MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1921-10-02. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Giants | NL | 1.2 | -0.2 | 94 | 59 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 59.0 | 94-59 | 94-59 | >99.9% | 43.5% | 0.0% | +1.8% | +48.1% | ||||||
| 2 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.1 | 0.2 | 90 | 63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 90.0 | 63.0 | 90-63 | 90-63 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -1.8% | -47.2% | ||||||
| 3 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.7 | 0.1 | 87 | 66 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 66.0 | 87-66 | 87-66 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.8% | ||||||
| 4 | Boston Braves | NL | 0.2 | 0.0 | 79 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 74.0 | 79-74 | 79-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | ||||||
| 5 | Brooklyn Robins | NL | 0.1 | 0.0 | 77 | 75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 75.0 | 77-75 | 77-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.1 | 0.2 | 70 | 83 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 70.0 | 82.0 | 70-82 | 70-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.6 | 0.2 | 64 | 89 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 63.0 | 89.0 | 63-89 | 63-89 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -1.7 | 0.3 | 51 | 103 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 103.0 | 51-103 | 51-103 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Yankees | AL | 1.7 | -0.3 | 98 | 55 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 98.0 | 55.0 | 98-55 | 98-55 | >99.9% | 56.5% | 0.0% | +24.4% | +38.8% | ||||||
| 2 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 0.9 | -0.2 | 94 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 60.0 | 94-60 | 94-60 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -24.4% | -38.8% | ||||||
| 3 | St. Louis Browns | AL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 73.0 | 81-73 | 81-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Washington Nationals | AL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 80 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 73.0 | 80-73 | 80-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.0 | -0.1 | 75 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 79.0 | 75-79 | 75-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.0 | -0.1 | 71 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 82.0 | 71-82 | 71-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Chicago White Sox | AL | -0.8 | -0.1 | 62 | 92 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.0 | 92.0 | 62-92 | 62-92 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | -1.5 | 0.2 | 53 | 100 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 100.0 | 53-100 | 53-100 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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