MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1943-10-03. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1St. Louis CardinalsNL1.30.0105490.00.0105.049.0105-49105-49>99.9%61.2%0.0%0.0%+0.0%
2Cincinnati RedsNL0.50.187670.00.087.067.087-6787-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3Brooklyn DodgersNL0.10.081720.00.081.072.081-7281-72<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.20.180740.0-1.080.073.080-7380-73<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Chicago CubsNL0.60.174790.00.074.079.074-7974-79<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Boston BravesNL-1.00.168850.00.068.085.068-8568-85<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia PhilliesNL-0.80.26490-1.00.063.090.063-9063-90<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8New York GiantsNL-0.80.155980.00.055.098.055-9855-98<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1New York YankeesAL0.70.198560.00.098.056.098-5698-56>99.9%38.8%0.0%0.0%+0.3%
2Washington NationalsAL0.20.084690.00.084.069.084-6984-69<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.2%
3Cleveland IndiansAL0.40.182710.00.082.071.082-7182-71<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.1%
4Chicago White SoxAL-0.30.28272-1.00.081.072.081-7281-72<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Detroit TigersAL0.60.178760.00.078.076.078-7678-76<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.1%
6St. Louis BrownsAL-0.10.072800.00.072.080.072-8072-80<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Boston Red SoxAL-0.10.168840.0-1.068.083.068-8368-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia AthleticsAL-1.60.2491050.00.049.0105.049-10549-105<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%