MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1950-10-01. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1Philadelphia PhilliesNL0.50.291630.00.091.063.091-6391-63>99.9%37.8%+25.8%+2.6%+7.3%
2Brooklyn DodgersNL0.6-0.189650.00.089.065.089-6589-65<0.1%<0.1%-25.8%-2.5%-6.7%
3New York GiantsNL0.8-0.186680.00.086.068.086-6886-68<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.2%
4Boston BravesNL0.10.083710.00.083.071.083-7183-71<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-0.1%-0.4%
5St. Louis CardinalsNL-0.20.378750.00.078.075.078-7578-75<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Cincinnati RedsNL-0.10.366870.00.066.087.066-8766-87<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Chicago CubsNL-0.90.364890.00.064.089.064-8964-89<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Pittsburgh PiratesNL-0.90.457960.00.057.096.057-9657-96<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1New York YankeesAL1.4-0.398560.00.098.056.098-5698-56>99.9%62.2%0.0%+7.7%+37.1%
2Detroit TigersAL0.4-0.295590.00.095.059.095-5995-59<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-5.7%-19.9%
3Boston Red SoxAL1.1-0.294600.00.094.060.094-6094-60<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-2.0%-12.7%
4Cleveland IndiansAL1.3-0.292620.00.092.062.092-6292-62<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-4.4%
5Washington NationalsAL-0.60.167870.00.067.087.067-8767-87<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Chicago White SoxAL-0.8-0.160940.00.060.094.060-9460-94<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7St. Louis BrownsAL-1.40.258960.00.058.096.058-9658-96<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia AthleticsAL-1.50.2521020.00.052.0102.052-10252-102<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%