MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1940-09-29. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1Cincinnati RedsNL0.90.2100530.00.0100.053.0100-53100-53>99.9%51.1%0.0%0.0%+4.0%
2Brooklyn DodgersNL0.5-0.188650.00.088.065.088-6588-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-3.7%
3St. Louis CardinalsNL0.80.284690.00.084.069.084-6984-69<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.2%
4Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.50.278760.00.078.076.078-7678-76<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Chicago CubsNL0.10.275790.00.075.079.075-7975-79<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6New York GiantsNL-0.60.172800.00.072.080.072-8072-80<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.1%
7Boston BeesNL-0.60.165870.00.065.087.065-8765-87<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia PhilliesNL-1.60.4501030.00.050.0103.050-10350-103<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1Detroit TigersAL0.90.090640.00.090.064.090-6490-64>99.9%48.9%0.0%+30.7%+71.5%
2Cleveland IndiansAL0.30.089650.00.089.065.089-6589-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-28.2%-54.7%
3New York YankeesAL0.90.088660.00.088.066.088-6688-66<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-2.5%-15.8%
4Chicago White SoxAL0.60.082720.00.082.072.082-7282-72<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.2%
5Boston Red SoxAL0.10.18272-1.00.081.072.081-7281-72<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.7%
6St. Louis BrownsAL-0.90.167870.00.067.087.067-8767-87<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Washington NationalsAL-0.70.164900.00.064.090.064-9064-90<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia AthleticsAL-1.30.2541000.0-1.054.099.054-9954-99<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%