MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1944-10-01. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1St. Louis CardinalsNL1.4-0.1105490.00.0105.049.0105-49105-49>99.9%62.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.80.090630.00.090.063.090-6390-63<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3Cincinnati RedsNL0.30.089650.00.089.065.089-6589-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Chicago CubsNL0.70.075790.00.075.079.075-7975-79<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5New York GiantsNL-0.70.167870.00.067.087.067-8767-87<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Boston BravesNL-0.50.165890.00.065.089.065-8965-89<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Brooklyn DodgersNL-1.20.263910.00.063.091.063-9163-91<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia PhilliesNL-0.80.161920.00.061.092.061-9261-92<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1St. Louis BrownsAL0.7-0.189650.00.089.065.089-6589-65>99.9%37.8%+52.4%+77.7%+44.8%
2Detroit TigersAL0.60.288660.00.088.066.088-6688-66<0.1%<0.1%-52.4%-77.2%-11.1%
3New York YankeesAL0.60.283710.00.083.071.083-7183-71<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-0.5%-14.8%
4Boston Red SoxAL0.20.277770.00.077.077.077-7777-77<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-18.9%
5Cleveland IndiansAL-0.30.272820.0-1.072.081.072-8172-81<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Chicago White SoxAL-0.70.371830.00.071.083.071-8371-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia AthleticsAL-0.40.17282-1.00.071.082.071-8271-82<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Washington NationalsAL-0.60.164900.00.064.090.064-9064-90<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%