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Standings
TBD
@BOS		6
8
DET
@CLE		3
5
NYY
@KCR		3
0
CHW
@MIN		1
6
TEX
@OAK		10
3
ANA
@SEA		0
1
BAL
@TOR		0
3
COL
@ARI		2
3
PIT
@CHC		5
13
PHI
@CIN		9
1
MON
@FLA		6
2
MON
@FLA		10
4
SDP
@LAD		7
3
SFG
@MIL		8
1
ATL
@NYM		2
0
HOU
@STL		2
4
Wednesday, September 15, 2004 3:06PM
, Pro Player Stadium
Attendance: Not Given, Time of Game: 2:30
First game of doubleheader, see Second game.
Expos
6
60-85
⇐ Won 1 ⇒
5th, 25 GB
 at Marlins
2
76-66
⇐ Lost 1 ⇒
2nd, 8½ GB
L: Carl Pavano (17-6)
 
                1  2  3   4  5  6   7  8  9    R  H  E
                -  -  -   -  -  -   -  -  -    -  -  -
Expos           1  0  0   1  0  1   1  0  2    6 12  0
Marlins         0  1  0   0  0  0   1  0  0    2  8  1

Montreal Expos

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Brad Wilkerson 1B 5 2 1 1 0 2 .252 .862 26 16 0.140 0.76 0.196 -0.056 1.5 9 0 HR,SB
Endy Chavez CF 5 1 2 0 0 1 .284 .708 25 16 -0.015 0.65 0.039 -0.054 0.0 3 0
Tony Batista 3B 5 0 1 0 0 0 .237 .696 18 11 -0.093 0.54 0.005 -0.098 -1.1 0 1 GDP
Juan Rivera RF 5 1 2 2 0 0 .291 .778 12 7 0.011 0.60 0.072 -0.061 1.5 3 0 HR
Ryan Church LF 3 1 1 1 2 2 .189 .547 24 12 0.147 0.60 0.169 -0.022 1.3 2 0 HR
Alex Gonzalez SS 4 1 1 0 0 1 .230 .642 17 11 -0.051 0.90 0.023 -0.073 -1.0 1 1
Brian Schneider C 4 0 3 1 0 0 .263 .747 12 9 0.100 1.16 0.185 -0.084 0.6 7 0 2B
Maicer Izturis 2B 3 0 0 0 1 1 .228 .737 16 7 -0.058 1.00 0.009 -0.067 -0.7 2 4 IW
John Patterson P 4 0 1 0 0 2 .143 .315 14 12 -0.032 1.02 0.029 -0.061 -0.4 0 1
   Chad Cordero P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0.000 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.0 0 0
Team Totals 38 6 12 5 3 9 .316 .945 164 101 0.149 0.79 0.727 -0.576 1.6 27 7
2B: B Schneider (19, off C Pavano).
HR: B Wilkerson (29, off C Pavano; 1st inn, 0 on, 0 outs to CF-RF); R Church (1, off C Pavano; 6th inn, 0 on, 1 out to CF); J Rivera (8, off D Weathers; 9th inn, 1 on, 2 outs to CF-RF).
IBB: M Izturis (1, by C Pavano).
TB: J Rivera 5; B Wilkerson 4; R Church 4; B Schneider 4; E Chavez 2; A Gonzalez; T Batista; J Patterson.
GIDP: T Batista (13).
RBI: J Rivera 2 (38); R Church (4); B Wilkerson (59); B Schneider (46).
2-out RBI: J Rivera 2; B Schneider.
Team LOB: 8.
With RISP: 1 for 5.
Fielding
DP: 1. T Batista-M Izturis-B Wilkerson.
Baserunning
SB: B Wilkerson (13, 2nd base off C Pavano/P Lo Duca).

Florida Marlins

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Juan Pierre CF 4 0 1 0 0 0 .325 .786 14 9 -0.010 1.04 0.059 -0.069 -0.2 2 0
Luis Castillo 2B 4 0 1 0 0 0 .293 .729 15 11 -0.056 1.02 0.026 -0.082 -0.3 3 5
Paul Lo Duca C 4 0 0 0 0 1 .298 .788 13 8 -0.115 1.18 0.000 -0.115 -1.0 9 0
Miguel Cabrera LF 4 0 1 0 0 0 .307 .911 12 9 -0.068 0.78 0.011 -0.079 -0.4 2 0
Mike Lowell 3B 4 1 2 0 0 0 .295 .883 15 10 0.058 0.77 0.098 -0.040 0.3 1 4 2·2B
Jeff Conine 1B 4 0 1 0 0 2 .278 .761 17 13 -0.100 0.96 0.009 -0.108 -0.7 10 0
Juan Encarnacion RF 4 1 2 2 0 0 .238 .708 8 7 0.116 0.91 0.164 -0.048 1.1 0 0 HR
Alex Gonzalez SS 3 0 0 0 0 2 .238 .707 11 9 -0.093 0.93 0.000 -0.093 -0.8 0 2 GDP
Carl Pavano P 2 0 0 0 0 2 .167 .510 9 7 -0.041 0.81 0.000 -0.041 -0.3 0 0
   Matt Perisho P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.0 0 0
   Lenny Harris PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .238 .565 4 3 -0.043 1.70 0.000 -0.043 -0.2
   David Weathers P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.0 0 0
Team Totals 34 2 8 2 0 7 .235 .618 118 86 -0.352 0.96 0.367 -0.718 -2.4 27 11
2B: M Lowell 2 (40, 2 off J Patterson).
HR: J Encarnacion (16, off J Patterson; 7th inn, 0 on, 2 outs to LF).
TB: J Encarnacion 5; M Lowell 4; J Conine; L Castillo; M Cabrera; J Pierre.
GIDP: A Gonzalez (15).
RBI: J Encarnacion 2 (59).
2-out RBI: J Encarnacion.
Team LOB: 5.
With RISP: 1 for 4.
Fielding
DP: 1. A Gonzalez-L Castillo-J Conine.
E: J Conine (5).

Montreal Expos

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str Ctct StS StL GB FB LD Unk GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
John Patterson, W (4-5) 8 6 2 2 0 7 1 4.94 29 104 77 41 15 21 9 13 5 0 69 0.333 1.07 1.9
Chad Cordero 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 3.11 5 14 9 7 0 2 0 5 2 0 0 0 0.018 0.37 0.5
Team Totals 9 8 2 2 0 7 1 2.00 34 118 86 48 15 23 9 18 7 0 69 0 0 0.351 0.79 2.4

Florida Marlins

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str Ctct StS StL GB FB LD Unk GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Carl Pavano, L (17-6) 6.2 10 4 3 2 5 2 2.98 31 119 73 41 11 21 13 11 6 0 43 -0.139 0.90 -1.0
Matt Perisho 1.1 0 0 0 1 2 0 4.20 5 24 16 6 3 7 1 1 0 0 2 0 0.045 0.57 0.9
David Weathers 1 2 2 2 0 2 1 4.74 5 21 12 5 2 5 1 2 1 0 0 0 -0.055 0.24 -1.5
Team Totals 9 12 6 5 3 9 3 5.00 41 164 101 52 16 33 15 14 7 0 43 2 0 -0.149 0.96 -1.6
Balks: C Pavano (3).
WP: None.
HBP: None.
IBB: C Pavano (13; M Izturis).
Pickoffs: None.

Other Info

Umpires: HP - Mike Winters, 1B - Joe West, 2B - Adam Dowdy, 3B - Paul Emmel.
Time of Game: 2:30.
Attendance: 0.
Field Condition: Unknown.
Start Time Weather: 86° F, Wind 13mph from Right to Left.

Starting Lineups

Win Probability Chart

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Top 5 Plays

View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
t4 1-1 2 1-- 4,(2-1)  R MON B. Schneider C. Pavano 14% 61% Double to CF (Line Drive to Deep CF); Gonzalez Scores
t6 2-1 1 --- 2,(0-1)  R MON R. Church C. Pavano 13% 77% Home Run (Fly Ball)
t1 0-0 0 --- 7,(3-2)  R MON B. Wilkerson C. Pavano 10% 60% Home Run (Fly Ball to CF-RF)
b2 0-1 1 -2- 3,(0-2)  R FLA J. Encarnacion J. Patterson -9% 45% Single to CF (Ground Ball); Lowell Scores
t4 2-1 2 123 O MON B. Wilkerson C. Pavano -7% 58% Baserunner Out Advancing; Schneider out at 3B/3B

Play By Play

View Pitches · Box Score Explanation · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
Top of the 1st, Expos Batting, Tied 0-0, Marlins' Carl Pavano facing 1-2-3
t1 0-0 0 --- 7,(3-2)  R MON B. Wilkerson C. Pavano 10% 60% Home Run (Fly Ball to CF-RF)
t1 1-0 0 --- 5,(1-2)  MON E. Chavez C. Pavano 3% 63% Single to RF (Line Drive to CF-RF)
t1 1-0 0 1-- 5,(3-1)  OO MON T. Batista C. Pavano -7% 57% Ground Ball Double Play: SS-2B-1B
t1 1-0 2 --- 2,(0-1)  O MON J. Rivera C. Pavano -1% 56% Groundout: 3B-1B
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 1, Marlins 0.
Bottom of the 1st, Marlins Batting, Behind 0-1, Expos' John Patterson facing 1-2-3
b1 0-1 0 --- 3,(1-1)  O FLA J. Pierre J. Patterson 2% 58% Lineout: 1B
b1 0-1 1 --- 6,(2-2)  FLA L. Castillo J. Patterson -3% 55% Single to LF (Line Drive)
b1 0-1 1 1-- 1,(0-0)  O FLA P. Lo Duca J. Patterson 3% 58% Lineout: LF
b1 0-1 2 1-- 2,(0-1)  O FLA M. Cabrera J. Patterson 2% 61% Flyball: CF
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Expos 1, Marlins 0.
Top of the 2nd, Expos Batting, Ahead 1-0, Marlins' Carl Pavano facing 5-6-7
t2 1-0 0 --- 4,(1-2)  O MON R. Church C. Pavano -2% 59% Strikeout Swinging
t2 1-0 1 --- 5,(2-2)  MON A. Gonzalez C. Pavano 2% 61% Single to RF (Line Drive)
t2 1-0 1 1-- 3,(1-1)  MON B. Schneider C. Pavano 3% 64% Single to CF (Ground Ball); Gonzalez to 2B
t2 1-0 1 12- 2,(1-0)  O MON M. Izturis C. Pavano -4% 60% Lineout: 2B
t2 1-0 2 12- 3,(0-2)  O MON J. Patterson C. Pavano -4% 56% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Expos 1, Marlins 0.
Bottom of the 2nd, Marlins Batting, Behind 0-1, Expos' John Patterson facing 5-6-7
b2 0-1 0 --- 9,(3-2)  FLA M. Lowell J. Patterson -7% 49% Double to CF (Fly Ball)
b2 0-1 0 -2- 6,(2-2)  O FLA J. Conine J. Patterson 5% 54% Strikeout Looking
b2 0-1 1 -2- 3,(0-2)  R FLA J. Encarnacion J. Patterson -9% 45% Single to CF (Ground Ball); Lowell Scores
b2 1-1 1 1-- 3,(1-1)  OO FLA A. Gonzalez J. Patterson 5% 50% Ground Ball Double Play: 3B-2B-1B
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 1, Marlins 1.
Top of the 3rd, Expos Batting, Tied 1-1, Marlins' Carl Pavano facing 1-2-3
t3 1-1 0 --- 5,(2-2)  O MON B. Wilkerson C. Pavano -3% 47% Strikeout Swinging
t3 1-1 1 --- 6,(2-2)  O MON E. Chavez C. Pavano -2% 46% Strikeout Looking
t3 1-1 2 --- 6,(3-2)  O MON T. Batista C. Pavano -1% 45% Flyball: LF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 1, Marlins 1.
Bottom of the 3rd, Marlins Batting, Tied 1-1, Expos' John Patterson facing 9-1-2
b3 1-1 0 --- 4,(1-2)  O FLA C. Pavano J. Patterson 2% 47% Strikeout Swinging
b3 1-1 1 --- 4,(2-1)  O FLA J. Pierre J. Patterson 2% 49% Groundout: 2B-1B
b3 1-1 2 --- 2,(0-1)  O FLA L. Castillo J. Patterson 1% 50% Lineout: CF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 1, Marlins 1.
Top of the 4th, Expos Batting, Tied 1-1, Marlins' Carl Pavano facing 4-5-6
t4 1-1 0 --- 2,(1-0)  O MON J. Rivera C. Pavano -3% 47% Groundout: 3B-1B
t4 1-1 1 --- 6,(3-2)  MON R. Church C. Pavano 3% 50% Walk
t4 1-1 1 1-- 5,(2-2)  O MON A. Gonzalez C. Pavano -3% 47% Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B
t4 1-1 2 1-- 4,(2-1)  R MON B. Schneider C. Pavano 14% 61% Double to CF (Line Drive to Deep CF); Gonzalez Scores
t4 2-1 2 -2- 4,(3-0)  MON M. Izturis C. Pavano 1% 62% Intentional Walk
t4 2-1 2 12- 2,(0-1)  MON J. Patterson C. Pavano 3% 65% Single to LF (Fly Ball); Schneider to 3B; Izturis to 2B
t4 2-1 2 123 O MON B. Wilkerson C. Pavano -7% 58% Baserunner Out Advancing; Schneider out at 3B/3B
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Expos 2, Marlins 1.
Bottom of the 4th, Marlins Batting, Behind 1-2, Expos' John Patterson facing 3-4-5
b4 1-2 0 --- 5,(2-2)  O FLA P. Lo Duca J. Patterson 3% 61% Strikeout Looking
b4 1-2 1 --- 3,(1-1)  O FLA M. Cabrera J. Patterson 2% 63% Foul Popfly: 1B (1B Foul)
b4 1-2 2 --- 3,(1-1)  FLA M. Lowell J. Patterson -3% 60% Double to CF (Fly Ball to CF-RF)
b4 1-2 2 -2- 2,(0-1)  O FLA J. Conine J. Patterson 4% 64% Groundout: SS-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Expos 2, Marlins 1.
Top of the 5th, Expos Batting, Ahead 2-1, Marlins' Carl Pavano facing 1-2-3
t5 2-1 0 --- 3,(1-1)  O MON B. Wilkerson C. Pavano -2% 62% Groundout: 2B-1B
t5 2-1 1 --- 6,(3-2)  O MON E. Chavez C. Pavano -2% 60% Groundout: 2B-1B
t5 2-1 2 --- 3,(0-2)  O MON T. Batista C. Pavano -1% 59% Groundout: 3B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 2, Marlins 1.
Bottom of the 5th, Marlins Batting, Behind 1-2, Expos' John Patterson facing 7-8-9
b5 1-2 0 --- 2,(0-1)  O FLA J. Encarnacion J. Patterson 3% 62% Flyball: CF
b5 1-2 1 --- 5,(1-2)  O FLA A. Gonzalez J. Patterson 2% 65% Strikeout Swinging
b5 1-2 2 --- 5,(1-2)  O FLA C. Pavano J. Patterson 2% 66% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 2, Marlins 1.
Top of the 6th, Expos Batting, Ahead 2-1, Marlins' Carl Pavano facing 4-5-6
t6 2-1 0 --- 1,(0-0)  O MON J. Rivera C. Pavano -2% 64% Groundout: 2B-1B
t6 2-1 1 --- 2,(0-1)  R MON R. Church C. Pavano 13% 77% Home Run (Fly Ball)
t6 3-1 1 --- 3,(1-1)  O MON A. Gonzalez C. Pavano -1% 76% Groundout: 3B-1B
t6 3-1 2 --- 1,(0-0)  MON B. Schneider C. Pavano 1% 77% Single to RF (Line Drive)
t6 3-1 2 1-- 5,(2-2)  O MON M. Izturis C. Pavano -2% 75% Flyball: CF
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Expos 3, Marlins 1.
Bottom of the 6th, Marlins Batting, Behind 1-3, Expos' John Patterson facing 1-2-3
b6 1-3 0 --- 3,(1-1)  FLA J. Pierre J. Patterson -6% 69% Single to SS/Bunt
b6 1-3 0 1-- 3,(0-2)  O FLA L. Castillo J. Patterson 5% 74% Groundout: 2B-SS/Forceout at 2B
b6 1-3 1 1-- 3,(1-1)  O FLA P. Lo Duca J. Patterson 4% 79% Flyball: RF (Deep RF)
b6 1-3 2 1-- 2,(0-1)  O FLA M. Cabrera J. Patterson 3% 82% Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Expos 3, Marlins 1.
Top of the 7th, Expos Batting, Ahead 3-1, Marlins' Carl Pavano facing 9-1-2
t7 3-1 0 --- 4,(1-2)  O MON J. Patterson C. Pavano -2% 81% Strikeout Swinging
t7 3-1 1 --- 6,(2-2)  MON B. Wilkerson C. Pavano 2% 82% Reached on E3 (throw) (Ground Ball); Wilkerson to 1B
t7 3-1 1 1-- 1,(0-0)  MON E. Chavez C. Pavano 1% 83% Wilkerson Steals 2B
t7 3-1 1 -2- 3,(1-1)  O MON E. Chavez C. Pavano -2% 81% Groundout: 1B unassisted; Wilkerson to 3B
t7 3-1 2 --3 R MON T. Batista C. Pavano 7% 88% Balk; Wilkerson Scores/unER
t7 4-1 2 --- 2,(1-0)  MON T. Batista C. Pavano 0% 89% Single to LF (Line Drive)
t7 4-1 2 1-- 4,(2-1)  MON J. Rivera C. Pavano 1% 90% Single to CF (Ground Ball); Batista to 2B
Matt Perisho replaces Carl Pavano pitching and batting 9th
t7 4-1 2 12- 6,(3-2)  MON R. Church M. Perisho 1% 91% Walk; Batista to 3B; Rivera to 2B
t7 4-1 2 123 4,(1-2)  O MON A. Gonzalez M. Perisho -3% 88% Strikeout Swinging
1 run, 2 hits, 1 error, 3 LOB. Expos 4, Marlins 1.
Bottom of the 7th, Marlins Batting, Behind 1-4, Expos' John Patterson facing 5-6-7
b7 1-4 0 --- 1,(0-0)  O FLA M. Lowell J. Patterson 3% 91% Popfly: 1B
b7 1-4 1 --- 7,(2-2)  O FLA J. Conine J. Patterson 2% 92% Strikeout Looking
b7 1-4 2 --- 2,(1-0)  R FLA J. Encarnacion J. Patterson -7% 85% Home Run (Line Drive)
b7 2-4 2 --- 3,(0-2)  O FLA A. Gonzalez J. Patterson 2% 87% Strikeout Swinging
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 4, Marlins 2.
Top of the 8th, Expos Batting, Ahead 4-2, Marlins' Matt Perisho facing 7-8-9
t8 4-2 0 --- 4,(0-2)  O MON B. Schneider M. Perisho -1% 86% Flyball: LF
t8 4-2 1 --- 5,(2-2)  O MON M. Izturis M. Perisho -1% 85% Strikeout Swinging
t8 4-2 2 --- 5,(1-2)  O MON J. Patterson M. Perisho -1% 84% Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 4, Marlins 2.
Bottom of the 8th, Marlins Batting, Behind 2-4, Expos' John Patterson facing 9-1-2
Lenny Harris pinch hits for Matt Perisho (P) batting 9th
b8 2-4 0 --- 4,(1-2)  O FLA L. Harris J. Patterson 4% 88% Popfly: 2B
b8 2-4 1 --- 4,(1-2)  O FLA J. Pierre J. Patterson 3% 91% Groundout: 1B unassisted
b8 2-4 2 --- 4,(2-1)  O FLA L. Castillo J. Patterson 2% 93% Bunt Groundout: P-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 4, Marlins 2.
Top of the 9th, Expos Batting, Ahead 4-2, Marlins' David Weathers facing 1-2-3
David Weathers replaces Lenny Harris (PH) pitching and batting 9th
t9 4-2 0 --- 5,(2-2)  O MON B. Wilkerson D. Weathers -1% 92% Strikeout Swinging
t9 4-2 1 --- 5,(2-2)  MON E. Chavez D. Weathers 1% 93% Single to LF (Ground Ball)
t9 4-2 1 1-- 2,(0-1)  O MON T. Batista D. Weathers -1% 92% Flyball: CF (CF-RF)
t9 4-2 2 1-- 3,(2-0)  RR MON J. Rivera D. Weathers 6% 98% Home Run (Line Drive to CF-RF); Chavez Scores
t9 6-2 2 --- 6,(3-2)  O MON R. Church D. Weathers -0% 98% Strikeout Looking
2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Expos 6, Marlins 2.
Bottom of the 9th, Marlins Batting, Behind 2-6, Expos' Chad Cordero facing 3-4-5
Chad Cordero replaces John Patterson pitching and batting 9th
b9 2-6 0 --- 4,(2-1)  O FLA P. Lo Duca C. Cordero 1% 99% Flyball: RF
b9 2-6 1 --- 5,(2-2)  FLA M. Cabrera C. Cordero -1% 98% Single to CF (Line Drive to CF-RF)
b9 2-6 1 1-- 2,(1-0)  O FLA M. Lowell C. Cordero 1% 99% Flyball: RF (Deep RF)
b9 2-6 2 1-- 2,(0-1)  FLA J. Conine C. Cordero -1% 99% Single to CF (Line Drive to CF-RF); Cabrera to 3B
b9 2-6 2 1-3 1,(0-0)  O FLA J. Encarnacion C. Cordero 1% 100% Flyball: LF
0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Expos 6, Marlins 2.

Retrosheet.org Boxscore:FLO200409151
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Play-by-Play Explanation

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  • wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
  • wWE- Winning Team's Win Expectancy. The probability of the eventual winning team winning the game prior to this play given two average teams playing each other. More About Win Probability Added
  • Play Detail- This is an explanation of the play that occurred. In some cases, batted ball location and type will be indicated within parentheses. Again, these are best efforts to the record the game as it happened. Also, plays made on the baserunners (including the batter as a baserunner) will be indicated in parentheses after the baserunner's name. Advancement of baserunners is given in cases where the advancement is not easily deduced or obvious from the play. For example, advancement for a walk will not be given, but for a single or double it will be given.

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