MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1922-10-01. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1New York GiantsNL0.8-0.193610.00.093.061.093-6193-61>99.9%49.4%0.0%0.0%+5.3%
2Cincinnati RedsNL0.5-0.18668-1.00.085.068.085-6885-68<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.9%
3Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.8-0.185690.0-1.085.068.085-6885-68<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-1.2%
4St. Louis CardinalsNL0.30.085690.00.085.069.085-6985-69<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.9%
5Chicago CubsNL0.00.080740.00.080.074.080-7480-74<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-2.4%
6Brooklyn RobinsNL-0.20.076780.00.076.078.076-7876-78<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia PhilliesNL-0.90.157960.00.057.096.057-9657-96<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Boston BravesNL-1.30.2531000.00.053.0100.053-10053-100<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1New York YankeesAL0.80.094600.00.094.060.094-6094-60>99.9%50.6%0.0%+0.2%+29.7%
2St. Louis BrownsAL1.5-0.293610.00.093.061.093-6193-61<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-0.2%-29.7%
3Detroit TigersAL0.40.079750.00.079.075.079-7579-75<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Cleveland IndiansAL-0.50.178760.00.078.076.078-7678-76<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Chicago White SoxAL0.10.177770.00.077.077.077-7777-77<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Washington NationalsAL-0.30.169850.00.069.085.069-8569-85<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia AthleticsAL-0.80.165890.00.065.089.065-8965-89<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Boston Red SoxAL-1.10.161930.00.061.093.061-9361-93<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%