Find any player or team from any Reference site with our new cross-sport search engine. Only on Sports-Reference.com.

2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

World Series Champion: Los Angeles Dodgers

Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free.

2024 MLB Menu

Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.86	-56.1	-5.1	6389	-3.0	107.5	-110.5	.99	-2.8	-0.2	-2.2%	67.9%	-70.1%	1.04	-0.5%	-47.6	-4.1	0.95	-22.0	168	112	256
Atlanta Braves	3.75	110.8	12.4	6180	13.3	105.2	-91.8	.95	13.2	0.8	11.2%	82.9%	-71.6%	1.24	1.3%	134.4	15.0	0.92	142.5	151	101	229
Baltimore Orioles	4.31	-11.7	-0.6	6277	3.4	101.8	-98.4	.94	4.0	-0.4	1.8%	70.1%	-68.3%	1.08	-0.7%	4.6	1.2	0.93	30.5	159	130	257
Boston Red Sox	4.61	5.8	0.9	6344	0.4	108.7	-108.3	1.03	2.6	-2.2	-2.4%	56.2%	-58.6%	.90	-3.7%	-11.2	-0.7	0.95	23.7	191	127	216
Chicago Cubs	4.13	31.2	3.7	6237	2.7	107.1	-104.5	1.01	6.9	-4.3	0.1%	42.7%	-42.6%	.68	-3.6%	44.1	5.2	0.94	68.3	160	116	220
Chicago White Sox	5.02	-85.3	-8.2	6503	-14.1	102.9	-117.0	.99	-12.2	-2.0	-0.7%	6.0%	-6.8%	.09	-4.9%	-112.1	-10.6	0.97	-137.1	164	127	245
Cincinnati Reds	4.28	55.2	6.1	6305	6.0	101.9	-95.9	.93	3.0	3.5	1.1%	30.9%	-29.9%	.48	1.4%	50.2	5.6	0.93	41.6	155	139	240
Cleveland Guardians	3.86	73.2	8.1	6120	12.0	107.3	-95.4	.98	7.1	5.1	8.2%	73.1%	-65.0%	1.11	3.3%	89.5	9.8	0.93	75.8	195	153	245
Colorado Rockies	5.73	-94.1	-9.0	6571	-12.1	107.0	-119.1	.97	-15.5	2.9	-2.2%	8.4%	-10.5%	.13	-12.3%	-160.7	-14.4	0.96	-157.2	163	100	232
Detroit Tigers	3.96	82.8	9.0	6146	9.4	108.2	-98.8	.99	9.3	0.1	4.2%	42.7%	-38.5%	.65	0.9%	86.6	9.4	0.93	111.3	167	133	204
Houston Astros	4.03	50.1	5.7	6243	9.1	108.8	-99.8	1.00	5.7	3.3	4.9%	52.5%	-47.6%	.80	2.4%	57.1	6.5	0.94	62.2	155	135	221
Kansas City Royals	3.98	62.4	6.7	6150	3.6	103.8	-100.2	.98	7.4	-3.7	1.4%	77.1%	-75.7%	1.22	-3.2%	62.8	6.9	0.95	82.7	140	109	257
Los Angeles Angels	4.92	-53.4	-4.8	6365	-5.4	97.3	-102.7	.90	-6.3	0.3	-1.2%	15.0%	-16.2%	.23	-3.4%	-82.7	-7.4	0.95	-60.7	147	109	259
Los Angeles Dodgers	4.23	16.3	2.3	6294	6.4	104.6	-98.2	.96	5.1	1.5	4.9%	76.8%	-71.9%	1.18	1.4%	43.4	5.2	0.93	44.6	174	169	222
Miami Marlins	5.19	-74.3	-6.8	6506	-7.3	105.1	-112.4	.98	-6.6	-0.9	-1.3%	7.5%	-8.8%	.12	-10.4%	-92.9	-8.4	0.96	-73.3	178	123	255
Milwaukee Brewers	3.96	83.9	8.8	6290	12.3	110.3	-98.0	1.02	8.1	4.1	7.8%	78.5%	-70.6%	1.21	1.9%	99.5	10.4	0.93	80.7	195	117	207
Minnesota Twins	4.54	-1.8	0.1	6283	1.9	102.5	-100.7	.95	4.1	-2.2	1.5%	73.7%	-72.3%	1.15	-1.5%	-7.5	-0.4	0.93	39.1	203	101	231
New York Mets	4.30	-0.5	0.4	6378	4.1	110.4	-106.4	1.02	3.0	0.9	2.1%	62.3%	-60.2%	.97	0.5%	25.5	3.2	0.95	39.4	173	110	233
New York Yankees	4.12	45.8	5.1	6360	8.6	106.7	-98.0	.97	3.6	5.3	6.1%	73.0%	-66.9%	1.11	3.5%	55.6	6.2	0.95	41.9	147	118	256
Oakland Athletics	4.72	-65.1	-6.0	6382	-3.1	101.7	-104.8	.96	-3.6	0.4	-0.7%	15.5%	-16.2%	.24	-0.8%	-66.9	-6.2	0.96	-45.9	180	115	236
Philadelphia Phillies	4.14	57.5	6.8	6252	11.2	107.4	-96.2	.98	5.8	5.6	8.7%	59.9%	-51.2%	.90	5.9%	71.2	8.4	0.93	72.5	169	99	249
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.56	-5.6	0.1	6386	2.9	109.6	-106.6	1.00	0.5	2.4	1.7%	41.9%	-40.2%	.64	2.1%	-4.0	0.4	0.96	2.9	174	128	211
San Diego Padres	4.13	44.6	4.9	6241	5.8	101.3	-95.5	.93	6.7	-0.5	3.4%	66.6%	-63.2%	1.02	-0.8%	61.3	6.6	0.93	88.2	151	130	258
Seattle Mariners	3.75	41.7	4.5	5998	7.3	99.4	-92.1	.94	11.0	-3.3	3.2%	57.5%	-54.2%	.91	-2.6%	71.9	8.0	0.90	110.6	180	95	248
San Francisco Giants	4.31	-23.7	-1.7	6347	2.4	107.8	-105.3	1.01	0.9	1.5	0.0%	39.6%	-39.6%	.62	-0.1%	8.7	1.7	0.96	16.9	156	165	243
St. Louis Cardinals	4.44	5.7	1.0	6273	5.2	115.5	-110.3	1.06	3.3	1.6	0.9%	48.4%	-47.5%	.75	-0.3%	14.0	1.8	0.94	35.4	174	147	187
Tampa Bay Rays	4.09	37.1	4.0	6207	8.3	111.2	-103.0	1.03	5.9	2.1	0.9%	34.9%	-34.0%	.55	-1.9%	50.2	5.4	0.92	59.7	205	153	184
Texas Rangers	4.56	-84.0	-7.8	6312	1.1	103.9	-102.8	.98	-0.8	1.9	0.7%	34.2%	-33.6%	.54	1.1%	-54.0	-4.9	0.95	-26.0	178	105	200
Toronto Blue Jays	4.59	-23.4	-2.1	6250	0.4	99.7	-99.3	.94	-0.3	0.7	0.0%	22.6%	-22.6%	.35	0.9%	-35.1	-3.1	0.94	-16.2	128	144	277
Washington Nationals	4.72	-43.5	-3.8	6349	-4.0	100.8	-104.9	.94	-1.2	-3.1	-1.2%	27.4%	-28.7%	.43	-1.8%	-47.1	-4.2	0.95	-28.0	136	145	287
League Average	4.39	6	1	6298	3	106	-103	.98	2	1	2%	48%	-46%	.74	1%	10	2	0	23	167	125	236
	4.39	181.3	34.8	188938	88.7	3165.5	-3076.8	.98	68.0	22.7	62.9%	1445.8%	-1382.9%	.74	32.3%	308.9	52.7	0.94	703.8	5016	3755	7065
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo