2026 Chicago Cubs Playoff Odds

2025 Season

Record: 49-38, 2nd place in NL_Central (Schedule and Results)

Playoff Odds: 87.2% to make postseason, 4.9% to win World Series

Manager: Craig Counsell (49-38)

President: Jed Hoyer (President, Baseball Operations)

General Manager: Carter Hawkins

Farm Director: Jason Kanzler

Scouting Director: Dan Kantrovitz

Ballpark: Wrigley Field

Attendance: 1,509,161 (6th of 15)

Park Factors: (Over 100 favors batters, under 100 favors pitchers.)
Multi-year: Batting - 96, Pitching - 95
One-year: Batting - 100, Pitching - 99

Pythagorean W-L: 49-38, 448 Runs, 385 Runs Allowed

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2026 Chicago Cubs Menu

Table
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-07-01	0.8	49	38	40.3	34.7	89.3	72.7	96-66	82-80	87.2%	80.6%	6.6%	3.3%	49.1%	20.8%	8.7%	4.9%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-06-30	0.6	48	38	40.2	35.8	88.2	73.8	95-67	81-81	79.9%	74.4%	5.5%	2.6%	43.4%	17.6%	7.1%	3.6%
2026-06-29	0.7	47	38	41.0	36.0	88.0	74.0	95-67	81-81	79.7%	72.9%	6.7%	3.1%	44.0%	18.3%	7.5%	3.8%
2026-06-28	0.6	46	38	41.5	36.5	87.5	74.5	95-67	80-82	76.5%	70.5%	6.0%	2.5%	41.5%	16.9%	7.0%	3.6%
2026-06-27	0.6	45	38	41.6	37.4	86.6	75.4	94-68	79-83	70.6%	67.0%	3.5%	1.3%	36.9%	14.5%	5.7%	2.8%
2026-06-26	0.5	44	38	41.6	38.5	85.6	76.5	93-69	78-84	60.5%	58.8%	1.6%	0.6%	30.5%	12.0%	4.8%	2.3%
2026-06-25	0.5	44	37	42.2	38.8	86.2	75.8	94-68	79-83	65.7%	62.6%	3.2%	1.3%	34.4%	13.4%	5.4%	2.7%
2026-06-24	0.5	43	37	41.5	39.5	84.5	76.5	92-69	77-84	56.7%	54.6%	2.2%	0.7%	29.1%	11.0%	4.2%	2.0%
2026-06-23	0.4	41	37	43.3	40.7	84.3	77.7	92-70	77-85	55.1%	53.3%	1.8%	0.5%	28.0%	10.7%	4.1%	1.9%
2026-06-22	0.4	40	37	43.7	41.3	83.7	78.3	91-71	76-86	51.0%	49.2%	1.8%	0.4%	25.7%	9.8%	3.5%	1.7%
2026-06-21	0.4	40	37	43.9	41.1	83.9	78.1	91-71	76-86	53.9%	51.5%	2.5%	0.5%	27.2%	10.6%	4.1%	1.9%
2026-06-20	0.4	40	37	44.1	40.9	84.1	77.9	92-70	77-85	56.0%	52.5%	3.5%	0.5%	28.4%	11.0%	4.2%	1.8%
2026-06-19	0.5	40	36	44.8	41.2	84.8	77.2	92-70	77-85	62.2%	58.6%	3.6%	0.8%	33.2%	13.1%	5.1%	2.3%
2026-06-18	0.3	39	36	44.6	42.4	83.6	78.4	91-71	76-86	50.6%	48.7%	1.9%	0.3%	25.3%	9.5%	3.9%	1.8%
2026-06-17	0.3	39	36	44.7	42.3	83.7	78.3	91-71	76-86	48.7%	46.9%	1.8%	0.4%	24.3%	9.1%	3.5%	1.5%
2026-06-16	0.3	38	36	45.1	42.9	83.1	78.9	91-71	76-86	43.5%	41.8%	1.7%	0.3%	20.8%	7.9%	3.1%	1.4%
2026-06-15	0.3	38	35	45.9	43.1	83.9	78.1	92-70	76-86	51.8%	49.1%	2.7%	0.6%	25.6%	9.7%	3.8%	1.6%
2026-06-14	0.4	37	35	46.8	43.2	83.8	78.2	92-70	76-86	50.5%	47.8%	2.7%	0.6%	25.6%	9.7%	3.8%	1.8%
2026-06-13	0.4	37	34	47.6	43.4	84.6	77.4	92-70	77-85	58.3%	53.6%	4.6%	0.7%	29.9%	11.4%	4.2%	1.9%
2026-06-12	0.3	36	34	47.3	44.7	83.3	78.7	91-71	75-87	52.5%	49.7%	2.8%	0.4%	25.6%	9.3%	3.2%	1.4%
2026-06-11	0.2	35	34	47.5	45.5	82.5	79.5	90-72	75-87	42.6%	40.0%	2.6%	0.2%	20.4%	7.2%	2.6%	1.0%
2026-06-10	0.2	34	34	47.8	46.2	81.8	80.2	90-72	74-88	36.3%	34.4%	1.9%	0.1%	17.0%	5.9%	2.0%	0.9%
2026-06-09	0.3	34	33	49.1	45.9	83.1	78.9	91-71	75-87	47.0%	44.3%	2.7%	0.3%	22.9%	8.1%	2.9%	1.2%
2026-06-08	0.4	34	32	50.2	45.8	84.2	77.8	92-70	76-86	51.6%	48.7%	2.9%	0.4%	25.7%	9.4%	3.5%	1.5%
2026-06-07	0.4	34	32	50.4	45.6	84.4	77.6	92-70	76-86	53.7%	50.0%	3.7%	0.5%	27.0%	10.1%	3.9%	1.7%
2026-06-06	0.4	34	31	51.2	45.8	85.2	76.8	93-69	77-85	59.2%	53.4%	5.9%	0.9%	30.2%	11.6%	4.4%	1.9%
2026-06-05	0.4	33	31	51.3	46.7	84.3	77.7	92-70	76-86	52.7%	48.1%	4.6%	0.7%	25.9%	9.9%	3.8%	1.8%
2026-06-04	0.5	33	30	52.8	46.2	85.8	76.2	94-68	78-84	61.8%	53.9%	7.9%	1.8%	31.8%	12.8%	5.3%	2.5%
2026-06-03	0.5	32	30	53.5	46.5	85.5	76.5	94-68	77-85	61.5%	55.4%	6.1%	1.2%	31.4%	12.5%	5.1%	2.5%
2026-06-02	0.5	32	29	54.2	46.8	86.2	75.8	94-68	78-84	64.8%	58.5%	6.3%	1.8%	33.7%	13.4%	5.4%	2.6%
2026-06-01	0.6	32	28	54.8	47.2	86.8	75.2	95-67	78-84	67.9%	59.6%	8.3%	2.4%	35.7%	14.7%	5.8%	2.6%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-05-31	0.6	32	28	54.8	47.2	86.8	75.2	95-67	78-84	68.8%	59.7%	9.1%	2.3%	36.4%	14.7%	5.7%	2.6%
2026-05-30	0.6	32	27	55.4	47.6	87.4	74.6	96-66	79-83	72.7%	61.5%	11.2%	2.8%	38.7%	15.5%	6.3%	3.1%
2026-05-29	0.6	31	27	56.4	47.6	87.4	74.6	96-66	79-83	72.5%	64.0%	8.5%	2.4%	38.0%	15.6%	6.5%	3.2%
2026-05-28	0.5	31	26	56.3	48.7	87.3	74.7	96-66	79-83	70.3%	61.5%	8.8%	3.2%	36.5%	15.2%	6.5%	3.0%
2026-05-27	0.5	30	26	56.3	49.7	86.3	75.7	95-67	78-84	64.3%	58.0%	6.4%	2.5%	33.4%	13.7%	5.5%	2.5%
2026-05-26	0.5	29	26	56.7	50.3	85.7	76.3	94-68	77-85	58.1%	52.2%	5.9%	1.8%	29.4%	11.7%	4.7%	2.2%
2026-05-25	0.5	29	25	58.1	49.9	87.1	74.9	96-66	79-83	69.0%	58.4%	10.6%	3.5%	36.4%	14.8%	6.1%	3.1%
2026-05-24	0.6	29	24	59.0	50.0	88.0	74.0	97-65	79-83	75.5%	61.8%	13.7%	5.4%	41.1%	17.3%	7.3%	3.7%
2026-05-23	0.6	29	23	60.0	50.0	89.0	73.0	98-64	80-82	81.1%	66.9%	14.2%	6.3%	44.7%	19.2%	8.2%	4.4%
2026-05-22	0.6	29	22	60.4	50.6	89.4	72.6	98-64	81-81	83.8%	73.2%	10.5%	5.8%	46.3%	19.6%	8.4%	4.3%
2026-05-21	0.7	29	21	61.3	50.7	90.3	71.7	99-63	82-80	85.3%	70.7%	14.6%	7.5%	48.1%	20.5%	8.6%	4.4%
2026-05-20	0.6	29	21	61.2	50.8	90.2	71.8	99-63	82-80	85.8%	71.5%	14.3%	7.8%	48.1%	20.6%	8.7%	4.5%
2026-05-19	0.7	29	20	61.9	51.1	90.9	71.1	100-62	82-80	87.5%	67.9%	19.7%	11.6%	51.2%	22.6%	9.9%	5.0%
2026-05-18	0.7	29	19	62.9	51.1	91.9	70.1	100-62	83-79	90.7%	60.7%	30.0%	18.8%	56.6%	26.2%	11.8%	6.3%
2026-05-17	0.7	29	18	63.2	51.8	92.2	69.8	101-61	84-78	92.9%	59.4%	33.6%	19.0%	58.6%	26.5%	11.9%	6.4%
2026-05-16	0.7	29	17	63.7	52.3	92.7	69.3	101-61	84-78	93.2%	62.2%	31.0%	21.1%	59.6%	27.7%	12.5%	6.6%
2026-05-15	0.8	29	16	64.6	52.4	93.6	68.4	102-60	85-77	95.3%	58.6%	36.7%	27.1%	63.9%	30.7%	14.5%	7.7%
2026-05-14	0.7	28	16	64.8	53.2	92.8	69.2	102-60	84-78	94.4%	58.4%	36.0%	26.7%	62.9%	30.4%	14.4%	7.4%
2026-05-13	0.7	27	16	65.5	53.5	92.5	69.5	101-61	84-78	93.8%	55.0%	38.9%	27.2%	63.0%	30.5%	14.8%	7.7%
2026-05-12	0.7	27	15	65.5	54.5	92.5	69.5	101-61	84-78	92.9%	60.1%	32.8%	25.5%	61.5%	29.5%	13.7%	6.9%
2026-05-11	0.7	27	14	66.2	54.8	93.2	68.8	102-60	84-78	94.5%	55.9%	38.6%	30.7%	64.8%	31.1%	14.9%	7.7%
2026-05-10	0.7	27	14	66.2	54.8	93.2	68.8	102-60	84-78	94.7%	56.0%	38.7%	30.4%	65.3%	31.5%	15.2%	7.9%
2026-05-09	0.7	27	13	66.5	55.5	93.5	68.5	102-60	85-77	95.5%	54.8%	40.7%	34.0%	66.6%	32.4%	15.1%	7.9%
2026-05-08	0.8	27	12	68.1	54.9	95.1	66.9	104-58	86-76	97.7%	45.2%	52.4%	45.6%	74.3%	37.5%	18.1%	9.8%
2026-05-07	0.6	26	12	67.1	56.9	93.1	68.9	102-60	84-78	94.5%	49.2%	45.3%	36.3%	66.9%	32.1%	14.5%	7.3%
2026-05-06	0.6	25	12	67.9	57.1	92.9	69.1	102-60	84-78	93.4%	48.5%	44.8%	35.4%	65.8%	31.7%	14.4%	7.4%
2026-05-05	0.6	24	12	68.6	57.4	92.6	69.4	102-60	83-79	93.3%	48.1%	45.2%	35.0%	65.9%	31.8%	15.1%	7.7%
2026-05-04	0.6	23	12	69.0	58.0	92.0	70.0	101-61	83-79	92.0%	50.3%	41.7%	32.4%	64.2%	31.2%	14.6%	7.4%
2026-05-03	0.6	22	12	69.6	58.4	91.6	70.4	101-61	82-80	90.5%	56.8%	33.7%	25.9%	59.9%	28.9%	13.8%	7.1%
2026-05-02	0.6	21	12	70.2	58.8	91.2	70.8	100-62	82-80	89.4%	59.6%	29.9%	23.9%	59.2%	28.5%	13.2%	6.9%
2026-05-01	0.7	20	12	70.8	59.2	90.8	71.2	100-62	81-81	87.8%	57.7%	30.1%	23.7%	57.3%	27.3%	12.9%	6.6%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-04-30	0.5	19	12	70.3	60.7	89.3	72.7	99-63	80-82	80.5%	55.8%	24.7%	17.9%	50.1%	23.2%	10.4%	5.0%
2026-04-29	0.5	19	12	70.3	60.7	89.3	72.7	99-63	80-82	80.0%	51.7%	28.4%	20.2%	50.3%	23.1%	10.3%	5.1%
2026-04-28	0.6	18	12	71.3	60.7	89.3	72.7	99-63	80-82	79.5%	57.0%	22.5%	17.0%	49.3%	22.7%	10.3%	5.0%
2026-04-27	0.6	17	12	71.9	61.1	88.9	73.1	98-64	79-83	76.7%	52.4%	24.2%	18.2%	47.9%	22.1%	10.3%	5.3%
2026-04-26	0.5	17	11	71.6	62.4	88.6	73.4	98-64	79-83	74.6%	51.8%	22.9%	17.3%	46.5%	21.1%	9.8%	4.6%
2026-04-25	0.6	17	10	73.0	62.0	90.0	72.0	99-63	81-81	79.5%	48.3%	31.2%	25.1%	52.6%	25.2%	12.1%	6.0%
2026-04-24	0.6	17	9	74.3	61.7	91.3	70.7	101-61	82-80	86.4%	50.6%	35.8%	30.1%	59.7%	30.5%	15.6%	7.8%
2026-04-23	0.6	16	9	74.5	62.5	90.5	71.5	100-62	81-81	84.5%	56.2%	28.3%	24.2%	55.6%	27.4%	13.3%	6.4%
2026-04-22	0.6	15	9	75.2	62.8	90.2	71.8	100-62	81-81	82.2%	56.0%	26.2%	22.9%	54.5%	27.5%	13.8%	7.1%
2026-04-21	0.6	14	9	75.3	63.7	89.3	72.7	99-63	80-82	77.7%	59.1%	18.6%	16.3%	47.8%	22.9%	10.7%	5.3%
2026-04-20	0.6	13	9	75.7	64.3	88.7	73.3	98-64	79-83	72.6%	52.2%	20.3%	16.3%	45.3%	21.6%	10.4%	5.1%
2026-04-19	0.5	12	9	75.6	65.4	87.6	74.4	97-65	78-84	67.0%	50.0%	17.0%	13.8%	41.0%	19.2%	9.2%	4.5%
2026-04-18	0.6	11	9	76.8	65.2	87.8	74.2	97-65	78-84	68.2%	53.5%	14.7%	12.3%	41.6%	19.5%	9.3%	4.8%
2026-04-17	0.6	10	9	76.9	66.1	86.9	75.1	96-66	77-85	63.3%	50.3%	13.0%	10.6%	38.2%	17.8%	8.3%	4.1%
2026-04-16	0.5	9	9	77.4	66.6	86.4	75.6	96-66	77-85	61.6%	49.0%	12.6%	10.0%	36.1%	16.5%	7.8%	4.0%
2026-04-15	0.5	9	9	77.4	66.6	86.4	75.6	96-66	77-85	61.5%	49.0%	12.5%	10.1%	36.3%	16.6%	7.9%	3.8%
2026-04-14	0.4	8	9	76.7	68.3	84.7	77.3	95-67	75-87	53.1%	42.5%	10.7%	7.8%	30.2%	13.7%	6.2%	3.0%
2026-04-13	0.3	7	9	75.6	70.4	82.6	79.4	92-70	73-89	38.3%	32.6%	5.7%	3.8%	20.6%	9.1%	4.0%	1.8%
2026-04-12	0.4	7	8	76.8	70.2	83.8	78.2	94-68	74-88	45.8%	38.0%	7.8%	5.5%	25.2%	11.3%	4.9%	2.4%
2026-04-11	0.3	6	8	76.5	71.5	82.5	79.5	93-69	73-89	38.3%	34.3%	4.1%	3.0%	20.3%	8.4%	3.6%	1.7%
2026-04-10	0.4	6	7	77.5	71.5	83.5	78.5	93-69	74-88	42.9%	39.2%	3.7%	2.8%	22.8%	10.2%	4.3%	2.0%
2026-04-09	0.3	6	6	77.7	72.3	83.7	78.3	94-68	74-88	44.5%	41.4%	3.2%	2.4%	22.8%	10.0%	4.1%	2.0%
2026-04-08	0.3	6	6	77.8	72.2	83.8	78.2	94-68	74-88	46.5%	43.2%	3.3%	2.6%	24.7%	10.4%	4.3%	2.0%
2026-04-07	0.3	5	6	78.4	72.6	83.4	78.6	93-69	73-89	43.8%	41.4%	2.4%	1.9%	23.0%	9.9%	3.9%	1.7%
2026-04-06	0.3	4	6	78.4	73.6	82.4	79.6	92-70	72-90	39.3%	37.6%	1.7%	1.2%	19.8%	8.0%	3.3%	1.6%
2026-04-05	0.3	4	5	79.5	73.5	83.5	78.5	94-68	73-89	44.6%	41.8%	2.8%	2.2%	23.6%	10.3%	4.2%	2.0%
2026-04-04	0.3	3	4	80.4	74.6	83.4	78.6	93-69	73-89	48.0%	44.9%	3.1%	2.3%	25.4%	10.4%	4.3%	1.8%
2026-04-03	0.3	3	4	80.5	74.5	83.5	78.5	94-68	73-89	49.6%	46.5%	3.1%	2.4%	25.5%	10.9%	4.6%	2.1%
2026-04-02	0.3	3	3	81.3	74.7	84.3	77.7	94-68	74-88	55.3%	51.4%	3.9%	3.0%	29.5%	12.6%	5.3%	2.4%
2026-04-01	0.3	3	3	81.3	74.7	84.3	77.7	94-68	74-88	54.9%	51.0%	3.9%	3.1%	29.3%	12.4%	5.0%	2.3%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-03-31	0.3	2	3	80.9	76.1	82.9	79.1	93-69	73-89	48.2%	44.8%	3.4%	2.4%	25.0%	10.2%	4.1%	1.9%
2026-03-30	0.3	2	2	81.8	76.2	83.8	78.2	94-68	74-88	51.6%	46.5%	5.1%	3.8%	27.8%	11.9%	5.0%	2.3%
2026-03-29	0.3	1	2	82.3	76.7	83.3	78.7	93-69	73-89	47.9%	43.9%	4.0%	2.8%	25.0%	10.3%	4.2%	1.9%
2026-03-28	0.3	1	1	83.5	76.5	84.5	77.5	95-67	74-88	54.0%	48.5%	5.5%	3.9%	28.5%	11.9%	5.0%	2.3%
2026-03-27	0.3	0	1	83.1	77.9	83.1	78.9	94-68	73-89	47.5%	42.5%	5.0%	3.3%	24.8%	10.2%	4.1%	1.8%
2026-03-26	0.3	0	1	83.1	77.9	83.1	78.9	94-68	73-89	47.8%	42.7%	5.1%	3.5%	25.0%	10.3%	4.2%	1.8%
2026-03-25	0.3			84.7	77.3	84.7	77.3	95-67	74-88	57.1%	48.9%	8.2%	5.7%	31.8%	13.6%	5.7%	2.6%
2026-03-24	0.3			84.6	77.4	84.6	77.4	95-67	74-88	56.0%	47.8%	8.3%	5.7%	31.0%	13.5%	5.6%	2.6%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS