2026 Seattle Mariners Playoff Odds

2025 Season

Record: 35-32, 1st place in AL_West (Schedule and Results)

Playoff Odds: 92.9% to make postseason, 8.8% to win World Series

Manager: Dan Wilson (35-32)

President: Jerry Dipoto (President, Baseball Operations)

General Manager: Justin Hollander (Executive Vice President & GM)

Farm Director: Justin Toole

Scouting Director: Scott Hunter

Ballpark: T-Mobile Park

Attendance: 1,158,012 (5th of 15)

Park Factors: (Over 100 favors batters, under 100 favors pitchers.)
Multi-year: Batting - 95, Pitching - 94
One-year: Batting - 103, Pitching - 102

Pythagorean W-L: 37-30, 284 Runs, 252 Runs Allowed

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2026 Seattle Mariners Menu

Table
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-06-08	0.8	35	32	53.5	41.5	88.5	73.5	96-66	80-82	92.9%	26.0%	66.9%	45.5%	72.7%	40.0%	19.9%	8.8%
2026-06-07	0.8	34	32	53.9	42.1	87.9	74.1	96-66	80-82	90.8%	27.0%	63.8%	40.4%	69.4%	37.8%	19.0%	8.6%
2026-06-06	0.7	34	31	54.0	43.0	88.0	74.0	96-66	80-82	91.2%	21.1%	70.1%	39.3%	68.9%	37.1%	18.3%	7.6%
2026-06-05	0.6	33	31	54.1	43.9	87.1	74.9	95-67	79-83	87.9%	25.8%	62.1%	35.8%	65.3%	34.4%	16.9%	7.0%
2026-06-04	0.6	33	30	54.8	44.2	87.8	74.2	96-66	80-82	89.6%	24.7%	65.0%	37.1%	66.3%	34.4%	16.8%	6.9%
2026-06-03	0.6	33	30	54.8	44.2	87.8	74.2	96-66	80-82	89.2%	25.5%	63.6%	36.0%	65.8%	34.5%	17.1%	6.9%
2026-06-02	0.6	33	29	55.3	44.7	88.3	73.7	96-66	80-82	91.1%	23.3%	67.8%	42.0%	69.6%	36.5%	18.1%	7.4%
2026-06-01	0.6	32	29	55.4	45.6	87.4	74.6	96-66	79-83	87.9%	21.1%	66.9%	42.5%	67.5%	35.1%	16.4%	6.8%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-05-31	0.6	31	29	56.0	46.0	87.0	75.0	95-67	79-83	87.2%	19.3%	67.9%	40.3%	66.4%	34.5%	16.3%	6.5%
2026-05-30	0.6	30	29	56.6	46.4	86.6	75.4	95-67	78-84	85.2%	18.3%	66.9%	35.9%	63.4%	31.9%	15.5%	6.4%
2026-05-29	0.5	29	29	56.8	47.2	85.8	76.2	94-68	78-84	83.4%	17.2%	66.2%	27.8%	58.6%	28.6%	13.1%	5.2%
2026-05-28	0.5	28	29	57.3	47.7	85.3	76.7	94-68	77-85	81.2%	17.3%	63.9%	30.0%	58.3%	28.4%	13.7%	5.7%
2026-05-27	0.5	28	29	57.1	47.9	85.1	76.9	93-69	77-85	78.5%	18.0%	60.5%	29.9%	56.5%	27.6%	13.0%	5.4%
2026-05-26	0.4	27	29	57.3	48.7	84.3	77.7	93-69	76-86	75.2%	21.4%	53.8%	25.7%	52.3%	25.3%	12.3%	4.9%
2026-05-25	0.4	26	29	57.8	49.2	83.8	78.2	92-70	75-87	70.4%	22.6%	47.9%	19.4%	46.9%	23.1%	11.5%	4.7%
2026-05-24	0.4	25	29	57.7	50.3	82.7	79.3	91-71	74-88	59.0%	23.7%	35.3%	12.0%	36.4%	17.5%	8.7%	3.4%
2026-05-23	0.4	25	28	58.6	50.4	83.6	78.4	92-70	75-87	62.8%	24.3%	38.4%	15.5%	40.2%	19.6%	9.6%	3.9%
2026-05-22	0.5	25	27	59.7	50.3	84.7	77.3	93-69	76-86	66.7%	25.6%	41.1%	16.9%	43.1%	21.3%	10.5%	4.2%
2026-05-21	0.5	24	27	59.8	51.2	83.8	78.2	92-70	75-87	60.3%	29.1%	31.1%	14.2%	37.9%	18.8%	9.0%	3.6%
2026-05-20	0.5	24	27	59.7	51.3	83.7	78.3	92-70	75-87	60.3%	29.8%	30.6%	14.6%	38.1%	18.7%	9.1%	3.5%
2026-05-19	0.5	23	27	60.5	51.5	83.5	78.5	92-70	75-87	60.3%	29.8%	30.5%	14.4%	38.3%	19.2%	9.6%	3.7%
2026-05-18	0.5	23	26	61.1	51.9	84.1	77.9	93-69	75-87	66.1%	26.2%	39.9%	20.3%	44.6%	22.3%	10.9%	4.4%
2026-05-17	0.5	22	26	61.6	52.4	83.6	78.4	92-70	75-87	60.4%	26.9%	33.5%	17.8%	40.2%	20.1%	10.1%	4.1%
2026-05-16	0.5	22	25	62.4	52.6	84.4	77.6	93-69	76-86	66.7%	30.8%	36.0%	22.2%	45.8%	23.4%	11.7%	5.0%
2026-05-15	0.6	22	24	63.1	52.9	85.1	76.9	94-68	76-86	69.1%	33.3%	35.8%	23.9%	47.7%	24.7%	12.3%	5.3%
2026-05-14	0.6	22	23	63.8	53.3	85.8	76.3	95-67	77-85	70.0%	34.8%	35.1%	23.8%	48.4%	25.1%	12.8%	5.8%
2026-05-13	0.6	21	23	64.1	53.9	85.1	76.9	94-68	76-86	64.3%	34.5%	29.8%	20.0%	43.5%	22.2%	10.9%	5.1%
2026-05-12	0.5	21	22	63.9	55.1	84.9	77.1	94-68	76-86	64.2%	33.3%	30.8%	19.9%	43.1%	21.4%	10.3%	4.5%
2026-05-11	0.5	20	22	64.2	55.8	84.2	77.8	93-69	75-87	58.3%	32.1%	26.2%	17.1%	38.5%	19.2%	9.1%	4.1%
2026-05-10	0.4	19	22	64.5	56.5	83.5	78.5	92-70	74-88	53.7%	32.1%	21.6%	14.0%	34.7%	17.1%	8.2%	3.4%
2026-05-09	0.4	19	21	64.8	57.2	83.8	78.2	93-69	75-87	54.4%	31.6%	22.8%	14.5%	35.1%	17.1%	7.9%	3.4%
2026-05-08	0.4	19	20	65.9	57.1	84.9	77.1	94-68	76-86	64.6%	30.7%	34.0%	21.2%	43.9%	21.8%	10.7%	4.6%
2026-05-07	0.4	18	20	66.0	58.0	84.0	78.0	93-69	75-87	57.7%	30.5%	27.3%	16.9%	37.9%	18.5%	8.8%	3.8%
2026-05-06	0.4	18	20	66.0	58.0	84.0	78.0	93-69	75-87	58.1%	29.8%	28.4%	17.7%	38.8%	19.0%	9.2%	4.0%
2026-05-05	0.4	17	20	66.4	58.6	83.4	78.6	93-69	74-88	53.7%	27.7%	25.9%	14.5%	35.2%	16.6%	8.0%	3.5%
2026-05-04	0.3	17	19	66.0	60.0	83.0	79.0	92-70	74-88	48.7%	28.6%	20.0%	11.5%	30.5%	14.3%	6.5%	2.6%
2026-05-03	0.3	16	19	66.5	60.5	82.5	79.5	92-70	73-89	45.8%	27.6%	18.2%	10.1%	28.0%	13.4%	6.3%	2.7%
2026-05-02	0.4	16	18	67.9	60.1	83.9	78.1	93-69	75-87	54.4%	31.1%	23.3%	13.9%	34.8%	17.1%	8.4%	3.6%
2026-05-01	0.5	16	17	69.2	59.8	85.2	76.8	94-68	76-86	64.4%	40.2%	24.1%	18.1%	42.3%	21.5%	11.0%	4.8%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-04-30	0.6	16	16	70.6	59.4	86.6	75.4	96-66	77-85	73.0%	44.8%	28.2%	23.3%	49.6%	25.7%	13.1%	5.9%
2026-04-29	0.6	16	16	70.5	59.5	86.5	75.5	96-66	77-85	71.5%	43.6%	27.9%	22.7%	48.3%	25.1%	12.4%	5.5%
2026-04-28	0.6	15	16	70.8	60.2	85.8	76.2	95-67	77-85	67.9%	37.2%	30.7%	23.4%	46.7%	23.8%	11.9%	5.5%
2026-04-27	0.5	14	16	70.6	61.4	84.6	77.4	94-68	75-87	59.9%	38.3%	21.7%	15.6%	37.7%	18.7%	9.0%	4.0%
2026-04-26	0.5	14	15	71.5	61.5	85.5	76.5	95-67	76-86	65.3%	41.2%	24.2%	18.1%	42.1%	20.9%	10.2%	4.6%
2026-04-25	0.5	13	15	72.2	61.8	85.2	76.8	95-67	76-86	65.2%	43.0%	22.2%	16.8%	42.0%	20.9%	10.1%	4.6%
2026-04-24	0.6	12	15	73.4	61.6	85.4	76.6	95-67	76-86	65.8%	43.5%	22.4%	16.8%	42.4%	21.2%	10.5%	5.1%
2026-04-23	0.6	11	15	74.0	62.0	85.0	77.0	94-68	75-87	63.5%	43.4%	20.1%	15.3%	40.4%	20.5%	10.3%	5.2%
2026-04-22	0.6	11	15	73.9	62.1	84.9	77.1	94-68	75-87	63.5%	43.3%	20.1%	15.6%	40.7%	20.7%	10.4%	5.0%
2026-04-21	0.6	10	15	74.4	62.6	84.4	77.6	94-68	75-87	58.9%	44.6%	14.3%	11.4%	35.7%	17.8%	8.9%	4.3%
2026-04-20	0.6	10	14	74.9	63.1	84.9	77.1	94-68	75-87	62.9%	42.4%	20.6%	16.4%	40.6%	20.6%	10.4%	4.9%
2026-04-19	0.7	10	13	75.9	63.1	85.9	76.1	95-67	76-86	68.2%	43.5%	24.7%	19.9%	45.1%	23.0%	11.9%	5.7%
2026-04-18	0.6	9	13	76.2	63.8	85.2	76.8	95-67	76-86	63.7%	43.9%	19.7%	16.3%	41.3%	21.5%	10.9%	5.2%
2026-04-17	0.6	8	13	76.3	64.7	84.3	77.7	94-68	75-87	58.3%	43.1%	15.2%	12.3%	36.4%	18.4%	9.2%	4.2%
2026-04-16	0.7	8	12	77.1	64.9	85.1	76.9	95-67	75-87	61.9%	42.8%	19.1%	15.8%	40.1%	21.1%	10.8%	5.2%
2026-04-15	0.7	8	11	78.0	65.0	86.0	76.0	96-66	76-86	65.8%	43.0%	22.9%	19.2%	44.0%	22.8%	11.7%	5.4%
2026-04-14	0.6	8	10	77.7	66.3	85.7	76.3	95-67	76-86	63.7%	43.0%	20.7%	17.1%	41.2%	21.2%	10.6%	5.0%
2026-04-13	0.6	8	9	78.1	66.9	86.1	75.9	96-66	76-86	65.9%	41.9%	24.0%	19.1%	43.4%	22.4%	11.1%	5.2%
2026-04-12	0.5	7	9	78.3	67.7	85.3	76.7	95-67	75-87	60.7%	38.3%	22.5%	17.8%	40.1%	20.3%	10.2%	4.9%
2026-04-11	0.7	6	9	79.9	67.1	85.9	76.1	96-66	76-86	64.7%	38.6%	26.1%	20.2%	43.6%	22.4%	11.3%	5.2%
2026-04-10	0.6	5	9	80.1	67.9	85.1	76.9	95-67	75-87	61.8%	38.5%	23.3%	18.3%	40.6%	20.6%	10.6%	4.6%
2026-04-09	0.7	4	9	81.8	67.2	85.8	76.2	96-66	76-86	66.5%	41.3%	25.1%	19.3%	44.1%	23.0%	12.2%	5.4%
2026-04-08	0.7	4	9	81.8	67.2	85.8	76.2	96-66	76-86	66.3%	40.3%	26.0%	19.2%	44.2%	22.7%	12.1%	5.6%
2026-04-07	0.7	4	8	82.5	67.5	86.5	75.5	96-66	76-86	70.6%	38.0%	32.6%	24.4%	48.9%	26.1%	13.4%	6.1%
2026-04-06	0.8	4	7	83.0	68.0	87.0	75.0	97-65	77-85	71.8%	34.4%	37.4%	27.9%	51.6%	27.6%	14.7%	7.1%
2026-04-05	0.8	4	6	83.5	68.5	87.5	74.5	98-64	78-84	72.7%	31.7%	41.0%	31.2%	53.3%	28.3%	14.9%	7.1%
2026-04-04	0.8	4	5	84.4	68.6	88.4	73.6	98-64	78-84	75.1%	32.3%	42.8%	33.2%	55.6%	29.8%	15.7%	7.8%
2026-04-03	0.8	4	4	85.0	69.0	89.0	73.0	99-63	79-83	77.1%	33.8%	43.3%	35.1%	57.0%	30.7%	15.9%	7.5%
2026-04-02	0.9	3	4	86.1	68.9	89.1	72.9	99-63	79-83	76.5%	39.1%	37.3%	31.9%	55.7%	30.2%	16.5%	7.9%
2026-04-01	0.9	3	4	86.0	69.0	89.0	73.0	99-63	79-83	75.8%	39.0%	36.9%	31.0%	55.0%	29.5%	16.0%	7.8%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-03-31	0.9	3	3	86.4	69.6	89.4	72.6	100-62	79-83	76.8%	40.6%	36.2%	31.9%	56.2%	29.6%	15.7%	7.5%
2026-03-30	0.9	3	2	86.9	70.1	89.9	72.1	100-62	80-82	79.9%	41.4%	38.5%	33.8%	58.5%	31.0%	16.2%	8.0%
2026-03-29	0.8	2	2	86.7	71.3	88.7	73.3	99-63	79-83	73.5%	37.8%	35.7%	30.6%	53.6%	27.5%	14.2%	6.6%
2026-03-28	0.7	1	2	86.7	72.3	87.7	74.3	98-64	77-85	69.1%	36.0%	33.1%	27.7%	49.2%	24.9%	12.8%	5.9%
2026-03-27	0.7	1	1	87.2	72.8	88.2	73.8	98-64	78-84	71.0%	33.9%	37.1%	30.9%	52.2%	26.6%	13.4%	6.1%
2026-03-26	0.7	0	1	87.5	73.5	87.5	74.5	98-64	77-85	67.1%	33.7%	33.5%	26.7%	47.9%	24.3%	11.9%	5.6%
2026-03-25	0.7			87.8	74.2	87.8	74.2	98-64	78-84	67.5%	35.0%	32.5%	27.3%	48.3%	24.6%	12.4%	6.0%
2026-03-24	0.7			87.8	74.2	87.8	74.2	98-64	77-85	68.2%	35.4%	32.8%	27.6%	49.4%	25.3%	12.9%	6.0%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS