MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1938-10-02. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1Chicago CubsNL0.30.289630.00.089.063.089-6389-63>99.9%29.9%0.0%+86.2%+96.0%
2Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.60.286640.00.086.064.086-6486-64<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-86.2%-89.8%
3New York GiantsNL0.20.083670.00.083.067.083-6783-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-1.5%
4Cincinnati RedsNL0.40.282680.00.082.068.082-6882-68<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-4.7%
5Boston BeesNL-0.40.177750.00.077.075.077-7577-75<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6St. Louis CardinalsNL0.20.271800.00.071.080.071-8071-80<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Brooklyn DodgersNL-0.10.06980-1.00.068.080.068-8068-80<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia PhilliesNL-1.30.3451050.0-1.045.0104.045-10445-104<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1New York YankeesAL1.9-0.199530.00.099.053.099-5399-53>99.9%70.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Boston Red SoxAL0.80.088610.00.088.061.088-6188-61<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3Cleveland IndiansAL0.10.086660.0-1.086.065.086-6586-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Detroit TigersAL0.30.08470-1.00.083.070.083-7083-70<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Washington NationalsAL-0.20.075760.00.075.076.075-7675-76<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Chicago White SoxAL-0.30.065830.00.065.083.065-8365-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7St. Louis BrownsAL-1.10.255970.00.055.097.055-9755-97<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia AthleticsAL-1.60.253990.00.053.099.053-9953-99<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%