2026 Washington Nationals Playoff Odds

2025 Season

Record: 45-43, 4th place in NL_East (Schedule and Results)

Playoff Odds: 27.7% to make postseason, 0.5% to win World Series

Manager: Blake Butera (45-43)

President: Paul Toboni (President, Baseball Operations)

General Manager: Anirudh Kilambi

Farm Director: Devin Pearson

Scouting Director: Desmond McGowan

Ballpark: Nationals Park

Attendance: 953,309 (13th of 15)

Park Factors: (Over 100 favors batters, under 100 favors pitchers.)
Multi-year: Batting - 98, Pitching - 99
One-year: Batting - 102, Pitching - 103

Pythagorean W-L: 45-43, 470 Runs, 453 Runs Allowed

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2026 Washington Nationals Menu

Table
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-07-01	0.0	45	43	37.1	36.9	82.1	79.9	89-73	75-87	27.7%	26.4%	1.3%	0.1%	11.4%	3.9%	1.2%	0.5%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-06-30	-0.1	44	43	37.1	37.9	81.1	80.9	88-74	74-88	19.0%	18.2%	0.9%	0.1%	8.3%	2.6%	0.8%	0.4%
2026-06-29	-0.2	43	43	37.2	38.8	80.2	81.8	87-75	73-89	16.0%	15.4%	0.6%	0.0%	6.7%	2.1%	0.6%	0.2%
2026-06-28	-0.2	43	42	37.6	39.4	80.6	81.4	88-74	73-89	18.7%	17.9%	0.8%	0.1%	7.7%	2.5%	0.8%	0.3%
2026-06-27	-0.2	42	42	37.9	40.1	79.9	82.1	87-75	73-89	14.8%	14.5%	0.3%	0.0%	5.8%	1.7%	0.5%	0.2%
2026-06-26	-0.3	41	42	38.5	40.5	79.5	82.5	87-75	72-90	12.4%	12.1%	0.3%	0.0%	5.1%	1.6%	0.5%	0.2%
2026-06-25	-0.2	41	41	39.5	40.5	80.5	81.5	88-74	73-89	17.8%	17.1%	0.7%	0.1%	7.4%	2.3%	0.7%	0.4%
2026-06-24	-0.1	41	40	40.4	40.6	81.4	80.6	89-73	74-88	24.7%	23.6%	1.1%	0.1%	10.8%	3.4%	1.1%	0.4%
2026-06-23	-0.1	41	39	40.7	41.3	81.7	80.3	89-73	74-88	30.5%	29.3%	1.2%	0.1%	13.0%	4.0%	1.3%	0.5%
2026-06-22	-0.1	41	38	41.3	41.7	82.3	79.7	90-72	75-87	37.3%	36.2%	1.1%	0.2%	16.2%	5.3%	1.6%	0.6%
2026-06-21	-0.1	40	38	41.6	42.4	81.6	80.4	89-73	74-88	32.4%	31.8%	0.6%	0.1%	14.3%	4.7%	1.4%	0.5%
2026-06-20	-0.1	40	37	42.3	42.7	82.3	79.7	90-72	75-87	38.0%	37.2%	0.8%	0.1%	16.7%	5.3%	1.6%	0.6%
2026-06-19	-0.1	39	37	42.9	43.1	81.9	80.1	89-73	74-88	35.7%	34.9%	0.9%	0.2%	15.7%	5.2%	1.8%	0.6%
2026-06-18	-0.1	39	36	43.5	43.5	82.5	79.5	90-72	75-87	38.7%	37.1%	1.6%	0.2%	17.4%	5.9%	1.9%	0.7%
2026-06-17	-0.1	39	36	43.4	43.6	82.4	79.6	90-72	75-87	36.3%	34.8%	1.4%	0.2%	16.3%	5.4%	1.7%	0.7%
2026-06-16	-0.1	39	35	43.9	44.1	82.9	79.1	91-71	75-87	40.2%	39.0%	1.2%	0.2%	17.7%	6.1%	2.0%	0.7%
2026-06-15	-0.1	38	35	44.0	45.0	82.0	80.0	90-72	74-88	33.0%	32.1%	0.9%	0.2%	14.5%	4.6%	1.5%	0.5%
2026-06-14	-0.2	37	35	44.4	45.6	81.4	80.6	89-73	74-88	28.8%	28.0%	0.8%	0.1%	12.6%	3.9%	1.3%	0.5%
2026-06-13	-0.3	36	35	44.2	46.8	80.2	81.8	88-74	72-90	22.4%	22.1%	0.3%	0.0%	8.9%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
2026-06-12	-0.4	35	35	44.2	47.8	79.2	82.8	87-75	71-91	19.9%	19.7%	0.2%	0.0%	8.3%	2.4%	0.8%	0.3%
2026-06-11	-0.3	35	34	45.0	48.0	80.0	82.0	88-74	72-90	23.1%	22.8%	0.3%	0.1%	9.9%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
2026-06-10	-0.3	35	34	45.0	48.0	80.0	82.0	88-74	72-90	22.4%	22.1%	0.2%	0.0%	9.6%	3.0%	0.9%	0.3%
2026-06-09	-0.3	35	33	45.6	48.4	80.6	81.4	89-73	73-89	25.4%	25.0%	0.3%	0.1%	10.7%	3.3%	1.0%	0.4%
2026-06-08	-0.3	34	33	45.7	49.3	79.7	82.3	88-74	72-90	17.9%	17.7%	0.2%	0.0%	7.4%	2.3%	0.7%	0.3%
2026-06-07	-0.3	33	33	46.3	49.7	79.3	82.7	87-75	71-91	16.5%	16.4%	0.2%	0.0%	6.8%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
2026-06-06	-0.2	33	32	47.3	49.7	80.3	81.7	88-74	72-90	21.5%	21.2%	0.3%	0.1%	8.9%	2.6%	0.8%	0.3%
2026-06-05	-0.3	32	32	47.5	50.5	79.5	82.5	88-74	71-91	17.0%	16.7%	0.3%	0.1%	6.9%	2.0%	0.7%	0.3%
2026-06-04	-0.5	31	32	46.7	52.3	77.7	84.3	86-76	70-92	8.7%	8.5%	0.2%	0.0%	3.4%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
2026-06-03	-0.5	31	32	46.7	52.3	77.7	84.3	86-76	70-92	9.7%	9.6%	0.1%	0.0%	3.9%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
2026-06-02	-0.4	31	31	47.5	52.5	78.5	83.5	87-75	70-92	11.5%	11.3%	0.3%	0.0%	4.4%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
2026-06-01	-0.4	31	30	48.1	52.9	79.1	82.9	87-75	71-91	13.5%	13.1%	0.5%	0.1%	5.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-05-31	-0.4	31	29	48.9	53.1	79.9	82.1	88-74	72-90	17.6%	16.9%	0.7%	0.1%	7.1%	2.1%	0.6%	0.2%
2026-05-30	-0.4	30	29	49.3	53.7	79.3	82.7	88-74	71-91	14.4%	14.1%	0.3%	0.0%	5.7%	1.6%	0.5%	0.2%
2026-05-29	-0.5	29	29	49.3	54.8	78.3	83.8	87-75	70-92	10.3%	10.0%	0.3%	0.0%	3.9%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
2026-05-28	-0.5	29	28	49.5	55.5	78.5	83.5	87-75	70-92	11.3%	10.8%	0.5%	0.1%	4.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
2026-05-27	-0.5	29	28	49.6	55.4	78.6	83.4	87-75	70-92	11.7%	11.0%	0.6%	0.1%	4.7%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
2026-05-26	-0.4	29	27	50.6	55.4	79.6	82.4	88-74	71-91	15.4%	14.8%	0.6%	0.1%	6.0%	1.7%	0.4%	0.2%
2026-05-25	-0.5	28	27	50.5	56.5	78.5	83.5	87-75	70-92	10.9%	10.6%	0.3%	0.1%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
2026-05-24	-0.6	27	27	50.3	57.7	77.3	84.7	86-76	69-93	7.8%	7.5%	0.3%	0.0%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-05-23	-0.7	26	27	50.0	59.0	76.0	86.0	85-77	68-94	5.3%	5.1%	0.2%	0.0%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-22	-0.8	25	27	49.7	60.3	74.7	87.3	83-79	66-96	3.6%	3.5%	0.1%	0.0%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-21	-0.9	25	26	49.8	61.2	74.8	87.2	83-79	66-96	3.0%	3.0%	0.1%	0.0%	1.0%	0.3%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-20	-0.9	25	25	50.4	61.6	75.4	86.6	84-78	67-95	3.8%	3.7%	0.1%	0.0%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-19	-0.9	24	25	50.2	62.8	74.2	87.8	83-79	66-96	2.4%	2.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.8%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-18	-1.0	23	25	50.3	63.7	73.3	88.7	82-80	65-97	1.6%	1.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.5%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-17	-0.9	23	24	51.4	63.6	74.4	87.6	83-79	66-96	2.9%	2.8%	0.1%	0.0%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-16	-0.9	23	23	52.3	63.7	75.3	86.7	84-78	66-96	4.1%	3.9%	0.2%	0.0%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-15	-1.1	22	23	51.5	65.5	73.5	88.5	82-80	65-97	2.3%	2.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-14	-1.1	21	23	51.6	66.4	72.6	89.4	81-81	64-98	1.7%	1.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.6%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-13	-1.0	21	22	52.9	66.1	73.9	88.1	83-79	65-97	3.2%	3.0%	0.2%	0.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-12	-0.9	20	22	53.7	66.3	73.7	88.3	83-79	65-97	2.7%	2.5%	0.2%	0.0%	1.0%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-11	-1.0	19	22	54.0	67.0	73.0	89.0	82-80	64-98	2.2%	2.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-10	-1.0	19	22	53.9	67.1	72.9	89.1	82-80	64-98	2.3%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.7%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-09	-1.0	19	21	54.2	67.8	73.2	88.8	82-80	64-98	2.8%	2.3%	0.5%	0.0%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-08	-0.9	19	20	55.0	68.0	74.0	88.0	83-79	65-97	3.6%	2.8%	0.8%	0.0%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-07	-0.9	18	20	55.5	68.5	73.5	88.5	83-79	64-98	3.1%	2.5%	0.6%	0.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-06	-1.0	17	20	55.5	69.5	72.5	89.5	82-80	64-98	1.9%	1.5%	0.4%	0.0%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-05	-1.1	16	20	55.2	70.8	71.2	90.8	80-82	62-100	1.3%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.5%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-04	-1.1	16	19	56.0	71.0	72.0	90.0	81-81	63-99	2.1%	1.6%	0.5%	0.0%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-03	-1.1	16	19	55.6	71.4	71.6	90.4	81-81	62-100	1.6%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%	0.6%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-02	-1.1	15	19	55.8	72.2	70.8	91.2	80-82	62-100	1.1%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-05-01	-1.2	15	18	55.9	73.1	70.9	91.1	80-82	62-100	1.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.5%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-04-30	-1.2	15	17	55.9	74.2	70.9	91.2	80-82	62-100	1.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.5%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-29	-1.2	14	17	56.5	74.5	70.5	91.5	80-82	61-101	1.1%	0.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-28	-1.3	13	17	55.9	76.1	68.9	93.1	78-84	60-102	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-27	-1.3	13	16	56.8	76.2	69.8	92.2	79-83	61-101	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-26	-1.3	13	16	56.8	76.2	69.8	92.2	79-83	60-102	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-25	-1.3	12	16	56.5	77.5	68.5	93.5	78-84	59-103	0.4%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-24	-1.4	11	16	56.2	78.8	67.2	94.8	77-85	58-104	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-23	-1.4	11	15	56.7	79.3	67.7	94.3	77-85	58-104	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-22	-1.4	11	14	57.9	79.1	68.9	93.1	78-84	59-103	0.5%	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-21	-1.3	11	13	58.7	79.3	69.7	92.3	79-83	60-102	0.8%	0.5%	0.4%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-20	-1.5	10	13	57.8	81.2	67.8	94.2	77-85	58-104	0.4%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-19	-1.4	10	12	58.6	81.4	68.6	93.4	78-84	59-103	0.5%	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-18	-1.4	9	12	59.1	81.9	68.1	93.9	78-84	59-103	0.5%	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-17	-1.5	9	11	59.2	82.8	68.2	93.8	78-84	59-103	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-16	-1.4	9	10	60.5	82.5	69.5	92.5	79-83	60-102	0.9%	0.5%	0.4%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-15	-1.4	8	10	60.6	83.4	68.6	93.4	78-84	59-103	0.7%	0.4%	0.3%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-14	-1.4	8	9	61.2	83.8	69.2	92.8	79-83	60-102	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-13	-1.4	7	9	61.6	84.4	68.6	93.4	79-83	59-103	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-12	-1.2	7	8	63.3	83.7	70.3	91.7	80-82	61-101	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.0%	0.5%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-11	-1.3	6	8	63.3	84.7	69.3	92.7	79-83	59-103	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-10	-1.3	5	8	63.4	85.6	68.4	93.6	78-84	59-103	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-09	-1.3	4	8	63.2	86.8	67.2	94.8	77-85	58-104	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-08	-1.3	4	8	63.2	86.8	67.2	94.8	77-85	57-105	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-07	-1.3	4	7	63.9	87.1	67.9	94.1	78-84	58-104	0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-06	-1.4	4	6	64.0	88.0	68.0	94.0	78-84	58-104	0.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.3%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-05	-1.4	3	6	63.9	89.1	66.9	95.1	77-85	57-105	0.4%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-04	-1.4	3	5	64.2	89.8	67.2	94.8	77-85	57-105	0.5%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-03	-1.4	3	4	64.7	90.3	67.7	94.3	78-84	58-104	0.7%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-02	-1.4	3	3	65.4	90.6	68.4	93.6	79-83	58-104	0.9%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-04-01	-1.4	3	3	65.2	90.8	68.2	93.8	78-84	58-104	0.9%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-03-31	-1.4	3	2	65.1	91.9	68.1	93.9	78-84	58-104	1.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-03-30	-1.4	3	1	65.3	92.7	68.3	93.7	78-84	58-104	0.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.3%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-03-29	-1.6	2	1	64.4	94.6	66.4	95.6	76-86	56-106	0.5%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-03-28	-1.6	1	1	64.0	96.0	65.0	97.0	75-87	55-107	0.3%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-03-27	-1.5	1	0	65.2	95.8	66.2	95.8	77-85	56-106	0.5%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-03-26	-1.5	1	0	65.2	95.8	66.2	95.8	76-86	56-106	0.5%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-03-25	-1.6			64.8	97.2	64.8	97.2	75-87	55-107	0.2%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-03-24	-1.6			64.9	97.1	64.9	97.1	75-87	55-107	0.2%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS