MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1904-10-10. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1New York GiantsNL1.4-0.2106470.00.0106.047.0106-47106-47>99.9%57.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Chicago CubsNL0.40.293600.00.093.060.093-6093-60<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3Cincinnati RedsNL0.60.288650.00.088.065.088-6588-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.90.187660.00.087.066.087-6687-66<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5St. Louis CardinalsNL-0.20.275790.00.075.079.075-7975-79<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Brooklyn SuperbasNL-0.80.156970.00.056.097.056-9756-97<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Boston NationalsNL-1.50.255980.00.055.098.055-9855-98<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia PhilliesNL-0.70.3521000.00.052.0100.052-10052-100<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1Boston AmericansAL1.00.095590.00.095.059.095-5995-59>99.9%42.2%+22.0%+43.2%+48.3%
2New York HighlandersAL0.50.092590.00.092.059.092-5992-59<0.1%<0.1%-22.0%-43.2%-41.9%
3Chicago White SoxAL0.70.089650.00.089.065.089-6589-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-2.8%
4Cleveland NapoleonsAL1.00.086650.00.086.065.086-6586-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-1.2%
5Philadelphia AthleticsAL-0.10.081700.00.081.070.081-7081-70<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-2.4%
6St. Louis BrownsAL-0.90.165870.00.065.087.065-8765-87<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Detroit TigersAL-0.70.162900.00.062.090.062-9062-90<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Washington SenatorsAL-1.30.2381130.00.038.0113.038-11338-113<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%

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1904 Major League Season

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