MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1946-10-03. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1St. Louis CardinalsNL1.20.198580.00.098.058.098-5898-58>99.9%58.8%+20.4%+26.2%+18.8%
2Brooklyn DodgersNL0.5-0.196600.00.096.060.096-6096-60<0.1%<0.1%-20.4%-26.2%-18.5%
3Chicago CubsNL0.10.282710.00.082.071.082-7182-71<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.4%
4Boston BravesNL0.30.081720.00.081.072.081-7281-72<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Philadelphia PhilliesNL-0.70.269850.00.069.085.069-8569-85<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Cincinnati RedsNL-0.30.267870.00.067.087.067-8767-87<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Pittsburgh PiratesNL-0.60.263910.00.063.091.063-9163-91<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8New York GiantsNL-0.50.161930.00.061.093.061-9361-93<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1Boston Red SoxAL0.7-0.1104500.00.0104.050.0104-50104-50>99.9%41.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Detroit TigersAL1.3-0.192620.00.092.062.092-6292-62<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3New York YankeesAL0.7-0.187670.00.087.067.087-6787-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Washington NationalsAL-1.00.176780.00.076.078.076-7876-78<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Chicago White SoxAL-0.10.074800.00.074.080.074-8074-80<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Cleveland IndiansAL-0.40.068860.00.068.086.068-8668-86<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7St. Louis BrownsAL-0.30.066880.00.066.088.066-8866-88<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia AthleticsAL-0.80.1491050.00.049.0105.049-10549-105<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%