MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 2020-09-27. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg D SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Post WC Div LDS LCS Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL East
1Atlanta BravesNLE1.40.035250.00.035.025.035-2535-25>99.9%<0.1%>99.9%64.8%44.6%23.4%13.6%0.0%0.0%+4.5%
2Miami MarlinsNLE-0.50.031290.00.031.029.031-2931-29>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%41.7%14.3%4.8%1.6%0.0%+17.2%+71.7%
3Philadelphia PhilliesNLE0.30.028320.00.028.032.028-3228-32<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%-7.1%-70.8%-41.5%
4Washington NationalsNLE1.10.026340.00.026.034.026-3426-34<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-47.3%
5New York MetsNLE0.60.026340.00.026.034.026-3426-34<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-5.1%-75.3%
NL Central
1Chicago CubsNLC0.40.034260.00.034.026.034-2634-26>99.9%<0.1%>99.9%48.7%19.6%9.6%4.2%0.0%0.0%+7.8%
2Cincinnati RedsNLC-0.50.031290.00.031.029.031-2931-29>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%29.8%10.6%4.4%1.0%0.0%+53.6%+71.2%
3St. Louis CardinalsNLC0.50.030280.00.030.028.030-2830-28>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%51.3%23.0%11.9%6.5%+34.6%+28.2%+21.7%
4Milwaukee BrewersNLC-0.10.029310.00.029.031.029-3129-31>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%35.2%17.0%6.5%3.7%+41.4%+42.7%+60.3%
5Pittsburgh PiratesNLC-1.40.119410.00.019.041.019-4119-41<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.9%
NL West
1Los Angeles DodgersNLW1.7-0.143170.00.043.017.043-1743-17>99.9%<0.1%>99.9%70.2%46.8%30.7%20.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2San Diego PadresNLW0.10.037230.00.037.023.037-2337-23>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%58.3%24.1%8.7%4.2%0.0%0.0%+8.3%
3San Francisco GiantsNLW-0.40.029310.00.029.031.029-3129-31<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%-68.9%-63.8%-26.7%
4Colorado RockiesNLW-1.20.026340.00.026.034.026-3426-34<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-2.0%-30.4%
5Arizona DiamondbacksNLW-0.20.025350.00.025.035.025-3525-35<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-23.4%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg D SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Post WC Div LDS LCS Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL East
1Tampa Bay RaysALE0.80.040200.00.040.020.040-2040-20>99.9%<0.1%>99.9%55.4%29.4%16.4%7.6%0.0%0.0%+0.3%
2New York YankeesALE0.90.033270.00.033.027.033-2733-27>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%49.7%27.1%13.8%7.5%0.0%0.0%+4.8%
3Toronto Blue JaysALE-0.30.032280.00.032.028.032-2832-28>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%42.2%16.7%7.5%2.8%0.0%+4.5%+21.2%
4Baltimore OriolesALE-0.10.025350.00.025.035.025-3525-35<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-3.0%-14.2%
5Boston Red SoxALE-0.20.024360.00.024.036.024-3624-36<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-1.2%
AL Central
1Minnesota TwinsALC0.70.036240.00.036.024.036-2436-24>99.9%<0.1%>99.9%57.8%30.4%15.8%6.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Cleveland IndiansALC0.40.035250.00.035.025.035-2535-25>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%49.0%24.3%11.8%4.8%0.0%0.0%+0.1%
3Chicago White SoxALC0.20.035250.00.035.025.035-2535-25>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%44.1%20.8%9.2%4.0%0.0%0.0%+1.6%
4Kansas City RoyalsALC-0.90.026340.00.026.034.026-3426-34<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-6.0%
5Detroit TigersALC-1.50.123350.00.023.035.023-3523-35<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-0.1%-2.0%
AL West
1Oakland AthleticsALW0.70.036240.00.036.024.036-2436-24>99.9%<0.1%>99.9%51.5%25.5%12.7%5.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Houston AstrosALW0.60.029310.00.029.031.029-3129-31>99.9%>99.9%<0.1%50.3%25.8%12.8%6.2%0.0%+0.6%+0.5%
3Seattle MarinersALW-0.80.027330.00.027.033.027-3327-33<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-1.5%-3.4%
4Los Angeles AngelsALW-0.90.026340.00.026.034.026-3426-34<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-0.5%-0.4%
5Texas RangersALW-1.30.022380.00.022.038.022-3822-38<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-1.3%