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2025 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

World Series Champion: Los Angeles Dodgers

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.85	-30.3	-2.6	6360	-3.5	110.6	-114.1	1.02	-1.6	-1.9	-2.0%	44.7%	-46.7%	.69	-2.4%	-28.4	-2.3	0.94	-10.4	164	108	231
Athletics	5.04	-56.7	-5.2	6454	-0.4	99.3	-99.6	.91	-7.6	7.2	-1.6%	22.4%	-24.1%	.36	0.8%	-90.1	-8.2	0.95	-81.9	142	111	258
Atlanta Braves	4.53	-32.4	-2.1	6366	2.9	106.3	-103.3	.96	0.3	2.8	0.7%	22.1%	-21.4%	.33	1.1%	-2.1	1.1	0.94	3.5	168	109	243
Baltimore Orioles	4.86	-85.9	-7.0	6386	-0.3	107.0	-107.3	.99	-7.0	6.7	-1.5%	17.3%	-18.8%	.27	-1.8%	-75.6	-5.8	0.96	-87.8	169	141	233
Boston Red Sox	4.17	42.7	5.0	6382	9.2	112.9	-103.7	1.03	6.0	3.0	5.9%	70.8%	-64.9%	1.07	1.9%	54.7	6.5	0.96	65.0	191	137	208
Chicago Cubs	4.01	24.7	2.8	6076	8.1	103.5	-95.4	.96	6.2	2.3	4.9%	64.8%	-60.0%	1.00	1.1%	60.1	6.7	0.90	72.1	158	132	233
Chicago White Sox	4.58	-15.3	-1.1	6381	-7.4	105.3	-112.7	.99	-5.1	-2.4	-0.9%	7.9%	-8.9%	.13	-6.2%	-37.6	-3.3	0.97	-48.9	153	127	252
Cincinnati Reds	4.20	91.3	9.6	6238	11.2	113.4	-102.2	1.01	7.8	3.3	7.0%	64.4%	-57.5%	.95	2.6%	88.1	9.2	0.93	92.0	176	153	221
Cleveland Guardians	4.01	65.4	6.9	6269	12.3	114.5	-102.3	1.03	6.8	5.1	8.1%	71.4%	-63.3%	1.07	3.6%	82.0	8.5	0.94	79.3	196	131	204
Colorado Rockies	6.30	-158.7	-14.7	6616	-18.1	94.2	-112.2	.87	-21.0	0.2	-0.8%	5.5%	-6.2%	.08	-6.5%	-262.3	-22.8	0.97	-253.3	140	95	296
Detroit Tigers	4.27	31.4	3.9	6230	6.4	104.1	-97.7	.95	2.8	3.9	5.2%	74.1%	-68.8%	1.13	2.9%	37.8	4.7	0.94	31.4	142	109	257
Houston Astros	4.10	52.7	6.0	6264	13.0	108.7	-95.6	.98	5.7	7.6	9.0%	89.0%	-80.0%	1.35	3.4%	64.9	7.3	0.93	49.1	173	94	251
Kansas City Royals	3.93	67.1	7.3	6151	10.7	109.7	-99.0	1.00	5.2	5.5	5.3%	51.4%	-46.1%	.78	4.2%	83.4	9.2	0.93	64.5	172	150	225
Los Angeles Angels	5.17	-115.4	-10.7	6484	-5.1	112.3	-117.4	1.03	-8.6	3.6	-1.7%	40.9%	-42.6%	.62	1.3%	-110.8	-10.2	0.96	-111.9	207	135	213
Los Angeles Dodgers	4.22	32.4	4.0	6308	5.1	110.5	-105.4	1.03	8.2	-3.2	3.0%	79.1%	-76.1%	1.22	-2.4%	52.9	6.2	0.94	89.8	191	170	220
Miami Marlins	4.93	-46.5	-3.9	6488	3.8	107.1	-103.3	.98	-0.1	4.0	-0.6%	20.2%	-20.8%	.32	-3.2%	-49.1	-4.1	0.94	-9.4	169	139	207
Milwaukee Brewers	3.91	96.8	10.4	6198	12.4	109.3	-96.9	1.01	10.0	2.4	7.6%	55.3%	-47.8%	.84	3.2%	105.8	11.4	0.93	102.5	193	140	217
Minnesota Twins	4.77	-39.9	-3.3	6357	-3.5	101.9	-105.4	.96	-1.9	-1.8	0.7%	36.0%	-35.3%	.56	1.8%	-40.3	-3.1	0.94	-14.9	174	125	244
New York Mets	4.41	8.9	1.6	6353	2.0	110.4	-108.4	1.04	4.4	-2.5	0.6%	88.9%	-88.3%	1.40	-2.1%	7.8	1.6	0.97	34.5	186	131	224
New York Yankees	4.23	33.5	4.0	6297	7.9	105.4	-97.6	.98	7.5	0.5	7.0%	85.4%	-78.4%	1.32	1.1%	38.8	4.7	0.95	68.7	164	136	233
Philadelphia Phillies	4.00	106.9	11.5	6204	14.1	111.9	-97.9	1.00	11.1	3.0	9.1%	78.0%	-68.9%	1.16	1.2%	111.4	11.8	0.92	121.7	179	105	221
Pittsburgh Pirates	3.98	103.0	11.1	6169	10.9	108.8	-97.9	1.00	9.0	1.9	0.7%	12.7%	-12.0%	.20	0.2%	92.3	10.0	0.93	102.8	162	134	214
San Diego Padres	3.83	95.2	9.8	6170	13.9	109.8	-95.9	1.00	11.2	2.7	9.0%	75.0%	-66.0%	1.14	1.2%	123.5	12.8	0.93	132.4	209	128	240
Seattle Mariners	4.28	-9.8	-0.5	6326	8.4	113.8	-105.4	1.06	2.6	5.3	8.1%	88.1%	-80.0%	1.36	4.3%	23.3	3.0	0.94	9.9	216	105	229
San Francisco Giants	4.22	24.4	2.8	6287	4.4	113.9	-109.5	1.07	4.0	0.1	2.5%	62.1%	-59.7%	.97	0.6%	33.0	3.7	0.95	48.6	173	135	207
St. Louis Cardinals	4.65	-34.7	-3.1	6353	-0.3	108.5	-108.8	1.02	-0.9	0.6	-0.2%	48.6%	-48.7%	.76	-0.1%	-29.3	-2.6	0.96	-3.8	153	120	214
Tampa Bay Rays	4.22	34.7	4.0	6196	0.5	106.3	-105.8	.98	4.8	-4.3	-0.4%	46.9%	-47.3%	.73	-3.8%	33.2	4.0	0.93	43.4	155	132	230
Texas Rangers	3.73	48.3	5.7	6150	6.4	109.3	-102.9	1.05	8.6	-2.5	3.8%	60.8%	-57.1%	.97	-1.0%	82.4	9.7	0.93	84.1	180	133	210
Toronto Blue Jays	4.45	31.8	3.7	6290	7.6	108.4	-100.8	.99	4.2	3.4	6.5%	80.0%	-73.5%	1.22	2.9%	19.4	2.6	0.94	28.1	163	147	260
Washington Nationals	5.55	-181.3	-17.2	6509	-9.1	97.2	-106.3	.90	-14.6	4.5	-1.4%	17.2%	-18.6%	.27	-1.9%	-184.7	-17.6	0.97	-150.2	134	144	305
League Average	4.45	6	1	6310	4	108	-104	.99	2	2	3%	53%	-50%	.80	2%	9	2	0	18	172	129	233
	4.45	184.3	38.5	189312	123.5	3234.1	-3110.6	.99	58.0	66.4	93.5%	1581.3%	-1487.8%	.80	62.7%	284.5	55.0	0.94	550.7	5152	3856	7000
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo