MLB playoff odds are based on 1000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 2020-08-02. This page does not update during the postseason.

These odds are low for teams who have had games postponed and not yet rescheduled due to COVID-19. The odds for those teams will likely rise again when rescheduled games are added to the schedule.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg D SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Post WC Div LDS LCS Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL East
1Atlanta BravesNLE1.30.37328.022.035.025.041-1929-3195.4%32.7%62.7%54.0%30.2%16.6%10.4%+3.6%+10.4%
2Washington NationalsNLE1.60.23429.420.632.424.638-1927-3082.7%54.8%27.9%51.6%30.0%18.3%11.2%-2.0%-8.5%
3New York MetsNLE0.70.33726.523.529.530.535-2524-3652.9%44.8%8.1%30.1%15.0%7.6%4.1%-4.5%-9.3%
4Philadelphia PhilliesNLE-0.10.61224.429.625.431.631-2620-3715.3%14.2%1.1%6.1%2.7%1.1%0.5%-1.5%-6.9%
5Miami MarlinsNLE-0.80.72120.429.622.430.628-2517-362.8%2.6%0.2%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.1%-0.3%-9.3%
NL Central
1Chicago CubsNLC0.4-0.37227.122.934.124.940-1928-3191.6%36.4%55.2%44.7%17.7%7.4%3.6%+2.9%+14.0%
2St. Louis CardinalsNLC0.8-0.42330.121.932.124.938-1926-3179.3%49.5%29.8%40.5%21.0%9.7%4.5%-4.4%-10.4%
3Milwaukee BrewersNLC-0.1-0.23325.925.128.928.135-2224-3345.2%37.5%7.7%18.8%7.5%1.6%0.3%-6.0%-4.5%
4Cincinnati RedsNLC-0.40.04523.726.327.731.333-2622-3733.6%29.2%4.4%13.7%5.0%1.5%0.7%+11.5%+0.9%
5Pittsburgh PiratesNLC-0.7-0.12724.027.026.034.032-2821-3918.6%15.7%2.9%6.7%1.9%0.5%0.2%-1.2%-6.4%
NL West
1Los Angeles DodgersNLW1.9-0.47331.818.238.821.244-1633-2799.7%10.8%88.9%64.6%42.3%25.0%16.7%+0.9%+3.6%
2San Francisco GiantsNLW0.00.15524.525.529.530.535-2524-3652.5%49.0%3.5%21.6%9.6%3.3%1.3%-3.8%-1.2%
3Colorado RockiesNLW-0.80.36223.228.829.230.835-2523-3748.3%45.1%3.2%17.5%5.9%1.9%0.7%+7.9%+26.2%
4San Diego PadresNLW-0.40.16423.126.929.130.935-2524-3648.3%45.1%3.2%15.7%5.5%2.6%0.5%-3.6%+17.0%
5Arizona DiamondbacksNLW0.00.13724.825.227.832.233-2722-3833.8%32.6%1.2%13.4%5.3%2.8%1.0%+0.5%-15.6%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg D SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Post WC Div LDS LCS Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL East
1New York YankeesALE1.40.07130.221.837.222.843-1732-2899.5%9.1%90.4%62.0%37.3%21.7%11.2%+1.1%+5.5%
2Tampa Bay RaysALE0.10.24624.825.228.831.234-2623-3759.9%55.5%4.4%27.3%13.3%5.7%2.1%-3.5%-7.9%
3Boston Red SoxALE0.10.33724.625.427.632.433-2722-3844.2%42.0%2.2%18.6%7.7%2.7%0.9%-7.7%-11.4%
4Toronto Blue JaysALE-0.10.23424.225.827.229.833-2421-3643.2%40.4%2.8%18.1%6.2%2.9%0.9%+1.2%+0.6%
5Baltimore OriolesALE-1.00.65319.628.424.631.430-2619-3715.8%15.6%0.2%5.2%1.8%0.4%<0.1%+3.8%-0.3%
AL Central
1Minnesota TwinsALC0.5-0.87229.521.536.523.542-1831-2999.2%31.2%68.0%54.1%25.1%13.7%6.0%+1.4%+8.6%
2Cleveland IndiansALC0.5-0.85528.621.433.626.439-2128-3293.9%66.6%27.3%46.2%24.1%10.0%3.3%-2.4%-3.0%
3Chicago White SoxALC-0.9-0.55424.027.029.031.035-2523-3759.8%55.6%4.2%19.9%5.2%1.6%0.6%+8.2%+20.3%
4Kansas City RoyalsALC-1.3-0.23721.728.324.735.331-2919-4115.8%15.5%0.3%5.0%1.2%0.2%<0.1%-2.6%-12.8%
5Detroit TigersALC-2.3-0.15518.431.623.436.629-3118-429.4%9.2%0.2%1.7%0.4%<0.1%<0.1%-2.2%+3.6%
AL West
1Houston AstrosALW1.4-0.35430.220.835.224.841-1929-3197.3%41.3%56.0%63.1%37.5%21.4%10.1%+0.2%-0.4%
2Oakland AthleticsALW1.0-0.15429.321.734.325.740-2029-3195.5%53.9%41.6%56.9%32.6%17.5%8.5%+1.0%+0.2%
3Seattle MarinersALW-0.90.04622.127.926.133.932-2821-3927.3%26.6%0.7%9.2%3.3%0.9%0.4%-3.0%+3.3%
4Los Angeles AngelsALW-0.90.13722.127.925.134.931-2920-4019.1%18.0%1.1%6.4%2.5%0.7%0.1%-4.0%-6.5%
5Texas RangersALW-1.20.13522.030.025.035.031-2919-4120.1%19.5%0.6%6.3%1.8%0.6%0.1%+8.5%+0.2%