MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1918-09-02. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 1.0 | 0.0 | 84 | 45 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 45.0 | 84-45 | 84-45 | >99.9% | 52.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +4.8% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Giants | NL | 0.1 | 0.0 | 71 | 53 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 53.0 | 71-53 | 71-53 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -4.7% | ||||||
| 3 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.4 | 0.0 | 68 | 60 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 60.0 | 67-60 | 67-60 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.4 | 0.0 | 65 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 65.0 | 60.0 | 65-60 | 65-60 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Brooklyn Robins | NL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 57 | 69 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.0 | 69.0 | 57-69 | 57-69 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 55 | 68 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 68.0 | 55-68 | 55-68 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Boston Braves | NL | -0.2 | 0.0 | 53 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 71.0 | 53-71 | 53-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 51 | 78 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 51-77 | 51-77 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.8 | 0.0 | 75 | 51 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 51.0 | 75-51 | 75-51 | >99.9% | 47.7% | 0.0% | +2.2% | +12.1% | ||||||
| 2 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 0.5 | 0.0 | 73 | 54 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 54.0 | 73-54 | 73-54 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -1.8% | -9.8% | ||||||
| 3 | Washington Nationals | AL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 72 | 56 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 56.0 | 72-56 | 72-56 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -0.3% | -2.2% | ||||||
| 4 | New York Yankees | AL | 0.0 | 0.1 | 60 | 63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 63.0 | 60-63 | 60-63 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | ||||||
| 5 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -0.2 | 0.0 | 58 | 64 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 58.0 | 64.0 | 58-64 | 58-64 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Chicago White Sox | AL | -0.1 | 0.1 | 57 | 67 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 57.0 | 66.0 | 57-66 | 57-66 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Detroit Tigers | AL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 55 | 71 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 71.0 | 54-71 | 54-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | -1.0 | 0.1 | 52 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 76.0 | 52-76 | 52-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


We're Social...for Statheads
Site Last Updated: Saturday, July 11, 4:43AM
Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction?
Subscribe to our Free Email Newsletter
Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREE
Your All-Access Ticket to the Baseball Reference Database
Do you have a sports website? Or write about sports? We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Find out more.