MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1937-10-03. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Giants | NL | 0.8 | -0.1 | 95 | 57 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 95.0 | 57.0 | 95-57 | 95-57 | >99.9% | 40.0% | 0.0% | +0.6% | +42.6% | ||||||
| 2 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 0.7 | 0.2 | 93 | 61 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 61.0 | 93-61 | 93-61 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -0.6% | -42.3% | ||||||
| 3 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.3 | 0.2 | 86 | 68 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 68.0 | 85-68 | 85-68 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -0.1 | 0.3 | 81 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 73.0 | 81-73 | 81-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.3% | ||||||
| 5 | Boston Bees | NL | 0.5 | -0.1 | 79 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 73.0 | 79-73 | 79-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | -0.8 | 0.1 | 62 | 91 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.0 | 91.0 | 62-91 | 62-91 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.7 | 0.3 | 61 | 92 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.0 | 92.0 | 61-92 | 61-92 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | -0.6 | 0.3 | 56 | 98 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 56.0 | 97.0 | 56-97 | 56-97 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Yankees | AL | 1.6 | -0.2 | 102 | 52 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 52.0 | 102-52 | 102-52 | >99.9% | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.4% | ||||||
| 2 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 89 | 65 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.0 | 65.0 | 89-65 | 89-65 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.4% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.3 | -0.1 | 86 | 68 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 68.0 | 85-68 | 85-68 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 83 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 71.0 | 83-71 | 83-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.3 | -0.1 | 80 | 72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 72.0 | 80-72 | 80-72 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Washington Nationals | AL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 73 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 80.0 | 73-80 | 73-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | -0.7 | 0.1 | 54 | 97 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 97.0 | 54-97 | 54-97 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -1.9 | 0.3 | 46 | 108 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 46.0 | 107.0 | 46-107 | 46-107 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


We're Social...for Statheads
Site Last Updated: Monday, July 20, 1:58AM
Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction?
Subscribe to our Free Email Newsletter
Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREE
Your All-Access Ticket to the Baseball Reference Database
Do you have a sports website? Or write about sports? We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Find out more.