MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1963-09-29. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | 0.6 | 0.1 | 99 | 63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.0 | 63.0 | 99-63 | 99-63 | >99.9% | 42.9% | 0.0% | +0.0% | +4.7% | ||||||
| 2 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.7 | 0.1 | 93 | 69 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 69.0 | 93-69 | 93-69 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.4% | ||||||
| 3 | San Francisco Giants | NL | 0.4 | 0.1 | 88 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 74.0 | 88-74 | 88-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.3% | ||||||
| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | 0.6 | 0.1 | 87 | 75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 75.0 | 87-75 | 87-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.4 | 0.1 | 86 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 76.0 | 86-76 | 86-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | ||||||
| 6 | Milwaukee Braves | NL | 0.5 | -0.1 | 84 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 78.0 | 84-78 | 84-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.8% | ||||||
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.3 | 0.1 | 82 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 80.0 | 82-80 | 82-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | -0.3 | 0.1 | 74 | 88 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 88.0 | 74-88 | 74-88 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 9 | Houston Colt .45s | NL | -0.9 | 0.2 | 66 | 96 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.0 | 96.0 | 66-96 | 66-96 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 10 | New York Mets | NL | -1.8 | 0.2 | 51 | 111 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 111.0 | 51-111 | 51-111 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Yankees | AL | 1.0 | -0.1 | 104 | 57 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 104.0 | 57.0 | 104-57 | 104-57 | >99.9% | 57.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.2% | ||||||
| 2 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.7 | -0.1 | 94 | 68 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 68.0 | 94-68 | 94-68 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | AL | 1.0 | -0.1 | 91 | 70 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 70.0 | 91-70 | 91-70 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | ||||||
| 4 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 86 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 76.0 | 86-76 | 86-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.3 | 0.0 | 79 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 83.0 | 79-83 | 79-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Cleveland Indians | AL | -0.3 | 0.0 | 79 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 83.0 | 79-83 | 79-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Boston Red Sox | AL | -0.6 | 0.0 | 76 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 85.0 | 76-85 | 76-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Kansas City Athletics | AL | -0.7 | 0.1 | 73 | 89 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 89.0 | 73-89 | 73-89 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 9 | Los Angeles Angels | AL | -0.4 | 0.0 | 70 | 91 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 91.0 | 70-91 | 70-91 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 10 | Washington Senators | AL | -1.3 | 0.1 | 56 | 106 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56.0 | 106.0 | 56-106 | 56-106 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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