MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1949-10-02. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1Brooklyn DodgersNL1.3-0.297570.00.097.057.097-5797-57>99.9%54.5%+12.5%+88.1%+77.9%
2St. Louis CardinalsNL1.00.296580.00.096.058.096-5896-58<0.1%<0.1%-12.5%-88.1%-77.9%
3Philadelphia PhilliesNL-0.10.381730.00.081.073.081-7381-73<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Boston BravesNL-0.30.075790.00.075.079.075-7975-79<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5New York GiantsNL-0.10.073810.00.073.081.073-8173-81<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Pittsburgh PiratesNL-0.40.371830.00.071.083.071-8371-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Cincinnati RedsNL-0.50.462920.00.062.092.062-9262-92<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Chicago CubsNL-1.00.461930.00.061.093.061-9361-93<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1New York YankeesAL0.9-0.297570.00.097.057.097-5797-57>99.9%45.5%+56.7%+67.4%+31.2%
2Boston Red SoxAL2.0-0.296580.00.096.058.096-5896-58<0.1%<0.1%-56.7%-67.4%-24.5%
3Cleveland IndiansAL0.6-0.189650.00.089.065.089-6589-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-6.5%
4Detroit TigersAL0.8-0.187670.00.087.067.087-6787-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.2%
5Philadelphia AthleticsAL-0.20.081730.00.081.073.081-7381-73<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Chicago White SoxAL-0.50.063910.00.063.091.063-9163-91<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7St. Louis BrownsAL-1.30.2531010.00.053.0101.053-10153-101<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Washington NationalsAL-2.30.3501040.00.050.0104.050-10450-104<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%