2026 Kansas City Royals Playoff Odds

2025 Season

Record: 38-56, 5th place in AL_Central (Schedule and Results)

Playoff Odds: 0.3% to make postseason, <0.1% to win World Series

Manager: Matt Quatraro (38-56)

General Manager: J.J. Picollo (President of Baseball Operations and GM)

Farm Director: Lonnie Goldberg

Scouting Director: Brian Bridges

Ballpark: Kauffman Stadium

Attendance: 888,174 (13th of 15)

Park Factors: (Over 100 favors batters, under 100 favors pitchers.)
Multi-year: Batting - 97, Pitching - 98
One-year: Batting - 95, Pitching - 97

Pythagorean W-L: 40-54, 405 Runs, 480 Runs Allowed

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2026 Kansas City Royals Menu

Table
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-07-09	-0.7	38	56	31.5	36.5	69.5	92.5	76-86	63-99	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-07-08	-0.6	38	55	32.3	36.7	70.3	91.7	77-85	64-98	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-07-07	-0.6	38	54	33.2	36.8	71.2	90.8	78-84	64-98	1.1%	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%	0.5%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-07-06	-0.4	37	54	34.4	36.6	71.4	90.6	78-84	65-97	1.5%	1.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-07-05	-0.6	36	54	34.1	37.9	70.1	91.9	77-85	63-99	0.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-07-04	-0.6	35	54	34.5	38.5	69.5	92.5	77-85	63-99	0.5%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.2%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-07-03	-0.6	35	53	34.9	39.1	69.9	92.1	77-85	63-99	0.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
2026-07-02	-0.6	35	53	34.8	39.2	69.8	92.2	77-85	63-99	0.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-07-01	-0.5	35	52	35.7	39.3	70.7	91.3	78-84	64-98	1.2%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-06-30	-0.5	35	51	36.4	39.6	71.4	90.6	79-83	64-98	1.7%	1.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-06-29	-0.5	35	50	36.8	40.2	71.8	90.2	79-83	65-97	2.0%	1.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-06-28	-0.5	35	50	36.8	40.2	71.8	90.2	79-83	65-97	2.1%	1.8%	0.2%	0.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-06-27	-0.5	34	50	37.2	40.8	71.2	90.8	78-84	64-98	1.6%	1.5%	0.1%	0.1%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-06-26	-0.4	34	49	37.9	41.1	71.9	90.1	79-83	65-97	2.4%	2.0%	0.3%	0.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.2%	<0.1%
2026-06-25	-0.3	34	48	39.4	40.6	73.4	88.6	81-81	66-96	5.5%	4.7%	0.8%	0.3%	2.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
2026-06-24	-0.2	34	47	40.1	40.9	74.1	87.9	81-81	67-95	7.8%	6.9%	0.9%	0.2%	3.7%	1.5%	0.6%	0.1%
2026-06-23	-0.2	34	46	40.5	41.5	74.5	87.5	82-80	67-95	8.3%	6.9%	1.4%	0.4%	4.2%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
2026-06-22	-0.2	33	46	41.1	41.9	74.1	87.9	82-80	67-95	6.5%	5.4%	1.1%	0.4%	3.4%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
2026-06-21	-0.2	32	46	41.4	42.6	73.4	88.6	81-81	66-96	4.8%	4.0%	0.7%	0.2%	2.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
2026-06-20	-0.2	32	45	41.9	43.1	73.9	88.1	81-81	66-96	6.2%	5.5%	0.7%	0.3%	3.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
2026-06-19	-0.3	32	45	41.7	43.3	73.7	88.3	81-81	66-96	5.5%	4.7%	0.8%	0.2%	2.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
2026-06-18	-0.3	31	45	42.1	43.9	73.1	88.9	81-81	66-96	4.5%	4.2%	0.3%	0.1%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	<0.1%
2026-06-17	-0.4	30	45	41.9	45.2	71.9	90.2	80-82	64-98	2.9%	2.5%	0.4%	0.1%	1.4%	0.5%	0.2%	<0.1%
2026-06-16	-0.4	29	45	42.1	45.9	71.1	90.9	79-83	63-99	2.1%	1.9%	0.2%	0.0%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%
2026-06-15	-0.3	29	44	43.3	45.7	72.3	89.7	80-82	65-97	3.1%	2.8%	0.3%	0.1%	1.3%	0.4%	0.2%	<0.1%
2026-06-14	-0.3	29	43	44.0	46.0	73.0	89.0	81-81	65-97	4.1%	3.6%	0.5%	0.1%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-06-13	-0.3	28	43	44.5	46.5	72.5	89.5	80-82	65-97	3.2%	2.7%	0.4%	0.1%	1.4%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-06-12	-0.3	28	42	44.6	47.4	72.6	89.4	80-82	65-97	3.0%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	1.2%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-06-11	-0.3	28	41	45.2	47.8	73.2	88.8	81-81	65-97	4.2%	3.2%	1.0%	0.1%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-06-10	-0.4	28	40	45.7	48.3	73.7	88.3	82-80	66-96	5.7%	4.4%	1.2%	0.2%	2.5%	0.8%	0.3%	<0.1%
2026-06-09	-0.3	28	39	46.1	48.9	74.1	87.9	82-80	66-96	6.9%	5.3%	1.6%	0.2%	3.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
2026-06-08	-0.4	27	39	46.3	49.7	73.3	88.7	81-81	65-97	5.3%	4.0%	1.2%	0.1%	2.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
2026-06-07	-0.4	27	39	46.2	49.8	73.2	88.8	81-81	65-97	5.0%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-06-06	-0.4	26	39	46.8	50.2	72.8	89.2	81-81	65-97	4.1%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-06-05	-0.4	25	39	47.5	50.5	72.5	89.5	81-81	64-98	3.8%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%	1.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-06-04	-0.3	25	38	48.1	50.9	73.1	88.9	81-81	65-97	4.8%	4.0%	0.8%	0.2%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-06-03	-0.4	24	38	48.6	51.4	72.6	89.4	81-81	65-97	3.8%	3.3%	0.5%	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
2026-06-02	-0.4	23	38	49.1	51.9	72.1	89.9	80-82	64-98	3.0%	2.3%	0.7%	0.1%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%	<0.1%
2026-06-01	-0.3	23	37	49.9	52.1	72.9	89.1	81-81	65-97	4.5%	3.1%	1.4%	0.2%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-05-31	-0.4	22	37	50.0	53.0	72.0	90.0	80-82	64-98	3.3%	2.4%	0.9%	0.1%	1.6%	0.5%	0.2%	<0.1%
2026-05-30	-0.4	22	36	50.7	53.3	72.7	89.3	81-81	64-98	4.6%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
2026-05-29	-0.3	22	35	51.5	53.5	73.5	88.5	82-80	65-97	6.6%	5.6%	1.0%	0.3%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
2026-05-28	-0.2	22	34	52.7	53.3	74.7	87.3	83-79	66-96	10.4%	8.0%	2.4%	0.8%	5.1%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
2026-05-27	-0.2	22	34	52.7	53.3	74.7	87.3	83-79	66-96	9.6%	7.1%	2.4%	0.8%	4.7%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
2026-05-26	-0.2	22	33	53.5	53.5	75.5	86.5	84-78	67-95	13.9%	10.2%	3.7%	1.3%	7.2%	2.9%	1.2%	0.3%
2026-05-25	-0.1	22	32	54.7	53.3	76.7	85.3	85-77	68-94	18.4%	14.4%	4.0%	1.8%	9.3%	4.0%	1.6%	0.6%
2026-05-24	-0.1	22	31	54.5	54.5	76.5	85.5	85-77	68-94	15.7%	12.9%	2.8%	1.3%	7.9%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%
2026-05-23	-0.1	21	31	54.7	55.3	75.7	86.3	84-78	67-95	11.1%	8.7%	2.4%	0.9%	5.5%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
2026-05-22	-0.2	20	31	54.8	56.2	74.8	87.2	83-79	66-96	7.1%	5.7%	1.4%	0.4%	3.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%
2026-05-21	-0.1	20	30	55.6	56.4	75.6	86.4	84-78	67-95	10.1%	7.5%	2.6%	0.7%	4.8%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%
2026-05-20	-0.1	20	30	55.5	56.5	75.5	86.5	84-78	67-95	10.1%	7.3%	2.8%	0.7%	4.7%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%
2026-05-19	-0.1	20	29	56.6	56.4	76.6	85.4	85-77	68-94	14.9%	10.5%	4.4%	1.3%	7.5%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%
2026-05-18	0.0	20	28	57.5	56.5	77.5	84.5	86-76	69-93	19.9%	13.3%	6.5%	2.4%	10.5%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
2026-05-17	0.0	20	27	58.3	56.7	78.3	83.7	87-75	69-93	23.2%	14.1%	9.1%	3.5%	12.6%	5.5%	2.3%	0.8%
2026-05-16	0.0	19	27	58.9	57.1	77.9	84.1	87-75	69-93	22.2%	12.3%	9.9%	3.2%	12.2%	5.3%	2.2%	0.8%
2026-05-15	0.1	19	26	60.1	56.9	79.1	82.9	88-74	70-92	27.8%	14.3%	13.5%	3.8%	15.4%	6.5%	2.7%	1.1%
2026-05-14	0.1	19	25	60.7	57.3	79.7	82.3	89-73	71-91	28.3%	14.8%	13.5%	4.0%	15.8%	6.9%	3.1%	1.2%
2026-05-13	0.2	19	24	61.7	57.3	80.7	81.3	90-72	72-90	35.2%	16.4%	18.8%	6.1%	20.3%	8.8%	3.6%	1.5%
2026-05-12	0.2	19	23	62.4	57.6	81.4	80.6	90-72	72-90	40.6%	18.7%	21.9%	7.7%	24.4%	10.8%	4.7%	1.8%
2026-05-11	0.2	19	22	63.1	57.9	82.1	79.9	91-71	73-89	45.3%	18.7%	26.6%	9.5%	27.2%	12.3%	5.4%	2.1%
2026-05-10	0.2	19	22	63.1	57.9	82.1	79.9	91-71	73-89	45.9%	17.5%	28.3%	9.6%	27.4%	12.1%	5.3%	2.1%
2026-05-09	0.3	19	21	64.1	57.9	83.1	78.9	92-70	74-88	52.4%	19.0%	33.5%	12.8%	32.6%	15.0%	7.0%	2.8%
2026-05-08	0.2	18	21	63.8	59.2	81.8	80.2	91-71	73-89	44.5%	20.6%	23.8%	9.2%	26.4%	12.2%	5.5%	2.1%
2026-05-07	0.3	17	21	65.1	58.9	82.1	79.9	91-71	73-89	45.7%	18.8%	27.0%	10.4%	28.2%	13.2%	6.2%	2.5%
2026-05-06	0.3	17	20	66.0	59.0	83.0	79.0	92-70	74-88	53.3%	19.3%	34.0%	13.9%	34.2%	16.3%	7.6%	3.3%
2026-05-05	0.4	17	19	66.6	59.4	83.6	78.4	93-69	74-88	55.8%	20.5%	35.3%	16.4%	36.6%	17.2%	7.8%	3.4%
2026-05-04	0.3	16	19	66.8	60.2	82.8	79.2	92-70	74-88	48.7%	21.3%	27.4%	11.4%	30.4%	14.2%	6.6%	2.8%
2026-05-03	0.3	15	19	67.1	60.9	82.1	79.9	91-71	73-89	43.7%	21.5%	22.2%	9.3%	26.8%	12.9%	5.8%	2.4%
2026-05-02	0.2	14	19	67.0	62.0	81.0	81.0	90-72	72-90	35.5%	19.2%	16.4%	6.5%	20.6%	9.5%	4.2%	1.6%
2026-05-01	0.2	13	19	66.9	63.1	79.9	82.1	89-73	71-91	30.3%	13.5%	16.7%	4.3%	16.7%	7.6%	3.3%	1.3%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-04-30	0.1	12	19	67.2	63.8	79.2	82.8	88-74	70-92	27.3%	11.2%	16.2%	3.3%	14.6%	6.3%	2.8%	1.1%
2026-04-29	0.2	12	18	68.0	64.0	80.0	82.0	89-73	71-91	32.4%	12.3%	20.1%	4.5%	17.8%	7.8%	3.5%	1.3%
2026-04-28	0.3	12	17	69.4	63.6	81.4	80.6	91-71	72-90	41.4%	14.4%	27.0%	8.0%	24.9%	11.2%	5.1%	2.0%
2026-04-27	0.3	11	17	69.9	64.1	80.9	81.1	90-72	71-91	37.8%	15.2%	22.7%	6.9%	21.7%	9.7%	4.4%	1.7%
2026-04-26	0.3	11	17	69.9	64.1	80.9	81.1	90-72	71-91	36.9%	16.0%	21.0%	5.9%	20.9%	9.3%	4.1%	1.7%
2026-04-25	0.2	10	17	69.9	65.1	79.9	82.1	89-73	70-92	31.4%	14.1%	17.3%	4.2%	17.1%	7.6%	3.2%	1.3%
2026-04-24	0.2	9	17	70.3	65.7	79.3	82.7	89-73	70-92	27.4%	14.5%	12.8%	3.4%	15.0%	6.6%	2.8%	1.1%
2026-04-23	0.2	8	17	70.7	66.3	78.7	83.3	88-74	69-93	24.9%	12.7%	12.1%	3.3%	13.5%	6.1%	2.7%	1.2%
2026-04-22	0.2	8	17	70.7	66.3	78.7	83.3	88-74	69-93	25.7%	12.5%	13.3%	3.2%	14.1%	6.3%	2.7%	1.1%
2026-04-21	0.2	8	16	71.5	66.5	79.5	82.5	89-73	70-92	29.4%	14.1%	15.4%	3.8%	16.1%	7.2%	3.1%	1.2%
2026-04-20	0.2	7	16	71.9	67.1	78.9	83.1	88-74	69-93	26.7%	11.1%	15.6%	3.9%	14.9%	6.8%	3.0%	1.2%
2026-04-19	0.2	7	15	72.8	67.2	79.8	82.2	90-72	70-92	30.8%	14.2%	16.5%	5.2%	17.4%	7.8%	3.4%	1.5%
2026-04-18	0.3	7	14	73.8	67.2	80.8	81.2	91-71	71-91	38.0%	14.1%	23.9%	7.7%	22.6%	10.4%	4.8%	2.1%
2026-04-17	0.4	7	13	75.3	66.7	82.3	79.7	92-70	72-90	47.7%	16.1%	31.6%	11.8%	29.8%	14.0%	6.4%	2.8%
2026-04-16	0.3	7	12	75.3	67.7	82.3	79.7	92-70	73-89	46.3%	16.4%	29.9%	11.6%	29.3%	13.7%	6.0%	2.6%
2026-04-15	0.3	7	11	75.6	68.4	82.6	79.4	92-70	73-89	47.6%	13.0%	34.5%	11.8%	29.5%	13.4%	6.0%	2.7%
2026-04-14	0.3	7	10	75.8	69.2	82.8	79.2	93-69	73-89	47.8%	16.3%	31.5%	12.6%	30.1%	14.0%	6.4%	2.6%
2026-04-13	0.3	7	9	76.4	69.6	83.4	78.6	93-69	73-89	51.3%	17.5%	33.8%	13.7%	32.2%	14.8%	6.7%	2.9%
2026-04-12	0.3	7	9	76.3	69.7	83.3	78.7	93-69	73-89	52.3%	14.9%	37.4%	14.2%	33.1%	15.5%	7.1%	3.1%
2026-04-11	0.3	7	8	77.0	70.0	84.0	78.0	94-68	74-88	55.8%	17.6%	38.2%	15.6%	34.8%	16.1%	7.2%	3.0%
2026-04-10	0.2	6	8	76.9	71.1	82.9	79.1	93-69	73-89	53.3%	13.9%	39.4%	13.0%	32.5%	14.4%	6.2%	2.5%
2026-04-09	0.2	5	8	77.8	71.2	82.8	79.2	93-69	73-89	51.0%	17.1%	33.9%	11.5%	30.7%	13.6%	6.2%	2.4%
2026-04-08	0.3	5	7	78.7	71.3	83.7	78.3	94-68	74-88	56.0%	18.1%	38.0%	13.8%	34.8%	16.0%	7.0%	3.0%
2026-04-07	0.4	5	6	80.3	70.7	85.3	76.7	95-67	75-87	67.0%	16.4%	50.6%	21.7%	44.4%	21.5%	10.0%	4.1%
2026-04-06	0.4	5	5	81.2	70.8	86.2	75.8	96-66	76-86	71.1%	14.4%	56.7%	27.2%	49.3%	23.7%	11.1%	4.7%
2026-04-05	0.4	4	5	81.4	71.6	85.4	76.6	95-67	75-87	64.9%	15.3%	49.6%	22.0%	43.6%	20.5%	9.6%	4.2%
2026-04-04	0.4	4	4	81.6	72.4	85.6	76.4	96-66	75-87	63.9%	14.1%	49.8%	20.9%	42.4%	20.1%	9.2%	4.0%
2026-04-03	0.3	3	3	81.9	74.1	84.9	77.1	95-67	75-87	59.6%	12.4%	47.2%	17.2%	37.9%	17.4%	7.9%	3.2%
2026-04-02	0.3	3	3	81.9	74.1	84.9	77.1	95-67	75-87	60.8%	10.7%	50.1%	16.1%	38.0%	17.2%	7.7%	3.1%
2026-04-01	0.3	3	2	82.6	74.4	85.6	76.4	96-66	75-87	65.3%	11.2%	54.1%	18.8%	41.7%	19.0%	8.3%	3.4%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-03-31	0.2	2	2	82.1	75.9	84.1	77.9	94-68	74-88	57.2%	8.0%	49.3%	12.8%	34.0%	15.0%	6.5%	2.5%
2026-03-30	0.2	2	2	82.2	75.8	84.2	77.8	95-67	74-88	55.9%	9.0%	46.9%	13.6%	33.9%	15.0%	6.2%	2.7%
2026-03-29	0.2	1	2	83.0	76.0	84.0	78.0	94-68	74-88	56.5%	7.6%	48.9%	12.5%	33.7%	14.5%	6.1%	2.4%
2026-03-28	0.2	0	2	82.7	77.3	82.7	79.3	93-69	72-90	47.6%	8.7%	38.9%	9.9%	27.7%	12.0%	5.0%	1.9%
2026-03-27	0.2	0	1	83.0	78.0	83.0	79.0	93-69	73-89	48.4%	8.5%	39.9%	10.5%	28.6%	12.4%	5.1%	2.0%
2026-03-26	0.2			84.3	77.7	84.3	77.7	95-67	74-88	55.8%	9.9%	45.9%	14.9%	34.4%	15.4%	6.7%	2.7%
2026-03-25	0.2			84.3	77.7	84.3	77.7	95-67	74-88	56.7%	8.0%	48.7%	15.2%	35.5%	16.1%	7.1%	2.9%
2026-03-24	0.2			84.2	77.8	84.2	77.8	95-67	74-88	56.8%	8.5%	48.3%	14.7%	34.9%	15.5%	6.8%	2.9%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS