MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1964-10-04. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1St. Louis CardinalsNL0.50.193690.00.093.069.093-6993-69>99.9%44.5%+50.7%+77.5%+98.6%
2Cincinnati RedsNL0.60.192700.00.092.070.092-7092-70<0.1%<0.1%-44.9%-52.1%-10.8%
3Philadelphia PhilliesNL0.40.192700.00.092.070.092-7092-70<0.1%<0.1%-5.8%-25.3%-85.4%
4San Francisco GiantsNL0.30.190720.00.090.072.090-7290-72<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-0.1%-2.4%
5Milwaukee BravesNL0.5-0.188740.00.088.074.088-7488-74<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.20.180820.00.080.082.080-8280-82<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Los Angeles DodgersNL0.20.180820.00.080.082.080-8280-82<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Chicago CubsNL-0.60.276860.00.076.086.076-8676-86<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Houston Colt .45sNL-0.90.266960.00.066.096.066-9666-96<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10New York MetsNL-1.20.2531090.00.053.0109.053-10953-109<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1New York YankeesAL0.8-0.199630.00.099.063.099-6399-63>99.9%55.5%0.0%+9.2%+92.4%
2Chicago White SoxAL0.8-0.198640.00.098.064.098-6498-64<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-4.9%-53.8%
3Baltimore OriolesAL0.6-0.197650.00.097.065.097-6597-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-4.2%-38.5%
4Detroit TigersAL0.4-0.185770.00.085.077.085-7785-77<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Los Angeles AngelsAL0.10.182800.00.082.080.082-8082-80<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Minnesota TwinsAL0.30.079830.00.079.083.079-8379-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Cleveland IndiansAL0.00.079830.00.079.083.079-8379-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Boston Red SoxAL-0.80.072900.00.072.090.072-9072-90<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Washington SenatorsAL-1.00.1621000.00.062.0100.062-10062-100<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Kansas City AthleticsAL-1.30.1571050.00.057.0105.057-10557-105<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%