MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1925-10-04. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 1.2 | -0.3 | 95 | 58 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 95.0 | 58.0 | 95-58 | 95-58 | >99.9% | 53.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.2% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Giants | NL | -0.1 | 0.0 | 86 | 66 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 66.0 | 86-66 | 86-66 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | ||||||
| 3 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.4 | -0.2 | 80 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 73.0 | 80-73 | 80-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.5 | -0.2 | 77 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 76.0 | 77-76 | 77-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Boston Braves | NL | -0.3 | 0.0 | 70 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 83.0 | 70-83 | 70-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Brooklyn Robins | NL | -0.7 | 0.1 | 68 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 68.0 | 85.0 | 68-85 | 68-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.3 | -0.1 | 68 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 68.0 | 86.0 | 68-86 | 68-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.7 | -0.1 | 68 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 68.0 | 85.0 | 68-85 | 68-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Washington Nationals | AL | 1.0 | -0.1 | 96 | 55 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 96.0 | 55.0 | 96-55 | 96-55 | >99.9% | 46.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +4.0% | ||||||
| 2 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | 0.5 | -0.1 | 88 | 64 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 64.0 | 88-64 | 88-64 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -4.0% | ||||||
| 3 | St. Louis Browns | AL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 82 | 71 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 82.0 | 70.0 | 82-70 | 82-70 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.5 | 0.1 | 81 | 73 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 73.0 | 80-73 | 80-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.2 | 0.1 | 79 | 75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 75.0 | 79-75 | 79-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Cleveland Indians | AL | -0.2 | 0.1 | 70 | 84 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 84.0 | 70-84 | 70-84 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | New York Yankees | AL | -0.5 | 0.1 | 69 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 69-85 | 69-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Boston Red Sox | AL | -1.8 | 0.2 | 47 | 105 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 105.0 | 47-105 | 47-105 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


We're Social...for Statheads
Site Last Updated: Tuesday, June 30, 4:07AM
Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction?
Subscribe to our Free Email Newsletter
Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREE
Your All-Access Ticket to the Baseball Reference Database
Do you have a sports website? Or write about sports? We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Find out more.