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Fenway Park, Attendance: 32,123 |
Saturday, September 14, 2002 Time of Game: 2:41 |
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Orioles
4
65-82
Lost 1
4th, 27½ GB
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Orioles 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 4 10 0
Red Sox 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 X 6 11 1
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Red Sox
6
84-63
Won 1
2nd, 8½ GB
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Baltimore Orioles AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details J Hairston 2B 4 0 0 0 0 2 .270 .716 16 13 2 1 C Singleton CF 3 1 2 0 0 1 .261 .700 11 5 0 0 2B,2·SB L Matos PH-CF 1 0 1 0 0 0 .150 .350 2 2 0 0 C Richard DH 2 0 0 1 1 1 .246 .728 20 9 0 0 M Cordova PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .258 .769 6 5 0 0 T Batista 3B 4 2 3 0 0 1 .258 .804 27 16 1 3 2B J Gibbons RF 4 1 1 1 0 0 .243 .777 8 6 1 0 2B J Conine 1B 4 0 1 1 0 0 .281 .779 17 10 10 0 L Bigbie LF 4 0 1 1 0 1 .211 .513 13 10 0 0 GDP G Gil C 3 0 0 0 0 1 .242 .650 11 9 6 0 L Lopez PH 1 0 0 0 0 1 .169 .432 3 3 0 0 M Bordick SS 4 0 1 0 0 2 .234 .673 14 11 2 4 P Hentgen P 2 0 T Driskill P 0 0 Totals 35 4 10 0 1 10 148 99 24 8
Boston Red Sox AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details J Damon CF 5 0 0 0 0 2 .284 .789 15 13 0 0 S Hillenbrand 3B 4 0 1 0 0 1 .299 .800 13 7 0 0 N Garciaparra SS 4 0 0 0 0 0 .310 .877 12 8 2 7 GDP M Ramirez LF 4 2 3 2 0 0 .338 1.079 14 9 1 0 2·HR C Floyd DH 4 2 3 0 0 0 .294 .935 12 10 0 0 2·2B B Daubach 1B 2 2 1 0 2 0 .266 .818 18 6 11 0 2B J Varitek C 3 0 1 1 1 2 .263 .720 16 8 11 0 T Nixon RF 3 0 2 2 1 0 .260 .820 15 7 1 1 2B R Sanchez 2B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .287 .660 12 9 1 1 GDP L Merloni 2B 0 0 0 0 0 0 .266 .775 0 0 D Lowe P 0 3 A Embree P 0 0 W Gomes P 0 0 U Urbina P 0 0 Totals 33 6 11 0 4 5 127 77 27 12
Baltimore Orioles IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA P Hentgen, L (0-2) 4.2 10 6 6 4 2 2 9.00 26 90-52 29· 5·18 7·11· 8· 2 18 - 0.96 -0.33 T Driskill 3.1 1 0 0 0 3 0 4.78 11 35-25 14· 5· 6 4· 4· 2· 0 2-0 0.14 0.04 Totals 8 11 6 6 4 5 2 37 125-77 43·10·24 11·15·10· 2 2-0
Boston Red Sox IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA D Lowe, W (20-7) 7 5 2 2 1 7 0 2.45 26 103-65 36·11·18 10· 8· 6· 0 65 - 0.93 0.17 A Embree 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1.85 4 17-14 10· 2· 2 0· 3· 3· 0 0-0 0.92 0.03 W Gomes 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 5.28 2 3-3 2· 0· 1 0· 2· 2· 0 0-0 0.59 -0.07 U Urbina, S (35) 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 3.00 4 16-12 6· 4· 2 0· 2· 1· 0 1-1 1.51 0.08 Totals 9 10 4 4 1 10 0 36 139-94 54·17·23 10·15·12· 0 1-1
Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox 1. Jerry Hairston 2B 1. Johnny Damon CF 2. Chris Singleton CF 2. Shea Hillenbrand 3B 3. Chris Richard DH 3. Nomar Garciaparra SS 4. Tony Batista 3B 4. Manny Ramirez LF 5. Jay Gibbons RF 5. Cliff Floyd DH 6. Jeff Conine 1B 6. Brian Daubach 1B 7. Larry Bigbie LF 7. Jason Varitek C 8. Geronimo Gil C 8. Trot Nixon RF 9. Mike Bordick SS 9. Rey Sanchez 2B Pat Hentgen P Derek Lowe P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t4 | 1 | 1-3 | OO | 1,(0-0) | 14% | 68% | 2-3 | BAL | L. Bigbie | D. Lowe | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B |
| b5 | 2 | --- | R | 4,(2-1) | 11% | 78% | 3-2 | BOS | M. Ramirez | P. Hentgen | Home Run |
| b5 | 2 | 123 | RR | 6,(3-2) | 11% | 92% | 4-2 | BOS | T. Nixon | P. Hentgen | Single to RF (Line Drive); Floyd Scores; Daubach Scores; Varitek to 3B |
| b2 | 0 | --- | R | 2,(0-1) | 10% | 55% | 0-1 | BOS | M. Ramirez | P. Hentgen | Home Run (LF-CF) |
| t4 | 0 | 1-- | 6,(3-2) | -10% | 57% | 1-3 | BAL | T. Batista | D. Lowe | Single to RF (Line Drive); Richard to 3B |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Orioles Batting, Tied 0-0, Red Sox' Derek Lowe facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | BAL | J. Hairston | D. Lowe | Popfly: 1B |
| t1 | 1 | --- | 2,(1-0) | -2% | 50% | 0-0 | BAL | C. Singleton | D. Lowe | Single to LF (Line Drive) | |
| t1 | 1 | 1-- | 4,(1-2) | -4% | 46% | 0-0 | BAL | C. Richard | D. Lowe | Singleton Steals 2B; Singleton to 3B/Adv on E2 (throw to 2B) | |
| t1 | 1 | --3 | RO | 5,(2-2) | -1% | 44% | 0-0 | BAL | C. Richard | D. Lowe | Groundout: SS-1B; Singleton Scores |
| t1 | 2 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -1% | 43% | 1-0 | BAL | T. Batista | D. Lowe | Single to RF (Line Drive) | |
| t1 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3,(0-2) | 2% | 46% | 1-0 | BAL | J. Gibbons | D. Lowe | Groundout: P-1B |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Red Sox 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Red Sox Batting, Behind 0-1, Orioles' Pat Hentgen facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | -2% | 43% | 0-1 | BOS | J. Damon | P. Hentgen | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b1 | 1 | --- | 3,(2-0) | 3% | 46% | 0-1 | BOS | S. Hillenbrand | P. Hentgen | Single to LF (Line Drive) | |
| b1 | 1 | 1-- | OO | 4,(1-2) | -5% | 40% | 0-1 | BOS | N. Garciaparra | P. Hentgen | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Red Sox 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Orioles Batting, Ahead 1-0, Red Sox' Derek Lowe facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 2% | 42% | 1-0 | BAL | J. Conine | D. Lowe | Popfly: 2B |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | 2% | 44% | 1-0 | BAL | L. Bigbie | D. Lowe | Strikeout Swinging |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 1% | 45% | 1-0 | BAL | G. Gil | D. Lowe | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Red Sox 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Red Sox Batting, Behind 0-1, Orioles' Pat Hentgen facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | R | 2,(0-1) | 10% | 55% | 0-1 | BOS | M. Ramirez | P. Hentgen | Home Run (LF-CF) |
| b2 | 0 | --- | 2,(1-0) | 6% | 61% | 1-1 | BOS | C. Floyd | P. Hentgen | Double to RF (Line Drive) | |
| b2 | 0 | -2- | 2,(1-0) | 3% | 64% | 1-1 | BOS | B. Daubach | P. Hentgen | Passed Ball; Floyd to 3B | |
| b2 | 0 | --3 | 6,(3-2) | 3% | 68% | 1-1 | BOS | B. Daubach | P. Hentgen | Walk | |
| b2 | 0 | 1-3 | R | 2,(0-1) | 5% | 73% | 1-1 | BOS | J. Varitek | P. Hentgen | Single to CF (Line Drive); Floyd Scores; Daubach to 2B |
| b2 | 0 | 12- | 5,(3-1) | 6% | 79% | 2-1 | BOS | T. Nixon | P. Hentgen | Walk; Daubach to 3B; Varitek to 2B | |
| b2 | 0 | 123 | ROO | 2,(0-1) | -6% | 73% | 2-1 | BOS | R. Sanchez | P. Hentgen | Ground Ball Double Play: SS-1B; Daubach Scores; Varitek to 3B |
| b2 | 2 | --3 | O | 2,(0-1) | -3% | 70% | 3-1 | BOS | J. Damon | P. Hentgen | Popfly: P |
| 3 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Red Sox 3. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Orioles Batting, Behind 1-3, Red Sox' Derek Lowe facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 2% | 73% | 1-3 | BAL | M. Bordick | D. Lowe | Lineout: LF |
| t3 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | 2% | 75% | 1-3 | BAL | J. Hairston | D. Lowe | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t3 | 2 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 1% | 76% | 1-3 | BAL | C. Singleton | D. Lowe | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Red Sox 3. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Red Sox Batting, Ahead 3-1, Orioles' Pat Hentgen facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | -2% | 74% | 3-1 | BOS | S. Hillenbrand | P. Hentgen | Strikeout Looking |
| b3 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | -1% | 73% | 3-1 | BOS | N. Garciaparra | P. Hentgen | Popfly: SS |
| b3 | 2 | --- | 6,(3-2) | 1% | 74% | 3-1 | BOS | M. Ramirez | P. Hentgen | Single to RF (Line Drive) | |
| b3 | 2 | 1-- | 3,(0-2) | 3% | 76% | 3-1 | BOS | C. Floyd | P. Hentgen | Double to LF (Line Drive); Ramirez to 3B | |
| b3 | 2 | -23 | 5,(3-1) | 1% | 77% | 3-1 | BOS | B. Daubach | P. Hentgen | Walk | |
| b3 | 2 | 123 | O | 4,(1-2) | -5% | 72% | 3-1 | BOS | J. Varitek | P. Hentgen | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Orioles 1, Red Sox 3. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Orioles Batting, Behind 1-3, Red Sox' Derek Lowe facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -4% | 68% | 1-3 | BAL | C. Richard | D. Lowe | Walk | |
| t4 | 0 | 1-- | 6,(3-2) | -10% | 57% | 1-3 | BAL | T. Batista | D. Lowe | Single to RF (Line Drive); Richard to 3B | |
| t4 | 0 | 1-3 | O | 1,(0-0) | 5% | 62% | 1-3 | BAL | J. Gibbons | D. Lowe | Fielder's Choice P; Richard out at Hm/P-C; Batista to 3B; Gibbons to 2B |
| t4 | 1 | -23 | R | 4,(2-1) | -8% | 54% | 1-3 | BAL | J. Conine | D. Lowe | Single to CF (Line Drive); Batista Scores; Gibbons to 3B |
| t4 | 1 | 1-3 | OO | 1,(0-0) | 14% | 68% | 2-3 | BAL | L. Bigbie | D. Lowe | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 3. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Red Sox Batting, Ahead 3-2, Orioles' Pat Hentgen facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 66% | 3-2 | BOS | T. Nixon | P. Hentgen | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -2% | 64% | 3-2 | BOS | R. Sanchez | P. Hentgen | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| b4 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -1% | 63% | 3-2 | BOS | J. Damon | P. Hentgen | Popfly: P |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 3. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Orioles Batting, Behind 2-3, Red Sox' Derek Lowe facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 66% | 2-3 | BAL | G. Gil | D. Lowe | Groundout: P-1B |
| t5 | 1 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | 2% | 69% | 2-3 | BAL | M. Bordick | D. Lowe | Strikeout Swinging |
| t5 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | 2% | 70% | 2-3 | BAL | J. Hairston | D. Lowe | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 3. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Red Sox Batting, Ahead 3-2, Orioles' Pat Hentgen facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 68% | 3-2 | BOS | S. Hillenbrand | P. Hentgen | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| b5 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -2% | 66% | 3-2 | BOS | N. Garciaparra | P. Hentgen | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b5 | 2 | --- | R | 4,(2-1) | 11% | 78% | 3-2 | BOS | M. Ramirez | P. Hentgen | Home Run |
| b5 | 2 | --- | 3,(0-2) | 1% | 79% | 4-2 | BOS | C. Floyd | P. Hentgen | Single to RF (Line Drive) | |
| b5 | 2 | 1-- | 2,(1-0) | 2% | 81% | 4-2 | BOS | B. Daubach | P. Hentgen | Double to LF (Line Drive); Floyd to 3B | |
| b5 | 2 | -23 | 4,(3-0) | 1% | 82% | 4-2 | BOS | J. Varitek | P. Hentgen | Walk | |
| b5 | 2 | 123 | RR | 6,(3-2) | 11% | 92% | 4-2 | BOS | T. Nixon | P. Hentgen | Single to RF (Line Drive); Floyd Scores; Daubach Scores; Varitek to 3B |
| Travis Driskill replaces Pat Hentgen pitching | |||||||||||
| b5 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 91% | 6-2 | BOS | R. Sanchez | T. Driskill | Groundout: 3B-2B/Forceout at 2B |
| 3 runs, 4 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Orioles Batting, Behind 2-6, Red Sox' Derek Lowe facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | 3,(2-0) | -4% | 87% | 2-6 | BAL | C. Singleton | D. Lowe | Double to LF (Line Drive to LF Line) | |
| t6 | 0 | -2- | O | 6,(3-2) | 3% | 90% | 2-6 | BAL | C. Richard | D. Lowe | Strikeout Swinging |
| t6 | 1 | -2- | 5,(1-2) | -1% | 89% | 2-6 | BAL | T. Batista | D. Lowe | Singleton Steals 3B | |
| t6 | 1 | --3 | O | 9,(3-2) | 4% | 92% | 2-6 | BAL | T. Batista | D. Lowe | Strikeout Swinging |
| t6 | 2 | --3 | O | 3,(2-0) | 2% | 95% | 2-6 | BAL | J. Gibbons | D. Lowe | Groundout: SS-1B |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Red Sox Batting, Ahead 6-2, Orioles' Travis Driskill facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -1% | 94% | 6-2 | BOS | J. Damon | T. Driskill | Strikeout Swinging |
| b6 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(2-0) | -0% | 94% | 6-2 | BOS | S. Hillenbrand | T. Driskill | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b6 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -0% | 93% | 6-2 | BOS | N. Garciaparra | T. Driskill | Lineout: 3B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Orioles Batting, Behind 2-6, Red Sox' Derek Lowe facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | 2% | 95% | 2-6 | BAL | J. Conine | D. Lowe | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t7 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | 1% | 96% | 2-6 | BAL | L. Bigbie | D. Lowe | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t7 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | 1% | 97% | 2-6 | BAL | G. Gil | D. Lowe | Groundout: SS-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Red Sox Batting, Ahead 6-2, Orioles' Travis Driskill facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -0% | 96% | 6-2 | BOS | M. Ramirez | T. Driskill | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -0% | 96% | 6-2 | BOS | C. Floyd | T. Driskill | Flyball: RF |
| b7 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | -0% | 96% | 6-2 | BOS | B. Daubach | T. Driskill | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Orioles Batting, Behind 2-6, Red Sox' Alan Embree facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| Alan Embree replaces Derek Lowe pitching | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | 3,(1-1) | -3% | 93% | 2-6 | BAL | M. Bordick | A. Embree | Single to CF (Line Drive) | |
| t8 | 0 | 1-- | O | 6,(1-2) | 3% | 96% | 2-6 | BAL | J. Hairston | A. Embree | Strikeout Swinging |
| Luis Matos pinch hits for Chris Singleton (CF) batting 2nd | |||||||||||
| t8 | 1 | 1-- | 2,(0-1) | -3% | 93% | 2-6 | BAL | L. Matos | A. Embree | Single to LF (Line Drive); Bordick to 2B | |
| Marty Cordova pinch hits for Chris Richard (DH) batting 3rd | |||||||||||
| t8 | 1 | 12- | OO | 6,(1-2) | 6% | 99% | 2-6 | BAL | M. Cordova | A. Embree | Line Drive Double Play: RF-SS |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Red Sox Batting, Ahead 6-2, Orioles' Travis Driskill facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| Luis Matos moves from PH to CF | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | -0% | 99% | 6-2 | BOS | J. Varitek | T. Driskill | Strikeout Swinging |
| b8 | 1 | --- | 2,(1-0) | 0% | 99% | 6-2 | BOS | T. Nixon | T. Driskill | Double to RF (Line Drive to RF Line) | |
| b8 | 1 | -2- | O | 5,(1-2) | -0% | 99% | 6-2 | BOS | R. Sanchez | T. Driskill | Popfly: C (Front of Home) |
| b8 | 2 | -2- | O | 5,(1-2) | -0% | 98% | 6-2 | BOS | J. Damon | T. Driskill | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 2, Red Sox 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Orioles Batting, Behind 2-6, Red Sox' Wayne Gomes facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| Wayne Gomes replaces Alan Embree pitching; Lou Merloni replaces Rey Sanchez playing 2B batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 96% | 2-6 | BAL | T. Batista | W. Gomes | Double (Line Drive to LF-CF) | |
| t9 | 0 | -2- | R | 1,(0-0) | -5% | 92% | 2-6 | BAL | J. Gibbons | W. Gomes | Double to LF (Line Drive to LF Line); Batista Scores |
| Ugueth Urbina replaces Wayne Gomes pitching | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | -2- | O | 3,(0-2) | 4% | 96% | 3-6 | BAL | J. Conine | U. Urbina | Popfly: 1B |
| t9 | 1 | -2- | R | 6,(3-2) | -5% | 91% | 3-6 | BAL | L. Bigbie | U. Urbina | Single to LF (Line Drive); Gibbons Scores |
| Luis Lopez pinch hits for Geronimo Gil (C) batting 8th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3,(0-2) | 6% | 96% | 4-6 | BAL | L. Lopez | U. Urbina | Strikeout Swinging |
| t9 | 2 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | 4% | 100% | 4-6 | BAL | M. Bordick | U. Urbina | Strikeout Swinging |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 4, Red Sox 6. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:BOS200209140
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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