MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1919-09-29. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 1.2 | 0.1 | 96 | 44 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 96.0 | 44.0 | 96-44 | 96-44 | >99.9% | 62.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.8% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Giants | NL | 0.8 | -0.1 | 87 | 53 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 53.0 | 87-53 | 87-53 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.8% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 0.2 | 0.2 | 75 | 65 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 65.0 | 75-65 | 75-65 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.1 | 0.2 | 71 | 68 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 68.0 | 71-68 | 71-68 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Brooklyn Robins | NL | 0.1 | 0.0 | 69 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 71.0 | 69-71 | 69-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Boston Braves | NL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 57 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.0 | 82.0 | 57-82 | 57-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -0.5 | 0.2 | 54 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 83.0 | 54-83 | 54-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -1.4 | 0.3 | 47 | 90 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 90.0 | 47-90 | 47-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.7 | -0.1 | 88 | 52 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 52.0 | 88-52 | 88-52 | >99.9% | 37.8% | 0.0% | +0.2% | +4.6% | ||||||
| 2 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 0.9 | -0.1 | 84 | 55 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 55.0 | 84-55 | 84-55 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -0.2% | -3.0% | ||||||
| 3 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.3 | -0.1 | 80 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 60.0 | 80-60 | 80-60 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.5% | ||||||
| 4 | New York Yankees | AL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 80 | 59 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 59.0 | 80-59 | 80-59 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | ||||||
| 5 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 67 | 72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 72.0 | 67-72 | 67-72 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.0 | 71.0 | 66-71 | 66-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Washington Nationals | AL | -0.1 | 0.0 | 56 | 84 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56.0 | 84.0 | 56-84 | 56-84 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | -1.8 | 0.3 | 36 | 104 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 104.0 | 36-104 | 36-104 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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