MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1905-10-08. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Giants | NL | 1.3 | -0.2 | 105 | 48 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 105.0 | 48.0 | 105-48 | 105-48 | >99.9% | 57.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +1.1% | ||||||
| 2 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.8 | -0.1 | 96 | 57 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 96.0 | 56.0 | 96-56 | 96-56 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.1% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 1.6 | -0.1 | 92 | 61 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 61.0 | 91-61 | 91-61 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | 0.5 | 0.0 | 83 | 69 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 69.0 | 83-69 | 83-69 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79 | 74 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 74.0 | 78-74 | 78-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -1.4 | 0.1 | 58 | 96 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 58.0 | 95.0 | 58-95 | 58-95 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Boston Nationals | NL | -1.0 | 0.1 | 51 | 103 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 103.0 | 51-103 | 51-103 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Brooklyn Superbas | NL | -1.7 | 0.3 | 48 | 104 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48.0 | 104.0 | 48-104 | 48-104 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.8 | 0.1 | 92 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 60.0 | 92-60 | 92-60 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -26.0% | -17.7% | ||||||
| 2 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | 0.8 | -0.1 | 92 | 56 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 56.0 | 92-56 | 92-56 | >99.9% | 42.3% | 0.0% | +26.0% | +17.7% | ||||||
| 3 | Detroit Tigers | AL | -0.3 | 0.2 | 79 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 74.0 | 79-74 | 79-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Boston Americans | AL | 0.3 | 0.1 | 78 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 74.0 | 78-74 | 78-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Cleveland Napoleons | AL | -0.7 | 0.2 | 76 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 78.0 | 76-78 | 76-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | New York Highlanders | AL | -0.1 | 0.1 | 71 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 78.0 | 71-78 | 71-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Washington Nationals | AL | -0.2 | 0.0 | 64 | 87 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 87.0 | 64-87 | 64-87 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -0.7 | 0.1 | 54 | 99 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 99.0 | 54-99 | 54-99 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
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