
Baserunning Events
SB: A Soriano (36, 2nd base off B Webb/J Estrada).

Pitching Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks          IP     H   R  ER   BB  SO  HR    ERA   BF  Pit-Str  Ct·Sw·Lk   GB·FB·LD· ?   GmSc  IR-IS   LevI    WPA
B Webb, L (14-6)               7.1   7   5   5    3   8   0   3.14   32  116-73   36·14·23   14· 7· 3· 0     49    -     1.54  -0.48
B Lyon                         0.2   0   0   0    0   1   0   3.80    2    9-5     3· 1· 1    1· 0· 0· 0          2-0    0.52   0.04
Totals                         8     7   5   5    3   9   0          34  125-78   39·15·24   15· 7· 3· 0          2-0 
Washington Nationals          IP     H   R  ER   BB  SO  HR    ERA   BF  Pit-Str  Ct·Sw·Lk   GB·FB·LD· ?   GmSc  IR-IS   LevI    WPA
T Armas                        6.1   4   3   3    4   2   1   5.23   27  109-62   42· 4·16    8·13· 2· 0     51    -     1.16   0.02
R Wagner, W (3-2)              1.2   1   0   0    1   1   0   4.00    7   29-16   12· 2· 2    1· 4· 2· 0          1-1    0.90  -0.04
J Rauch, S (1)                 1     0   0   0    0   0   0   3.18    3    8-6     3· 0· 3    2· 1· 0· 0          0-0    1.04   0.07
Totals                         9     5   3   3    5   3   1          37  146-84   57· 6·21   11·18· 4· 0          1-1
Balks: None.
WP: None.
HBP: None.
IBB: B Webb (4; N Johnson); R Wagner (2; L Gonzalez).
Pickoffs: None.

Other Info

Umpires: HP - Wally Bell, 1B - CB Bucknor, 2B - Adam Dowdy, 3B - Mark Carlson.
Time of Game: 2:32.
Attendance: 30,771.
Field Condition: Unknown.
Start Time Weather: 78° F, Wind 5mph from Right to Left, Cloudy.

Lineups

   Arizona Diamondbacks                      Washington Nationals                         
1. Stephen Drew                 SS       1. Alfonso Soriano              LF
2. Orlando Hudson               2B       2. Felipe Lopez                 SS
3. Luis Gonzalez                LF       3. Ryan Zimmerman               3B
4. Eric Byrnes                  CF       4. Nick Johnson                 1B
5. Johnny Estrada                C       5. Austin Kearns                RF
6. Conor Jackson                1B       6. Jose Vidro                   2B
7. Chad Tracy                   3B       7. Brian Schneider               C
8. Carlos Quentin               RF       8. Nook Logan                   CF
9. Brandon Webb                  P       9. Tony Armas                    P

Top 5 Plays

Glossary · Click headers to sort · CSV · PRE · View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Out RoB R/O Pit(cnt) wWPA wWE Score @Bat Batter Pitcher Play Description
b8 1 12- R 1,(0-0)  37% 78% 2-3 WSN R. Zimmerman B. Webb Single to LF (Line Drive); Mateo Scores; Lopez to 3B/Adv on E7 (throw); Zimmerman to 2B
b8 1 123 RR 6,(3-2)  19% 96% 3-3 WSN A. Kearns B. Webb Double to RF (Fly Ball to Deep CF-RF); Lopez Scores; Zimmerman Scores; Johnson to 3B
b8 1 12- R 4,(2-1)  15% 41% 1-3 WSN F. Lopez B. Webb Single to LF (Ground Ball thru LF-CF); Logan Scores; Church to 2B
t5 0 --- R 1,(0-0)  -14% 50% 0-1 ARI C. Tracy T. Armas Home Run (Fly Ball)
t7 2 -2- R 3,(2-0)  -13% 19% 2-1 ARI O. Hudson R. Wagner Single to RF (Line Drive); Quentin Scores; Hudson to 2B/Adv on throw

Play By Play

Glossary · Click headers to sort · CSV · PRE · View Pitches · Box Score Explanation · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Out RoB R/O Pit(cnt) wWPA wWE Score @Bat Batter Pitcher Play Description
Top of the 1st, Diamondbacks Batting, Tied 0-0, Nationals' Tony Armas facing 1-2-3
t1 0 --- O 6,(3-2)  2% 52% 0-0 ARI S. Drew T. Armas Strikeout Swinging
t1 1 --- O 4,(1-2)  2% 54% 0-0 ARI O. Hudson T. Armas Popfly: SS (LF-CF)
t1 2 --- O 7,(3-2)  1% 55% 0-0 ARI L. Gonzalez T. Armas Foul Flyball: LF (LF Foul)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Diamondbacks 0, Nationals 0.
Bottom of the 1st, Nationals Batting, Tied 0-0, Diamondbacks' Brandon Webb facing 1-2-3
b1 0 --- 5,(3-1)  4% 58% 0-0 WSN A. Soriano B. Webb Single to LF (Line Drive to LF-CF)
b1 0 1-- 2,(1-0)  2% 61% 0-0 WSN F. Lopez B. Webb Soriano Steals 2B
b1 0 -2- O 4,(1-2)  -1% 59% 0-0 WSN F. Lopez B. Webb Groundout: SS-1B; Soriano to 3B
b1 1 --3 O 7,(3-2)  -6% 54% 0-0 WSN R. Zimmerman B. Webb Strikeout Swinging
b1 2 --3 7,(3-2)  1% 55% 0-0 WSN N. Johnson B. Webb Walk
b1 2 1-3 R 2,(1-0)  9% 64% 0-0 WSN A. Kearns B. Webb Single to RF (Line Drive); Soriano Scores; Johnson to 2B
b1 2 12- O 3,(0-2)  -4% 60% 1-0 WSN J. Vidro B. Webb Groundout: P-1B
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Diamondbacks 0, Nationals 1.
Top of the 2nd, Diamondbacks Batting, Behind 0-1, Nationals' Tony Armas facing 4-5-6
t2 0 --- O 1,(0-0)  3% 63% 0-1 ARI E. Byrnes T. Armas Popfly: 2B
t2 1 --- O 3,(1-1)  2% 65% 0-1 ARI J. Estrada T. Armas Groundout: 2B-1B
t2 2 --- 5,(3-1)  -1% 63% 0-1 ARI C. Jackson T. Armas Walk
t2 2 1-- 4,(1-2)  -3% 60% 0-1 ARI C. Tracy T. Armas Single to RF (Line Drive); Jackson to 3B
t2 2 1-3 O 7,(3-2)  5% 66% 0-1 ARI C. Quentin T. Armas Foul Popfly: 3B (3B Foul)
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Diamondbacks 0, Nationals 1.
Bottom of the 2nd, Nationals Batting, Ahead 1-0, Diamondbacks' Brandon Webb facing 7-8-9
b2 0 --- O 3,(0-2)  -2% 64% 1-0 WSN B. Schneider B. Webb Strikeout Swinging
b2 1 --- O 2,(0-1)  -1% 62% 1-0 WSN N. Logan B. Webb Groundout: SS-1B
b2 2 --- O 4,(1-2)  -1% 61% 1-0 WSN T. Armas B. Webb Groundout: 1B unassisted
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Diamondbacks 0, Nationals 1.
Top of the 3rd, Diamondbacks Batting, Behind 0-1, Nationals' Tony Armas facing 9-1-2
t3 0 --- O 4,(2-1)  3% 64% 0-1 ARI B. Webb T. Armas Groundout: P-SS-1B
t3 1 --- O 5,(2-2)  2% 66% 0-1 ARI S. Drew T. Armas Flyball: CF (Deep LF-CF)
t3 2 --- 5,(3-1)  -1% 64% 0-1 ARI O. Hudson T. Armas Walk
t3 2 1-- O 2,(0-1)  3% 67% 0-1 ARI L. Gonzalez T. Armas Groundout: 1B unassisted
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Diamondbacks 0, Nationals 1.
Bottom of the 3rd, Nationals Batting, Ahead 1-0, Diamondbacks' Brandon Webb facing 1-2-3
b3 0 --- O 3,(0-2)  -2% 65% 1-0 WSN A. Soriano B. Webb Strikeout Swinging
b3 1 --- O 1,(0-0)  -1% 63% 1-0 WSN F. Lopez B. Webb Flyball: CF (Deep CF)
b3 2 --- 5,(3-1)  2% 66% 1-0 WSN R. Zimmerman B. Webb Single to 3B (Ground Ball); Zimmerman to 2B/Adv on E5 (throw)
b3 2 -2- O 4,(1-2)  -3% 62% 1-0 WSN N. Johnson B. Webb Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 1 hit, 1 error, 1 LOB. Diamondbacks 0, Nationals 1.
Top of the 4th, Diamondbacks Batting, Behind 0-1, Nationals' Tony Armas facing 4-5-6
t4 0 --- O 5,(3-1)  3% 65% 0-1 ARI E. Byrnes T. Armas Flyball: RF (CF-RF)
t4 1 --- O 4,(1-2)  2% 67% 0-1 ARI J. Estrada T. Armas Flyball: RF (Deep RF)
t4 2 --- O 6,(3-2)  1% 69% 0-1 ARI C. Jackson T. Armas Flyball: CF (Deep CF)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Diamondbacks 0, Nationals 1.
Bottom of the 4th, Nationals Batting, Ahead 1-0, Diamondbacks' Brandon Webb facing 5-6-7
b4 0 --- O 8,(3-2)  -2% 67% 1-0 WSN A. Kearns B. Webb Groundout: SS-1B
b4 1 --- O 1,(0-0)  -2% 65% 1-0 WSN J. Vidro B. Webb Groundout: 1B-P
b4 2 --- O 1,(0-0)  -1% 64% 1-0 WSN B. Schneider B. Webb Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Diamondbacks 0, Nationals 1.
Top of the 5th, Diamondbacks Batting, Behind 0-1, Nationals' Tony Armas facing 7-8-9
t5 0 --- R 1,(0-0)  -14% 50% 0-1 ARI C. Tracy T. Armas Home Run (Fly Ball)
t5 0 --- 1,(0-0)  -5% 45% 1-1 ARI C. Quentin T. Armas Single to P (Ground Ball)
t5 0 1-- O 2,(0-1)  2% 47% 1-1 ARI B. Webb T. Armas Bunt Groundout: P-2B/Sacrifice; Quentin to 2B
t5 1 -2- O 4,(1-2)  4% 51% 1-1 ARI S. Drew T. Armas Groundout: 2B-1B; Quentin to 3B
t5 2 --3 O 1,(0-0)  5% 57% 1-1 ARI O. Hudson T. Armas Flyball: CF (Deep CF)
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Diamondbacks 1, Nationals 1.
Bottom of the 5th, Nationals Batting, Tied 1-1, Diamondbacks' Brandon Webb facing 8-9-1
b5 0 --- O 2,(0-1)  -3% 54% 1-1 WSN N. Logan B. Webb Flyball: RF (CF-RF)
b5 1 --- O 4,(0-2)  -2% 51% 1-1 WSN T. Armas B. Webb Strikeout Swinging
b5 2 --- O 5,(2-2)  -1% 50% 1-1 WSN A. Soriano B. Webb Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Diamondbacks 1, Nationals 1.
Top of the 6th, Diamondbacks Batting, Tied 1-1, Nationals' Tony Armas facing 3-4-5
t6 0 --- 7,(3-2)  -5% 45% 1-1 ARI L. Gonzalez T. Armas Walk
t6 0 1-- O 4,(1-2)  5% 50% 1-1 ARI E. Byrnes T. Armas Strikeout Looking
t6 1 1-- 6,(3-2)  -10% 40% 1-1 ARI J. Estrada T. Armas Single to RF (Line Drive); Gonzalez to 3B
t6 1 1-3 RO 3,(2-0)  -3% 37% 1-1 ARI C. Jackson T. Armas Flyball: RF/Sacrifice Fly (RF Line); Gonzalez Scores
t6 2 1-- O 4,(1-2)  3% 39% 2-1 ARI C. Tracy T. Armas Groundout: 2B-1B
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Diamondbacks 2, Nationals 1.
Bottom of the 6th, Nationals Batting, Behind 1-2, Diamondbacks' Brandon Webb facing 2-3-4
b6 0 --- O 3,(1-1)  -4% 35% 1-2 WSN F. Lopez B. Webb Flyball: LF
b6 1 --- O 7,(2-2)  -3% 33% 1-2 WSN R. Zimmerman B. Webb Strikeout Looking
b6 2 --- O 1,(0-0)  -2% 31% 1-2 WSN N. Johnson B. Webb Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Diamondbacks 2, Nationals 1.
Top of the 7th, Diamondbacks Batting, Ahead 2-1, Nationals' Tony Armas facing 8-9-1
t7 0 --- 7,(3-2)  -4% 27% 2-1 ARI C. Quentin T. Armas Walk
t7 0 1-- O 1,(0-0)  2% 28% 2-1 ARI B. Webb T. Armas Bunt Groundout: P-2B/Sacrifice; Quentin to 2B
Ryan Wagner replaces Tony Armas pitching and batting 9th
t7 1 -2- O 1,(0-0)  4% 32% 2-1 ARI S. Drew R. Wagner Lineout: SS
t7 2 -2- R 3,(2-0)  -13% 19% 2-1 ARI O. Hudson R. Wagner Single to RF (Line Drive); Quentin Scores; Hudson to 2B/Adv on throw
t7 2 -2- 4,(3-0)  -1% 19% 3-1 ARI L. Gonzalez R. Wagner Intentional Walk
t7 2 12- O 3,(1-1)  3% 22% 3-1 ARI E. Byrnes R. Wagner Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Diamondbacks 3, Nationals 1.
Bottom of the 7th, Nationals Batting, Behind 1-3, Diamondbacks' Brandon Webb facing 5-6-7
b7 0 --- O 2,(1-0)  -4% 18% 1-3 WSN A. Kearns B. Webb Groundout: SS-1B
b7 1 --- O 2,(0-1)  -3% 15% 1-3 WSN J. Vidro B. Webb Groundout: 1B unassisted
b7 2 --- O 3,(2-0)  -2% 14% 1-3 WSN B. Schneider B. Webb Groundout: 1B unassisted
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Diamondbacks 3, Nationals 1.
Top of the 8th, Diamondbacks Batting, Ahead 3-1, Nationals' Ryan Wagner facing 5-6-7
t8 0 --- O 10,(2-2)  1% 15% 3-1 ARI J. Estrada R. Wagner Flyball: RF (Deep CF-RF)
t8 1 --- O 6,(3-2)  1% 16% 3-1 ARI C. Jackson R. Wagner Strikeout Looking
t8 2 --- O 2,(1-0)  1% 17% 3-1 ARI C. Tracy R. Wagner Flyball: LF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Diamondbacks 3, Nationals 1.
Bottom of the 8th, Nationals Batting, Behind 1-3, Diamondbacks' Brandon Webb facing 8-9-1
b8 0 --- 3,(1-1)  8% 24% 1-3 WSN N. Logan B. Webb Single to P/Bunt
Ryan Church pinch hits for Ryan Wagner (P) batting 9th
b8 0 1-- 5,(3-1)  12% 37% 1-3 WSN R. Church B. Webb Walk; Logan to 2B
b8 0 12- O 4,(1-2)  -11% 25% 1-3 WSN A. Soriano B. Webb Strikeout Swinging
b8 1 12- R 4,(2-1)  15% 41% 1-3 WSN F. Lopez B. Webb Single to LF (Ground Ball thru LF-CF); Logan Scores; Church to 2B
Henry Mateo pinch runs for Ryan Church (PH) batting 9th
b8 1 12- R 1,(0-0)  37% 78% 2-3 WSN R. Zimmerman B. Webb Single to LF (Line Drive); Mateo Scores; Lopez to 3B/Adv on E7 (throw); Zimmerman to 2B
b8 1 -23 4,(3-0)  -0% 77% 3-3 WSN N. Johnson B. Webb Intentional Walk
b8 1 123 RR 6,(3-2)  19% 96% 3-3 WSN A. Kearns B. Webb Double to RF (Fly Ball to Deep CF-RF); Lopez Scores; Zimmerman Scores; Johnson to 3B
Brandon Lyon replaces Brandon Webb pitching and batting 9th
b8 1 -23 O 4,(2-1)  -2% 94% 5-3 WSN J. Vidro B. Lyon Groundout: 2B unassisted
b8 2 -23 O 5,(2-2)  -2% 93% 5-3 WSN B. Schneider B. Lyon Strikeout Swinging
4 runs, 4 hits, 1 error, 2 LOB. Diamondbacks 3, Nationals 5.
Top of the 9th, Diamondbacks Batting, Behind 3-5, Nationals' Jon Rauch facing 8-9-1
Jon Rauch replaces Henry Mateo (PR) pitching and batting 9th
t9 0 --- O 3,(1-1)  4% 96% 3-5 ARI C. Quentin J. Rauch Groundout: SS-1B
Craig Counsell pinch hits for Brandon Lyon (P) batting 9th
t9 1 --- O 3,(1-1)  2% 99% 3-5 ARI C. Counsell J. Rauch Foul Popfly: 3B (3B Foul)
t9 2 --- O 2,(0-1)  1% 100% 3-5 ARI S. Drew J. Rauch Groundout: 3B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Diamondbacks 3, Nationals 5.

Retrosheet.org Boxscore:WAS200609030

Play-by-Play Explanation

  • RoB- This gives the baserunner (Runners on Base) configuration at the start of the play. "1-3" would mean runners on first and third. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
  • R/O- This has a "O" for every out on the play and an "R" for every run that scored on the play. Some plays will have both in no particular order.
  • Pit- When available, the number of pitches in this plate appearance. Clicking on this number will show the sequence of pitches thrown including, when available, things like runner going, ball blocked, attempted pickoffs and the like. We believe this data to be as accurate as humanly possible, but there are going to be some errors in the data, so please take it with a grain of salt. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
  • wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
  • wWE- Winning Team's Win Expectancy. The probability of the eventual winning team winning the game prior to this play given two average teams playing each other. More About Win Probability Added
  • Score- The score from the perspective of the batting team.
  • Batter- The batter at the plate when this play occurred. If the play is a baserunning event, then the batter's name will be repeated as indicated by quotes.
  • Pitcher- The pitcher on the mound when this play occurred.
  • Play Detail- This is an explanation of the play that occurred. In some cases, batted ball location and type will be indicated within parentheses. Again, these are best efforts to the record the game as it happened. Also, plays made on the baserunners (including the batter as a baserunner) will be indicated in parentheses after the baserunner's name. Advancement of baserunners is given in cases where the advancement is not easily deduced or obvious from the play. For example, advancement for a walk will not be given, but for a single or double it will be given.

Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.

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In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.

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