2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.68	-4.1	-0.2	1438	-0.2	25.3	-25.5	1.04	0.9	-1.1	-0.3%	13.7%	-14.0%	.94	-0.9%	5.5	0.8	0.95	13.6	40	24	56
Atlanta Braves	3.85	23.3	2.7	1303	4.4	24.9	-20.5	1.05	4.7	-0.4	3.0%	17.0%	-14.0%	1.19	-0.3%	36.3	4.0	0.93	51.0	39	23	46
Baltimore Orioles	3.72	16.5	1.9	1377	4.0	25.9	-21.9	1.04	3.6	0.2	2.9%	17.3%	-14.3%	1.15	0.4%	36.6	4.3	0.89	35.0	45	28	53
Boston Red Sox	3.51	44.0	4.8	1405	3.2	25.4	-22.2	1.04	4.6	-1.5	1.8%	15.2%	-13.4%	1.04	-1.0%	45.7	4.9	0.92	53.5	42	34	41
Chicago Cubs	4.24	17.0	2.5	1492	3.2	29.4	-26.2	1.12	3.5	-0.6	2.1%	18.9%	-16.9%	1.20	-0.4%	19.8	2.9	0.95	31.0	51	24	50
Chicago White Sox	5.30	-26.6	-2.5	1479	-2.7	24.9	-27.6	1.02	-2.4	-0.3	-0.5%	5.7%	-6.2%	.39	0.1%	-28.3	-2.6	0.95	-27.1	51	32	51
Cincinnati Reds	4.39	9.8	1.1	1411	0.8	21.2	-20.4	.89	0.7	0.1	0.4%	12.0%	-11.7%	.84	0.0%	11.4	1.3	0.95	12.2	29	27	54
Cleveland Guardians	3.81	15.4	2.0	1465	3.5	28.6	-25.1	1.09	2.7	0.5	2.4%	20.2%	-17.7%	1.28	0.3%	33.1	3.9	0.94	30.9	61	32	53
Colorado Rockies	5.92	-27.8	-2.5	1460	-4.4	20.6	-24.9	.89	-2.5	-2.5	-1.6%	6.2%	-7.8%	.45	-2.3%	-37.0	-3.1	0.96	-22.9	28	23	53
Detroit Tigers	3.86	23.6	2.6	1402	2.8	27.7	-24.9	1.11	3.8	-1.3	1.7%	17.6%	-15.9%	1.18	-0.8%	31.9	3.5	0.92	44.8	52	26	33
Houston Astros	5.28	-39.0	-3.3	1460	-2.1	23.3	-25.4	.95	-2.4	0.2	-0.9%	8.9%	-9.7%	.61	0.0%	-24.1	-1.7	0.99	-20.9	35	28	60
Kansas City Royals	3.39	31.6	3.6	1432	4.4	27.5	-23.1	1.07	3.3	0.8	2.7%	17.3%	-14.6%	1.12	0.5%	43.5	4.9	0.96	40.4	46	28	45
Los Angeles Angels	5.08	-18.3	-1.7	1451	-1.4	21.0	-22.4	.83	-0.5	-1.2	-0.8%	10.2%	-11.0%	.67	-0.8%	-15.6	-1.3	0.93	-4.1	21	24	67
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.59	35.7	3.8	1488	4.6	24.8	-20.3	.93	5.7	-0.8	3.1%	17.1%	-14.0%	1.07	-0.5%	51.2	5.5	0.91	62.0	36	37	49
Miami Marlins	5.69	-33.3	-2.8	1593	-4.1	24.0	-28.1	.94	-1.3	-3.1	-1.2%	6.5%	-7.7%	.43	-1.8%	-35.5	-2.8	0.98	-18.5	35	32	64
Milwaukee Brewers	4.39	1.8	0.5	1415	2.7	24.5	-21.8	1.01	1.3	1.4	1.9%	16.8%	-14.9%	1.14	0.9%	10.3	1.5	0.95	10.5	41	29	50
Minnesota Twins	4.28	-0.5	0.1	1381	2.1	23.7	-21.7	.97	2.5	-0.3	1.1%	12.9%	-11.8%	.88	-0.3%	13.8	1.7	0.92	26.2	43	29	44
New York Mets	4.33	6.7	1.0	1463	2.5	28.3	-25.8	1.15	2.0	0.1	1.2%	15.1%	-13.9%	1.03	0.0%	16.9	2.1	0.99	25.1	56	26	42
New York Yankees	3.45	36.4	3.8	1467	5.5	29.2	-23.6	1.12	3.6	1.4	3.8%	20.3%	-16.5%	1.30	0.8%	47.3	5.0	0.96	35.3	48	25	41
Oakland Athletics	4.67	-13.3	-1.2	1547	1.2	25.1	-23.9	.92	-0.7	2.0	0.1%	11.6%	-11.5%	.72	0.6%	-10.6	-0.8	0.99	-12.9	36	31	50
Philadelphia Phillies	3.66	31.4	3.7	1460	5.0	26.1	-21.0	1.00	4.7	0.4	3.1%	16.3%	-13.2%	1.04	0.2%	39.9	4.7	0.93	51.5	44	21	47
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.11	13.2	1.4	1465	2.2	26.7	-24.4	1.04	2.3	-0.2	1.1%	15.8%	-14.6%	1.03	-0.3%	22.5	2.5	0.94	28.4	49	24	44
San Diego Padres	4.55	-7.9	-0.5	1541	-0.4	23.9	-24.4	.91	0.7	-1.2	-0.4%	13.7%	-14.0%	.87	-0.8%	3.2	0.6	0.93	10.4	36	35	64
Seattle Mariners	3.41	24.7	2.8	1358	2.7	22.5	-19.9	.94	4.2	-1.4	1.4%	12.9%	-11.6%	.90	-1.0%	39.6	4.5	0.88	48.2	33	23	55
San Francisco Giants	4.71	-19.1	-1.4	1475	1.5	22.4	-20.9	.89	0.9	0.8	0.6%	11.6%	-11.0%	.77	0.2%	-7.2	0.0	0.96	3.0	28	30	64
St. Louis Cardinals	4.47	3.9	0.8	1386	0.7	24.2	-23.5	.99	1.0	-0.3	0.3%	12.1%	-11.9%	.83	-0.3%	9.1	1.3	0.94	13.1	32	39	41
Tampa Bay Rays	4.87	-21.5	-2.0	1520	0.7	26.5	-25.9	1.04	0.2	0.5	0.2%	13.6%	-13.4%	.89	0.1%	-4.8	-0.3	0.94	0.0	51	25	42
Texas Rangers	4.36	-0.1	0.4	1494	3.3	26.7	-23.4	1.02	3.5	-0.2	1.9%	16.6%	-14.7%	1.06	-0.3%	10.7	1.7	0.93	34.3	46	24	44
Toronto Blue Jays	4.81	-24.5	-2.2	1429	0.4	21.8	-21.4	.87	-1.9	2.4	0.2%	11.8%	-11.6%	.78	1.4%	-15.8	-1.2	0.96	-24.3	20	39	64
Washington Nationals	4.42	2.3	0.6	1434	0.7	24.9	-24.2	1.00	0.8	-0.1	0.1%	12.6%	-12.5%	.85	-0.4%	9.8	1.5	0.96	10.4	42	36	57
League Average	4.36	3	1	1450	2	25	-23	.99	2	-0	1%	14%	-13%	.92	0%	12	2	0	18	41	29	51
	4.36	101.2	19.7	43491	46.8	751.0	-704.3	.99	49.6	-2.6	31.4%	417.6%	-386.2%	.92	4.4%	359.3	49.3	0.94	540.3	1216	858	1524
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo