MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1945-09-30. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1Chicago CubsNL1.5-0.198560.00.098.056.098-5698-56>99.9%69.2%0.0%+19.6%+32.5%
2St. Louis CardinalsNL1.2-0.195590.00.095.059.095-5995-59<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-19.6%-32.0%
3Brooklyn DodgersNL0.4-0.187670.00.087.067.087-6787-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.6%
4Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.20.082720.00.082.072.082-7282-72<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5New York GiantsNL-0.40.078740.00.078.074.078-7478-74<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Boston BravesNL-0.10.067850.00.067.085.067-8567-85<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Cincinnati RedsNL-1.00.161930.00.061.093.061-9361-93<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia PhilliesNL-1.80.1461080.00.046.0108.046-10846-108<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1Detroit TigersAL0.50.088650.00.088.065.088-6588-65>99.9%30.8%0.0%+11.4%+56.0%
2Washington NationalsAL0.8-0.187670.00.087.067.087-6787-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-11.4%-37.1%
3New York YankeesAL0.10.081710.00.081.071.081-7181-71<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-6.3%
4St. Louis BrownsAL0.00.081700.00.081.070.081-7081-70<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-8.7%
5Cleveland IndiansAL0.30.073720.00.073.072.073-7273-72<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-3.8%
6Boston Red SoxAL-0.60.171830.00.071.083.071-8371-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Chicago White SoxAL-0.20.071780.00.071.078.071-7871-78<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.1%
8Philadelphia AthleticsAL-0.80.152980.00.052.098.052-9852-98<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%