MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1939-10-01. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1Cincinnati RedsNL0.90.397570.00.097.057.097-5797-57>99.9%31.9%0.0%+5.3%+6.3%
2St. Louis CardinalsNL0.90.392610.00.092.061.092-6192-61<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-5.3%-5.2%
3Brooklyn DodgersNL0.4-0.184690.00.084.069.084-6984-69<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.1%
4Chicago CubsNL0.50.384700.00.084.070.084-7084-70<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-1.0%
5New York GiantsNL0.20.077740.00.077.074.077-7477-74<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Pittsburgh PiratesNL-0.30.468850.00.068.085.068-8568-85<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Boston BeesNL-0.50.163880.00.063.088.063-8863-88<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia PhilliesNL-2.20.5451060.00.045.0106.045-10645-106<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1New York YankeesAL2.3-0.2106450.00.0106.045.0106-45106-45>99.9%68.1%0.0%0.0%+0.0%
2Boston Red SoxAL0.5-0.189620.00.089.062.089-6289-62<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3Cleveland IndiansAL0.7-0.187670.00.087.067.087-6787-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Chicago White SoxAL0.40.085690.00.085.069.085-6985-69<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Detroit TigersAL0.5-0.181730.00.081.073.081-7381-73<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Washington NationalsAL-0.50.165870.00.065.087.065-8765-87<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia AthleticsAL-2.10.355970.00.055.097.055-9755-97<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8St. Louis BrownsAL-1.70.2431110.00.043.0111.043-11143-111<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%