MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1924-09-30. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Giants | NL | 1.4 | -0.2 | 93 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 60.0 | 93-60 | 93-60 | >99.9% | 49.4% | 0.0% | +27.8% | +29.3% | ||||||
| 2 | Brooklyn Robins | NL | 0.3 | 0.0 | 92 | 62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 62.0 | 92-62 | 92-62 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -19.9% | -3.7% | ||||||
| 3 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 1.2 | -0.1 | 90 | 63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 90.0 | 63.0 | 90-63 | 90-63 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -7.9% | -25.6% | ||||||
| 4 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.8 | -0.1 | 83 | 70 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 70.0 | 83-70 | 83-70 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.6 | 0.0 | 81 | 72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 72.0 | 81-72 | 81-72 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | ||||||
| 6 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.3 | -0.1 | 65 | 89 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 65.0 | 89.0 | 65-89 | 65-89 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -1.1 | 0.0 | 55 | 96 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 96.0 | 55-96 | 55-96 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Boston Braves | NL | -2.1 | 0.3 | 53 | 100 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 100.0 | 53-100 | 53-100 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Washington Nationals | AL | 1.0 | -0.1 | 92 | 62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 62.0 | 92-62 | 92-62 | >99.9% | 50.6% | 0.0% | +6.1% | +26.4% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Yankees | AL | 0.8 | 0.0 | 89 | 63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.0 | 63.0 | 89-63 | 89-63 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -6.1% | -25.2% | ||||||
| 3 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.3 | 0.0 | 86 | 68 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 68.0 | 86-68 | 86-68 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.1% | ||||||
| 4 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -0.3 | 0.1 | 74 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 78.0 | 74-78 | 74-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | ||||||
| 5 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71 | 81 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 81.0 | 71-81 | 71-81 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Boston Red Sox | AL | -0.9 | 0.1 | 67 | 87 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 87.0 | 67-87 | 67-87 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Cleveland Indians | AL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 67 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 86.0 | 67-86 | 67-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Chicago White Sox | AL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 66 | 87 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.0 | 87.0 | 66-87 | 66-87 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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