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2026 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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2026 MLB Menu

Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.59	-7.4	-0.1	3180	2.3	51.9	-49.5	.93	0.8	1.7	0.8%	28.8%	-28.0%	.86	0.5%	-10.0	-0.1	0.94	0.8	87	57	122
Athletics	5.25	-24.4	-1.8	3395	-3.9	58.3	-62.2	1.03	-3.8	0.1	-2.6%	36.8%	-39.4%	1.08	0.0%	-51.7	-4.2	0.97	-48.3	96	72	122
Atlanta Braves	3.68	55.3	5.9	3122	5.1	52.9	-47.9	.97	5.0	0.2	2.9%	34.8%	-31.9%	1.08	-0.4%	63.4	6.9	0.93	63.9	81	69	102
Baltimore Orioles	4.92	-22.2	-2.0	3358	-4.2	51.5	-55.7	.93	-1.1	-3.4	-2.0%	25.1%	-27.1%	.75	-2.0%	-39.8	-3.7	0.95	-18.8	81	66	132
Boston Red Sox	3.94	32.8	3.7	3128	1.6	49.7	-48.1	.94	3.7	-2.1	0.0%	18.3%	-18.3%	.58	-2.3%	35.2	4.0	0.94	45.8	70	65	113
Chicago Cubs	4.44	-19.0	-1.4	3234	0.6	51.5	-50.9	.92	0.8	-0.2	-1.0%	31.6%	-32.6%	.95	-1.7%	0.0	0.5	0.92	3.3	81	44	149
Chicago White Sox	4.56	7.4	1.0	3267	-0.6	54.1	-54.8	1.02	-0.1	-0.5	-0.8%	36.2%	-37.0%	1.13	-0.7%	-2.0	0.2	0.97	1.0	80	83	116
Cincinnati Reds	4.89	-14.0	-1.0	3370	0.4	59.0	-58.6	1.02	-5.4	5.7	-0.4%	31.9%	-32.3%	.92	2.9%	-15.3	-1.0	0.98	-51.5	106	68	124
Cleveland Guardians	4.04	36.1	3.8	3237	6.0	61.2	-55.2	1.07	2.7	2.9	4.7%	47.6%	-42.9%	1.40	1.8%	34.9	3.8	0.95	25.9	104	72	98
Colorado Rockies	5.67	-41.0	-3.7	3413	-7.2	53.4	-60.7	.95	-7.1	-0.5	-0.9%	13.9%	-14.7%	.41	2.0%	-78.1	-6.8	0.96	-83.2	74	77	102
Detroit Tigers	4.13	41.9	4.5	3210	-3.0	54.1	-57.1	1.00	2.5	-5.4	-2.2%	23.1%	-25.3%	.72	-4.4%	29.3	3.3	0.94	33.1	73	75	113
Houston Astros	4.99	-33.3	-2.7	3425	-0.9	53.3	-54.3	.93	-2.2	1.2	-0.9%	24.6%	-25.5%	.72	-0.2%	-43.3	-3.6	0.97	-27.8	80	65	122
Kansas City Royals	5.02	-51.1	-4.4	3358	-3.7	54.6	-58.3	.95	-2.8	-1.0	-0.9%	21.1%	-22.0%	.61	0.0%	-52.0	-4.5	0.94	-56.1	89	53	131
Los Angeles Angels	4.96	-34.7	-3.0	3432	-5.2	52.6	-57.7	.98	-0.2	-5.0	-1.6%	17.4%	-19.0%	.54	-2.6%	-43.9	-3.8	0.98	-12.3	95	52	124
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.46	63.1	7.0	3103	7.3	50.9	-43.6	.92	9.3	-1.4	4.5%	34.1%	-29.6%	1.02	-1.2%	84.3	9.5	0.90	97.2	76	63	127
Miami Marlins	4.15	16.3	2.0	3247	2.6	54.8	-52.2	1.00	4.6	-1.9	0.3%	23.7%	-23.4%	.73	-2.2%	22.1	2.8	0.95	43.5	81	64	124
Milwaukee Brewers	3.68	65.1	7.1	3088	5.6	54.8	-49.2	1.00	6.6	-1.0	3.6%	36.1%	-32.4%	1.10	-0.6%	79.1	8.7	0.93	81.4	81	67	99
Minnesota Twins	5.20	-38.7	-3.4	3430	-3.4	56.0	-59.5	.99	-3.0	-0.4	-1.7%	31.6%	-33.2%	.93	-0.1%	-59.1	-5.2	0.98	-44.0	93	73	117
New York Mets	4.57	-4.7	0.0	3301	1.8	55.3	-53.4	1.00	2.2	-0.4	0.2%	16.0%	-15.7%	.48	-0.7%	0.1	0.6	0.96	20.3	93	51	112
New York Yankees	3.71	69.7	7.3	3161	2.6	53.7	-51.2	.99	5.0	-2.4	2.4%	36.4%	-34.0%	1.11	-0.8%	59.4	6.2	0.93	61.1	95	58	115
Philadelphia Phillies	4.36	30.4	3.7	3293	3.8	54.6	-50.8	.95	1.9	2.0	0.3%	26.4%	-26.1%	.78	-0.8%	25.2	3.3	0.95	21.0	77	65	139
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.77	7.4	1.0	3338	0.6	59.1	-58.5	1.04	2.7	-2.1	0.6%	32.8%	-32.2%	.97	-0.9%	-7.8	-0.5	0.97	14.4	79	70	118
San Diego Padres	4.07	24.6	2.8	3180	5.3	56.4	-51.1	1.02	3.1	2.1	2.6%	35.9%	-33.4%	1.09	0.5%	37.7	4.1	0.95	38.9	94	78	108
Seattle Mariners	3.98	24.6	2.7	3229	2.5	57.4	-54.9	1.03	4.9	-2.5	1.6%	36.9%	-35.3%	1.11	-1.6%	34.0	3.8	0.94	47.4	95	57	103
San Francisco Giants	4.66	-33.0	-2.9	3290	-1.6	52.6	-54.2	.95	-0.7	-1.0	-0.6%	13.9%	-14.5%	.42	-1.2%	-18.5	-1.4	0.97	-6.9	61	61	144
St. Louis Cardinals	4.57	-21.5	-2.0	3224	1.7	58.4	-56.7	1.07	-1.0	2.6	0.9%	37.9%	-37.0%	1.16	1.4%	-4.8	-0.2	0.97	-13.3	95	79	100
Tampa Bay Rays	4.22	41.5	4.6	3157	7.4	56.1	-48.7	1.02	4.2	3.1	5.1%	36.7%	-31.6%	1.11	2.1%	31.7	3.7	0.93	33.7	83	83	91
Texas Rangers	4.14	-10.7	-0.9	3207	0.9	50.7	-49.8	.92	1.1	-0.1	0.2%	31.9%	-31.6%	.96	-0.4%	6.2	0.9	0.93	4.7	77	60	121
Toronto Blue Jays	4.48	30.7	3.6	3325	1.0	58.6	-57.6	1.05	2.9	-1.9	-0.5%	28.0%	-28.5%	.84	-2.2%	13.4	1.9	0.95	23.8	104	77	139
Washington Nationals	5.22	-50.7	-4.6	3467	-3.0	61.8	-64.8	1.09	-5.1	2.4	-1.9%	31.4%	-33.3%	.93	1.1%	-54.7	-5.0	0.97	-59.1	97	77	100
League Average	4.48	5	1	3272	1	55	-54	.99	1	-0	0%	29%	-29%	.88	-0%	3	1	0	8	86	67	118
	4.48	140.4	26.9	98169	22.4	1649.4	-1627.1	.99	31.4	-8.8	12.9%	880.8%	-867.9%	.88	-4.2%	75.1	24.2	0.95	239.9	2578	2001	3527
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo