2026 San Diego Padres Playoff Odds

2025 Season

Record: 34-31, 2nd place in NL_West (Schedule and Results)

Playoff Odds: 28.1% to make postseason, 0.5% to win World Series

Manager: Craig Stammen (34-31)

General Manager: A.J. Preller (President of Baseball Operations & GM)

Farm Director: Ryley Westman

Scouting Director: Chris Kemp

Ballpark: Petco Park

Attendance: 1,491,141 (2nd of 15)

Park Factors: (Over 100 favors batters, under 100 favors pitchers.)
Multi-year: Batting - 99, Pitching - 98
One-year: Batting - 90, Pitching - 91

Pythagorean W-L: 31-34, 247 Runs, 261 Runs Allowed

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2026 San Diego Padres Menu

Table
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-06-08	0.0	34	31	47.4	49.6	81.4	80.6	89-73	73-89	28.1%	27.9%	0.2%	0.1%	12.3%	4.0%	1.3%	0.5%
2026-06-07	0.0	33	31	48.2	49.8	81.2	80.8	89-73	73-89	28.2%	28.0%	0.2%	0.1%	12.7%	4.3%	1.5%	0.6%
2026-06-06	0.1	33	30	49.3	49.7	82.3	79.7	90-72	74-88	34.5%	34.3%	0.2%	0.1%	15.9%	5.4%	1.9%	0.8%
2026-06-05	0.1	32	30	49.8	50.2	81.8	80.2	90-72	74-88	31.0%	30.7%	0.3%	0.1%	14.3%	5.0%	1.7%	0.7%
2026-06-04	0.2	32	29	50.7	50.3	82.7	79.3	91-71	74-88	33.8%	33.4%	0.4%	0.2%	15.0%	5.3%	1.9%	0.8%
2026-06-03	0.1	32	28	51.0	51.0	83.0	79.0	91-71	75-87	39.7%	39.3%	0.4%	0.2%	17.9%	6.2%	2.1%	0.9%
2026-06-02	0.2	32	27	51.7	51.3	83.7	78.3	92-70	75-87	42.5%	41.8%	0.7%	0.3%	19.5%	7.2%	2.5%	1.1%
2026-06-01	0.3	32	26	52.8	51.2	84.8	77.2	93-69	76-86	50.8%	49.6%	1.2%	0.6%	23.8%	9.0%	3.3%	1.4%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-05-31	0.3	32	26	53.0	51.0	85.0	77.0	93-69	77-85	52.8%	51.9%	1.0%	0.5%	25.7%	9.5%	3.4%	1.5%
2026-05-30	0.3	32	25	53.9	51.1	85.9	76.1	94-68	78-84	59.7%	58.0%	1.8%	0.9%	28.4%	10.7%	4.0%	1.9%
2026-05-29	0.4	32	24	55.4	50.6	87.4	74.6	96-66	79-83	69.9%	67.1%	2.9%	1.6%	35.2%	13.6%	5.3%	2.4%
2026-05-28	0.4	31	24	55.8	51.2	86.8	75.2	95-67	78-84	65.7%	62.6%	3.2%	1.9%	33.2%	13.1%	5.2%	2.4%
2026-05-27	0.3	31	24	55.2	51.8	86.2	75.8	95-67	78-84	61.2%	58.4%	2.7%	1.6%	30.6%	11.8%	4.8%	2.1%
2026-05-26	0.4	31	23	55.8	52.2	86.8	75.2	95-67	78-84	64.4%	60.6%	3.8%	2.1%	32.1%	12.2%	4.9%	2.3%
2026-05-25	0.4	31	22	56.4	52.6	87.4	74.6	96-66	79-83	69.0%	64.7%	4.3%	2.5%	34.6%	13.3%	5.2%	2.6%
2026-05-24	0.4	31	21	57.1	52.9	88.1	73.9	97-65	80-82	75.4%	69.9%	5.6%	3.5%	38.3%	15.0%	5.9%	3.0%
2026-05-23	0.5	31	20	58.4	52.6	89.4	72.6	98-64	81-81	82.3%	72.2%	10.1%	6.1%	43.2%	17.6%	7.0%	3.4%
2026-05-22	0.4	30	20	58.3	53.7	88.3	73.7	97-65	80-82	77.7%	67.5%	10.2%	4.7%	39.4%	15.7%	6.2%	3.0%
2026-05-21	0.4	29	20	58.5	54.5	87.5	74.5	96-66	79-83	68.7%	62.0%	6.7%	3.3%	33.9%	13.0%	5.1%	2.5%
2026-05-20	0.4	29	20	58.8	54.2	87.8	74.2	96-66	79-83	71.7%	64.6%	7.1%	3.6%	35.5%	14.0%	5.5%	2.7%
2026-05-19	0.4	29	19	59.5	54.5	88.5	73.5	97-65	80-82	75.1%	64.6%	10.5%	5.9%	38.4%	15.5%	6.0%	3.0%
2026-05-18	0.4	29	18	60.1	54.9	89.1	72.9	98-64	80-82	78.1%	64.6%	13.5%	8.1%	40.7%	17.0%	6.6%	3.1%
2026-05-17	0.4	28	18	60.8	55.2	88.8	73.2	98-64	80-82	78.9%	67.7%	11.2%	6.3%	40.2%	16.7%	6.8%	3.5%
2026-05-16	0.4	27	18	61.5	55.5	88.5	73.5	97-65	80-82	76.6%	62.2%	14.4%	7.4%	39.6%	16.3%	6.7%	3.2%
2026-05-15	0.5	26	18	62.4	55.6	88.4	73.6	97-65	80-82	77.3%	59.1%	18.1%	8.5%	40.7%	17.6%	7.7%	3.6%
2026-05-14	0.4	25	18	62.8	56.2	87.8	74.2	97-65	79-83	75.1%	55.8%	19.3%	9.3%	40.6%	17.7%	7.8%	3.8%
2026-05-13	0.4	25	17	63.3	56.7	88.3	73.7	97-65	79-83	79.1%	57.0%	22.0%	10.9%	43.5%	19.2%	8.3%	3.9%
2026-05-12	0.4	24	17	63.2	57.8	87.2	74.8	96-66	78-84	70.8%	50.1%	20.7%	9.5%	38.5%	16.4%	7.0%	3.2%
2026-05-11	0.4	24	16	63.4	58.6	87.4	74.6	96-66	78-84	71.9%	54.2%	17.7%	9.2%	38.1%	16.5%	6.8%	3.2%
2026-05-10	0.4	24	16	63.4	58.6	87.4	74.6	97-65	78-84	72.5%	58.0%	14.5%	8.6%	38.1%	16.3%	6.9%	3.2%
2026-05-09	0.4	23	16	64.0	59.0	87.0	75.0	96-66	78-84	70.0%	57.9%	12.2%	7.8%	36.4%	15.2%	6.6%	3.2%
2026-05-08	0.4	22	16	64.5	59.5	86.5	75.5	96-66	77-85	68.4%	59.9%	8.5%	5.9%	34.5%	14.4%	6.0%	2.9%
2026-05-07	0.4	22	15	65.6	59.4	87.6	74.4	97-65	78-84	73.0%	60.1%	12.9%	8.9%	39.2%	17.2%	7.4%	3.5%
2026-05-06	0.5	22	14	66.7	59.3	88.7	73.3	98-64	79-83	77.5%	61.5%	16.1%	11.8%	43.6%	19.5%	8.9%	4.4%
2026-05-05	0.4	21	14	66.7	60.3	87.7	74.3	97-65	79-83	73.5%	57.2%	16.3%	10.7%	40.1%	17.8%	7.8%	3.7%
2026-05-04	0.4	20	14	67.3	60.7	87.3	74.7	96-66	78-84	72.1%	58.6%	13.4%	9.0%	39.2%	17.3%	7.6%	3.7%
2026-05-03	0.4	20	13	67.8	61.2	87.8	74.2	97-65	79-83	74.9%	59.1%	15.8%	10.2%	41.1%	18.0%	7.8%	3.8%
2026-05-02	0.4	19	13	68.5	61.5	87.5	74.5	97-65	78-84	73.2%	56.7%	16.5%	10.9%	40.9%	17.9%	7.8%	3.8%
2026-05-01	0.5	19	12	69.9	61.1	88.9	73.1	98-64	79-83	80.0%	61.6%	18.3%	14.0%	46.8%	21.2%	9.4%	4.8%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-04-30	0.5	19	11	70.2	61.8	89.2	72.8	99-63	80-82	81.0%	64.9%	16.1%	12.9%	46.7%	20.9%	9.5%	4.7%
2026-04-29	0.5	19	11	70.4	61.6	89.4	72.6	99-63	80-82	80.5%	64.3%	16.2%	13.5%	47.6%	22.0%	10.0%	5.0%
2026-04-28	0.5	19	10	70.6	62.4	89.6	72.4	99-63	80-82	80.9%	64.3%	16.6%	13.6%	47.2%	21.4%	9.6%	4.6%
2026-04-27	0.5	19	9	71.7	62.3	90.7	71.3	100-62	81-81	85.0%	66.8%	18.2%	16.1%	51.2%	23.4%	10.6%	5.2%
2026-04-26	0.5	18	9	71.9	63.1	89.9	72.1	99-63	80-82	81.5%	63.0%	18.4%	15.8%	49.5%	23.2%	10.4%	5.0%
2026-04-25	0.6	18	8	73.4	62.6	91.4	70.6	101-61	82-80	85.4%	56.6%	28.8%	25.5%	56.5%	27.6%	12.9%	6.2%
2026-04-24	0.5	17	8	73.4	63.6	90.4	71.6	100-62	81-81	83.5%	46.9%	36.6%	28.3%	56.1%	27.3%	13.2%	6.3%
2026-04-23	0.5	17	8	73.7	63.3	90.7	71.3	100-62	81-81	84.4%	51.1%	33.4%	27.8%	56.7%	27.4%	13.2%	6.4%
2026-04-22	0.5	16	8	74.1	63.9	90.1	71.9	100-62	80-82	81.2%	48.2%	33.0%	27.2%	54.8%	26.4%	12.3%	6.0%
2026-04-21	0.6	16	7	75.7	63.3	91.7	70.3	101-61	82-80	87.7%	53.0%	34.8%	30.5%	60.6%	29.6%	14.2%	7.3%
2026-04-20	0.6	15	7	76.2	63.8	91.2	70.8	101-61	82-80	84.4%	56.8%	27.6%	24.0%	55.5%	27.3%	12.9%	6.2%
2026-04-19	0.6	15	7	76.3	63.7	91.3	70.7	101-61	82-80	86.0%	52.5%	33.5%	28.7%	58.6%	29.1%	14.3%	7.4%
2026-04-18	0.6	14	7	76.7	64.3	90.7	71.3	100-62	81-81	83.3%	57.5%	25.8%	22.7%	54.1%	26.2%	12.3%	6.3%
2026-04-17	0.6	13	7	77.3	64.7	90.3	71.7	100-62	81-81	81.8%	60.4%	21.4%	19.2%	51.6%	24.4%	11.5%	6.0%
2026-04-16	0.6	13	6	78.1	64.9	91.1	70.9	101-61	82-80	85.9%	60.9%	25.0%	22.6%	55.9%	26.8%	12.9%	6.7%
2026-04-15	0.5	12	6	78.2	65.8	90.2	71.8	100-62	80-82	82.2%	60.2%	22.1%	19.4%	52.5%	25.1%	11.8%	5.9%
2026-04-14	0.5	11	6	78.6	66.4	89.6	72.4	99-63	80-82	81.1%	57.8%	23.3%	20.0%	52.2%	25.1%	11.5%	5.6%
2026-04-13	0.4	10	6	78.2	67.8	88.2	73.8	98-64	78-84	74.0%	54.6%	19.3%	15.4%	45.6%	21.4%	9.4%	4.6%
2026-04-12	0.5	10	6	78.3	67.7	88.3	73.7	98-64	78-84	74.3%	50.3%	23.9%	18.5%	47.7%	22.5%	10.3%	5.1%
2026-04-11	0.4	9	6	78.8	68.2	87.8	74.2	98-64	78-84	72.9%	52.9%	20.0%	15.3%	45.2%	20.6%	9.5%	4.7%
2026-04-10	0.5	8	6	79.9	68.1	87.9	74.1	98-64	78-84	71.0%	47.7%	23.3%	16.9%	44.8%	21.0%	9.3%	4.4%
2026-04-09	0.5	7	6	80.3	68.7	87.3	74.7	97-65	77-85	68.0%	45.3%	22.6%	15.0%	42.9%	19.5%	8.6%	4.3%
2026-04-08	0.5	6	6	80.7	69.3	86.7	75.3	97-65	77-85	65.9%	44.2%	21.6%	13.6%	40.8%	18.5%	7.9%	3.7%
2026-04-07	0.4	5	6	80.5	70.6	85.5	76.6	95-67	75-87	57.5%	41.7%	15.8%	8.9%	33.5%	14.7%	6.4%	3.2%
2026-04-06	0.4	5	5	81.4	70.6	86.4	75.6	96-66	76-86	65.2%	44.8%	20.4%	11.1%	39.1%	17.1%	6.9%	3.3%
2026-04-05	0.3	4	5	81.3	71.7	85.3	76.7	95-67	75-87	57.4%	35.7%	21.8%	10.6%	34.4%	14.9%	6.2%	2.6%
2026-04-04	0.3	3	5	81.5	72.5	84.5	77.5	95-67	74-88	55.7%	36.8%	19.0%	7.8%	32.4%	13.8%	5.7%	2.7%
2026-04-03	0.4	2	5	82.4	72.6	84.4	77.6	94-68	74-88	56.3%	34.5%	21.8%	8.4%	33.0%	14.2%	5.8%	2.7%
2026-04-02	0.3	2	4	82.5	73.5	84.5	77.5	95-67	74-88	57.2%	34.3%	22.8%	8.5%	33.6%	14.5%	5.9%	2.7%
2026-04-01	0.3	2	4	82.2	73.8	84.2	77.8	94-68	74-88	55.2%	34.2%	21.0%	8.4%	31.9%	13.6%	5.5%	2.5%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-03-31	0.4	1	4	83.5	73.5	84.5	77.5	95-67	74-88	58.5%	36.5%	22.0%	9.5%	34.8%	15.3%	6.4%	3.1%
2026-03-30	0.4	1	3	84.7	73.3	85.7	76.3	96-66	76-86	64.8%	36.1%	28.7%	14.0%	40.6%	18.6%	8.2%	3.8%
2026-03-29	0.5	1	2	85.7	73.3	86.7	75.3	97-65	76-86	69.5%	38.9%	30.6%	13.7%	42.9%	19.6%	8.7%	4.0%
2026-03-28	0.4	1	2	85.7	73.3	86.7	75.3	97-65	76-86	68.4%	36.9%	31.5%	12.7%	41.5%	18.3%	8.0%	3.8%
2026-03-27	0.4	0	2	86.2	73.8	86.2	75.8	97-65	76-86	68.3%	36.4%	32.0%	12.7%	42.3%	18.7%	8.2%	3.8%
2026-03-26	0.5	0	1	87.2	73.8	87.2	74.8	98-64	77-85	73.6%	34.5%	39.1%	16.2%	46.7%	21.2%	9.2%	4.4%
2026-03-25	0.5			88.5	73.5	88.5	73.5	99-63	78-84	78.6%	32.1%	46.5%	22.7%	53.1%	25.3%	11.4%	5.6%
2026-03-24	0.5			88.3	73.7	88.3	73.7	99-63	78-84	77.3%	32.4%	44.9%	22.1%	51.8%	24.5%	10.9%	5.1%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS