2026 Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Odds

2025 Season

Record: 33-35, 3rd place in AL_East (Schedule and Results)

Playoff Odds: 32.0% to make postseason, 0.8% to win World Series

Manager: John Schneider (33-35)

President: Mark Shapiro (President & CEO)

General Manager: Ross Atkins (Executive VP, Baseball Ops & GM)

Farm Director: Joe Sclafani

Scouting Director: Marc Tramuta

Ballpark: Rogers Centre

Attendance: 1,417,946 (2nd of 15)

Park Factors: (Over 100 favors batters, under 100 favors pitchers.)
Multi-year: Batting - 106, Pitching - 106
One-year: Batting - 113, Pitching - 113

Pythagorean W-L: 32-36, 277 Runs, 292 Runs Allowed

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2026 Toronto Blue Jays Menu

Table
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-06-09	0.0	33	35	46.3	47.7	79.3	82.7	87-75	71-91	32.0%	31.7%	0.3%	0.3%	15.2%	6.0%	2.3%	0.8%
2026-06-08	0.0	32	35	46.6	48.4	78.6	83.4	87-75	71-91	28.0%	27.7%	0.3%	0.2%	13.5%	5.1%	2.1%	0.6%
2026-06-07	0.0	32	34	47.4	48.6	79.4	82.6	87-75	71-91	32.5%	32.0%	0.5%	0.4%	15.8%	6.2%	2.5%	0.8%
2026-06-06	0.0	31	34	47.8	49.2	78.8	83.2	87-75	71-91	28.4%	27.9%	0.5%	0.4%	13.6%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
2026-06-05	0.0	30	34	48.6	49.4	78.6	83.4	87-75	70-92	26.9%	26.5%	0.4%	0.3%	13.1%	5.4%	2.1%	0.7%
2026-06-04	0.1	30	33	49.4	49.6	79.4	82.6	88-74	71-91	32.1%	31.7%	0.4%	0.3%	15.9%	6.9%	2.8%	1.0%
2026-06-03	0.0	29	33	49.4	50.6	78.4	83.6	87-75	70-92	24.7%	24.3%	0.4%	0.3%	11.6%	4.8%	1.9%	0.6%
2026-06-02	0.2	29	32	51.0	50.0	80.0	82.0	88-74	72-90	36.3%	35.8%	0.6%	0.5%	18.3%	7.9%	3.3%	1.3%
2026-06-01	0.2	29	31	51.5	50.5	80.5	81.5	89-73	72-90	40.6%	40.0%	0.5%	0.5%	20.3%	8.9%	3.8%	1.3%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-05-31	0.2	29	31	51.4	50.6	80.4	81.6	89-73	72-90	40.3%	39.8%	0.5%	0.4%	20.3%	9.0%	3.9%	1.4%
2026-05-30	0.2	29	30	52.5	50.5	81.5	80.5	90-72	73-89	48.7%	47.7%	1.1%	0.9%	25.0%	11.4%	4.8%	1.7%
2026-05-29	0.2	29	29	53.1	50.9	82.1	79.9	90-72	74-88	56.2%	55.4%	0.8%	0.8%	27.6%	12.2%	5.0%	1.9%
2026-05-28	0.3	28	29	54.0	51.0	82.0	80.0	90-72	74-88	55.7%	54.6%	1.1%	1.0%	28.5%	13.6%	5.8%	2.1%
2026-05-27	0.3	27	29	54.7	51.3	81.7	80.3	90-72	73-89	51.5%	50.6%	0.9%	0.9%	26.0%	12.1%	5.4%	2.1%
2026-05-26	0.2	26	29	54.9	52.1	80.9	81.1	89-73	72-90	47.9%	47.0%	0.9%	0.8%	23.8%	11.1%	5.1%	2.0%
2026-05-25	0.1	25	29	54.7	53.3	79.7	82.3	88-74	71-91	37.9%	37.3%	0.6%	0.6%	18.4%	8.7%	3.8%	1.3%
2026-05-24	0.4	25	28	57.1	51.9	82.1	79.9	91-71	74-88	53.1%	51.4%	1.7%	1.6%	26.8%	13.0%	6.2%	2.4%
2026-05-23	0.5	25	27	58.2	51.8	83.2	78.8	92-70	75-87	57.8%	55.5%	2.3%	2.2%	29.7%	14.9%	7.3%	3.0%
2026-05-22	0.6	24	27	59.3	51.7	83.3	78.7	92-70	75-87	55.9%	53.3%	2.6%	2.4%	29.2%	14.6%	7.5%	3.1%
2026-05-21	0.5	23	27	59.3	52.7	82.3	79.7	91-71	74-88	48.5%	46.4%	2.1%	1.8%	24.9%	12.2%	5.9%	2.4%
2026-05-20	0.5	22	27	59.6	53.4	81.6	80.4	90-72	73-89	43.5%	42.0%	1.5%	1.4%	22.5%	11.0%	5.5%	2.1%
2026-05-19	0.4	21	27	59.3	54.7	80.3	81.7	89-73	72-90	35.8%	34.9%	0.9%	0.9%	18.3%	8.7%	4.0%	1.5%
2026-05-18	0.4	21	26	59.7	55.3	80.7	81.3	89-73	72-90	39.3%	37.9%	1.5%	1.3%	20.2%	9.7%	4.6%	1.9%
2026-05-17	0.3	21	25	59.8	56.2	80.8	81.2	90-72	72-90	38.6%	36.6%	2.1%	1.9%	20.6%	10.0%	4.6%	1.7%
2026-05-16	0.2	20	25	59.0	58.0	79.0	83.0	88-74	70-92	27.1%	26.1%	1.0%	0.9%	13.8%	6.4%	3.0%	1.2%
2026-05-15	0.2	19	25	59.0	59.0	78.0	84.0	87-75	69-93	19.9%	19.4%	0.5%	0.4%	10.1%	4.5%	1.9%	0.7%
2026-05-14	0.1	19	24	58.9	60.1	77.9	84.1	87-75	69-93	17.5%	16.9%	0.7%	0.6%	8.6%	3.7%	1.5%	0.6%
2026-05-13	0.1	19	24	59.2	59.8	78.2	83.8	87-75	69-93	18.1%	17.4%	0.7%	0.6%	9.0%	3.9%	1.7%	0.6%
2026-05-12	0.2	18	24	59.9	60.1	77.9	84.1	87-75	69-93	17.6%	17.2%	0.4%	0.4%	8.6%	3.8%	1.6%	0.6%
2026-05-11	0.2	18	23	60.8	60.2	78.8	83.2	88-74	70-92	21.6%	20.6%	1.0%	0.8%	11.2%	5.0%	2.2%	0.9%
2026-05-10	0.3	18	22	61.7	60.3	79.7	82.3	89-73	71-91	27.2%	25.9%	1.3%	1.1%	14.0%	6.3%	2.6%	1.0%
2026-05-09	0.4	18	21	63.3	59.7	81.3	80.7	91-71	72-90	36.8%	34.2%	2.6%	2.3%	20.0%	9.7%	4.7%	2.1%
2026-05-08	0.3	17	21	63.0	61.0	80.0	82.0	89-73	71-91	30.3%	28.8%	1.6%	1.3%	15.8%	7.2%	3.4%	1.3%
2026-05-07	0.3	16	21	63.9	61.1	79.9	82.1	89-73	71-91	29.4%	28.2%	1.2%	1.0%	15.2%	7.1%	3.2%	1.4%
2026-05-06	0.3	16	21	63.9	61.1	79.9	82.1	89-73	71-91	29.3%	27.7%	1.6%	1.4%	15.6%	7.5%	3.5%	1.4%
2026-05-05	0.4	16	20	64.9	61.1	80.9	81.1	90-72	72-90	34.8%	32.9%	1.8%	1.6%	18.4%	8.7%	3.7%	1.6%
2026-05-04	0.4	16	19	65.8	61.2	81.8	80.2	91-71	72-90	40.0%	37.3%	2.7%	2.4%	21.3%	10.1%	4.7%	2.0%
2026-05-03	0.4	16	18	66.7	61.3	82.7	79.3	92-70	73-89	46.9%	41.6%	5.3%	4.5%	25.9%	12.8%	6.4%	2.8%
2026-05-02	0.5	16	17	67.5	61.5	83.5	78.5	93-69	74-88	52.0%	43.7%	8.3%	6.8%	30.1%	14.9%	7.3%	3.0%
2026-05-01	0.4	15	17	67.7	62.3	82.7	79.3	92-70	73-89	46.9%	38.8%	8.2%	6.6%	26.5%	12.9%	6.3%	2.8%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-04-30	0.4	14	17	67.9	63.1	81.9	80.1	91-71	73-89	41.8%	35.3%	6.6%	5.3%	23.6%	11.1%	5.2%	2.2%
2026-04-29	0.4	14	16	68.9	63.1	82.9	79.1	92-70	73-89	48.1%	39.6%	8.5%	7.1%	27.4%	13.0%	6.1%	2.7%
2026-04-28	0.4	13	16	69.1	63.9	82.1	79.9	92-70	73-89	42.7%	36.7%	6.0%	5.1%	24.2%	11.4%	5.4%	2.4%
2026-04-27	0.4	12	16	69.6	64.4	81.6	80.4	91-71	72-90	39.6%	34.4%	5.2%	4.2%	21.9%	10.6%	4.8%	2.0%
2026-04-26	0.5	12	15	70.5	64.5	82.5	79.5	92-70	73-89	44.6%	37.6%	7.0%	5.7%	25.2%	12.1%	5.7%	2.5%
2026-04-25	0.4	11	15	70.6	65.4	81.6	80.4	91-71	72-90	40.7%	35.1%	5.6%	4.5%	22.5%	10.5%	5.0%	2.3%
2026-04-24	0.4	10	15	70.8	66.2	80.8	81.2	90-72	71-91	34.4%	29.3%	5.1%	3.7%	18.8%	8.5%	4.1%	1.9%
2026-04-23	0.5	10	14	71.9	66.1	81.9	80.1	91-71	72-90	42.5%	34.1%	8.3%	6.3%	24.3%	11.4%	5.4%	2.4%
2026-04-22	0.4	10	14	71.7	66.3	81.7	80.3	91-71	72-90	42.4%	33.8%	8.6%	6.4%	24.6%	11.5%	5.5%	2.6%
2026-04-21	0.5	10	13	73.0	66.0	83.0	79.0	93-69	73-89	49.6%	37.0%	12.6%	9.3%	29.5%	14.1%	6.9%	3.0%
2026-04-20	0.6	9	13	74.4	65.6	83.4	78.6	93-69	74-88	52.8%	37.8%	14.9%	12.0%	33.2%	16.5%	8.3%	3.8%
2026-04-19	0.5	8	13	73.6	67.4	81.6	80.4	91-71	72-90	39.6%	29.4%	10.2%	7.5%	23.4%	11.3%	5.4%	2.3%
2026-04-18	0.5	7	13	74.6	67.4	81.6	80.4	91-71	72-90	39.5%	28.9%	10.6%	7.9%	23.8%	11.4%	5.5%	2.4%
2026-04-17	0.5	7	12	75.4	67.6	82.4	79.6	92-70	73-89	45.7%	31.7%	13.9%	10.5%	28.5%	14.1%	6.9%	3.1%
2026-04-16	0.6	7	11	76.2	67.8	83.2	78.8	93-69	73-89	49.6%	31.9%	17.7%	13.1%	31.6%	16.0%	7.9%	3.5%
2026-04-15	0.6	7	10	77.2	67.8	84.2	77.8	94-68	74-88	53.4%	35.1%	18.3%	14.7%	34.5%	17.4%	8.6%	4.0%
2026-04-14	0.6	7	9	77.4	68.6	84.4	77.6	94-68	75-87	55.7%	33.9%	21.8%	16.5%	37.3%	18.9%	9.3%	4.5%
2026-04-13	0.6	6	9	78.0	69.0	84.0	78.0	94-68	74-88	52.2%	34.8%	17.4%	13.3%	33.3%	16.7%	8.6%	4.0%
2026-04-12	0.6	6	9	77.9	69.1	83.9	78.1	94-68	74-88	52.4%	36.2%	16.2%	13.0%	33.3%	16.9%	8.3%	4.0%
2026-04-11	0.7	6	8	79.0	69.0	85.0	77.0	95-67	75-87	58.5%	39.2%	19.3%	15.7%	37.5%	19.2%	9.9%	4.5%
2026-04-10	0.7	6	7	80.3	68.7	86.3	75.7	96-66	76-86	69.3%	47.4%	22.0%	19.2%	45.2%	23.4%	12.0%	5.8%
2026-04-09	0.6	5	7	79.8	70.2	84.8	77.2	95-67	75-87	60.1%	44.9%	15.3%	12.8%	37.1%	18.6%	9.3%	4.1%
2026-04-08	0.6	5	7	79.8	70.2	84.8	77.2	95-67	75-87	59.8%	45.6%	14.3%	11.8%	36.3%	18.1%	9.3%	4.2%
2026-04-07	0.6	4	7	79.8	71.2	83.8	78.2	94-68	74-88	53.7%	41.6%	12.1%	9.6%	31.8%	15.5%	7.7%	3.2%
2026-04-06	0.7	4	6	80.9	71.1	84.9	77.1	95-67	75-87	59.5%	42.3%	17.2%	13.7%	37.3%	19.0%	9.7%	4.1%
2026-04-05	0.8	4	5	82.6	70.4	86.6	75.4	97-65	76-86	67.6%	45.5%	22.1%	18.7%	44.4%	23.3%	12.1%	5.7%
2026-04-04	0.8	4	4	82.8	71.2	86.8	75.2	97-65	77-85	65.6%	44.9%	20.7%	17.6%	42.5%	22.0%	11.3%	5.0%
2026-04-03	0.8	4	3	83.7	71.3	87.7	74.3	98-64	78-84	70.7%	47.3%	23.4%	20.3%	47.0%	24.5%	12.9%	6.0%
2026-04-02	0.7	4	2	83.6	72.4	87.6	74.4	98-64	77-85	68.5%	42.6%	25.8%	22.3%	46.3%	23.5%	11.6%	5.1%
2026-04-01	0.7	4	2	83.6	72.4	87.6	74.4	98-64	77-85	68.7%	43.8%	24.9%	20.9%	45.8%	23.4%	11.8%	5.3%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-03-31	0.8	4	1	84.7	72.3	88.7	73.3	99-63	78-84	73.5%	44.3%	29.2%	26.2%	50.6%	25.8%	13.5%	6.2%
2026-03-30	0.8	3	1	85.2	72.8	88.2	73.8	98-64	78-84	71.0%	43.9%	27.1%	23.8%	48.0%	24.8%	12.4%	6.0%
2026-03-29	0.9	3	0	86.9	72.1	89.9	72.1	100-62	80-82	79.0%	49.3%	29.7%	27.6%	54.6%	28.5%	14.4%	7.0%
2026-03-28	0.8	2	0	86.7	73.3	88.7	73.3	99-63	78-84	74.5%	50.4%	24.1%	22.3%	49.7%	25.8%	13.1%	6.0%
2026-03-27	0.8	1	0	87.2	73.8	88.2	73.8	98-64	78-84	70.2%	49.2%	21.0%	19.4%	45.6%	24.2%	12.4%	6.0%
2026-03-26	0.8			87.7	74.3	87.7	74.3	98-64	77-85	67.5%	47.3%	20.2%	18.2%	44.1%	22.5%	11.4%	5.4%
2026-03-25	0.8			87.7	74.3	87.7	74.3	98-64	77-85	67.3%	44.8%	22.5%	20.1%	45.1%	23.3%	12.2%	5.7%
2026-03-24	0.8			87.8	74.2	87.8	74.2	98-64	77-85	67.8%	43.9%	23.9%	21.6%	46.1%	24.0%	12.4%	5.9%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS