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2026 Cleveland Guardians Playoff Odds

2025 Season

Record: 40-36, 1st place in AL_Central (Schedule and Results)

Playoff Odds: 90.0% to make postseason, 5.8% to win World Series

Manager: Stephen Vogt (40-36)

President: Chris Antonetti (President, Baseball Operations)

General Manager: Mike Chernoff

Farm Director: Stephen Osterer

Scouting Director: Paul Gillispie

Ballpark: Progressive Field

Attendance: 797,637 (10th of 15)

Park Factors: (Over 100 favors batters, under 100 favors pitchers.)
Multi-year: Batting - 99, Pitching - 99
One-year: Batting - 93, Pitching - 93

Pythagorean W-L: 37-39, 301 Runs, 314 Runs Allowed

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2026 Cleveland Guardians Menu

Table
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-06-19	0.4	40	36	47.0	39.0	87.0	75.0	94-68	79-83	90.0%	23.1%	66.9%	45.4%	69.3%	35.4%	15.5%	5.8%
2026-06-18	0.4	40	35	47.8	39.2	87.8	74.2	95-67	80-82	92.5%	24.4%	68.1%	47.5%	72.4%	37.9%	17.3%	7.0%
2026-06-17	0.4	39	35	48.2	39.8	87.2	74.8	95-67	80-82	92.0%	20.6%	71.3%	48.3%	72.1%	36.7%	16.2%	6.3%
2026-06-16	0.4	39	34	49.0	40.0	88.0	74.0	96-66	80-82	93.6%	19.3%	74.3%	50.2%	74.1%	38.8%	17.1%	7.0%
2026-06-15	0.5	39	33	49.8	40.2	88.8	73.2	97-65	81-81	94.5%	17.0%	77.6%	54.3%	77.0%	41.3%	18.3%	7.6%
2026-06-14	0.4	39	33	49.2	40.8	88.2	73.8	96-66	80-82	93.0%	18.1%	74.9%	49.2%	72.6%	37.0%	16.2%	6.5%
2026-06-13	0.4	39	33	49.4	40.6	88.4	73.6	96-66	81-81	93.1%	13.7%	79.5%	49.2%	73.3%	37.3%	16.3%	6.4%
2026-06-12	0.4	38	33	49.6	41.4	87.6	74.4	95-67	80-82	89.8%	18.0%	71.8%	37.7%	65.4%	31.4%	13.8%	5.2%
2026-06-11	0.3	37	33	49.4	42.6	86.4	75.6	94-68	79-83	85.7%	17.7%	68.0%	31.0%	59.4%	27.2%	11.2%	4.2%
2026-06-10	0.2	37	33	49.3	42.7	86.3	75.7	94-68	78-84	85.2%	18.3%	66.8%	28.7%	58.0%	26.1%	11.1%	4.0%
2026-06-09	0.3	37	32	49.8	43.2	86.8	75.2	95-67	79-83	87.6%	15.8%	71.8%	30.3%	60.7%	27.8%	11.9%	4.2%
2026-06-08	0.2	37	31	50.1	43.9	87.1	74.9	95-67	79-83	89.7%	12.6%	77.1%	32.5%	62.5%	28.5%	11.9%	4.2%
2026-06-07	0.2	37	30	50.5	44.5	87.5	74.5	95-67	80-82	90.6%	11.9%	78.7%	37.3%	65.4%	30.1%	12.7%	4.6%
2026-06-06	0.3	37	29	51.6	44.4	88.6	73.4	97-65	80-82	93.0%	12.5%	80.6%	45.6%	70.9%	34.8%	14.9%	5.6%
2026-06-05	0.3	36	29	51.8	45.2	87.8	74.2	96-66	80-82	91.2%	11.6%	79.6%	42.7%	68.3%	32.6%	14.0%	5.2%
2026-06-04	0.3	36	28	52.3	45.7	88.3	73.7	96-66	80-82	92.3%	13.3%	79.0%	43.0%	69.2%	32.6%	13.9%	5.2%
2026-06-03	0.3	36	27	52.8	46.2	88.8	73.2	97-65	81-81	92.9%	12.3%	80.6%	45.4%	71.0%	34.1%	14.8%	5.5%
2026-06-02	0.3	35	27	53.0	47.0	88.0	74.0	96-66	80-82	91.3%	10.5%	80.7%	40.1%	67.3%	32.0%	13.9%	5.2%
2026-06-01	0.1	34	27	52.3	48.7	86.3	75.7	94-68	78-84	85.2%	13.4%	71.8%	33.6%	59.7%	26.1%	10.6%	3.7%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-05-31	0.1	34	27	52.4	48.6	86.4	75.6	95-67	78-84	85.3%	15.6%	69.7%	34.8%	60.6%	26.9%	10.8%	3.6%
2026-05-30	0.2	34	26	53.3	48.7	87.3	74.7	96-66	79-83	88.9%	14.1%	74.9%	42.3%	66.3%	30.8%	12.5%	4.5%
2026-05-29	0.3	34	25	54.7	48.3	88.7	73.3	97-65	80-82	93.3%	11.3%	81.9%	55.1%	75.3%	36.5%	15.3%	5.6%
2026-05-28	0.2	33	25	54.3	49.7	87.3	74.7	96-66	79-83	89.0%	12.1%	76.9%	48.6%	69.9%	32.5%	13.2%	4.9%
2026-05-27	0.2	33	25	54.1	49.9	87.1	74.9	95-67	79-83	88.2%	11.1%	77.1%	47.5%	69.1%	31.8%	13.1%	4.8%
2026-05-26	0.2	32	25	55.0	50.0	87.0	75.0	95-67	79-83	88.7%	10.0%	78.7%	49.0%	69.8%	33.0%	14.8%	5.3%
2026-05-25	0.3	32	24	56.3	49.7	88.3	73.7	97-65	80-82	92.0%	9.6%	82.4%	57.2%	75.4%	37.2%	16.9%	6.2%
2026-05-24	0.4	32	23	57.5	49.5	89.5	72.5	98-64	81-81	94.0%	7.2%	86.8%	64.0%	79.6%	39.5%	18.8%	7.4%
2026-05-23	0.4	31	23	58.1	49.9	89.1	72.9	98-64	81-81	92.1%	6.9%	85.2%	58.0%	76.4%	37.2%	18.4%	7.3%
2026-05-22	0.4	31	22	58.9	50.1	89.9	72.1	98-64	81-81	93.1%	6.0%	87.1%	59.1%	76.9%	37.6%	18.2%	7.5%
2026-05-21	0.4	30	22	59.3	50.7	89.3	72.7	98-64	81-81	92.2%	4.8%	87.4%	53.8%	74.1%	36.0%	17.6%	7.0%
2026-05-20	0.4	29	22	59.6	51.4	88.6	73.4	97-65	80-82	91.0%	5.9%	85.1%	49.8%	71.4%	35.4%	17.1%	6.9%
2026-05-19	0.4	28	22	60.2	51.8	88.2	73.8	97-65	80-82	89.5%	7.4%	82.0%	48.5%	70.0%	34.7%	16.8%	6.4%
2026-05-18	0.4	27	22	60.6	52.4	87.6	74.4	96-66	79-83	87.2%	9.2%	78.0%	46.6%	67.7%	33.0%	15.8%	6.3%
2026-05-17	0.3	26	22	60.5	53.5	86.5	75.5	95-67	78-84	80.7%	12.1%	68.6%	38.4%	60.2%	29.9%	14.4%	5.9%
2026-05-16	0.3	25	22	60.6	54.4	85.6	76.4	94-68	77-85	76.7%	12.5%	64.2%	30.7%	54.1%	25.6%	11.5%	4.6%
2026-05-15	0.3	24	22	61.2	54.8	85.2	76.8	94-68	76-86	72.7%	12.5%	60.2%	25.7%	49.3%	22.9%	10.5%	4.3%
2026-05-14	0.4	24	21	62.1	54.9	86.1	75.9	95-67	77-85	75.8%	12.5%	63.3%	27.2%	52.4%	25.0%	11.5%	4.8%
2026-05-13	0.3	24	21	61.6	55.4	85.6	76.4	94-68	77-85	71.9%	13.5%	58.4%	24.0%	48.1%	22.1%	10.2%	4.2%
2026-05-12	0.3	23	21	62.0	56.0	85.0	77.0	94-68	76-86	68.4%	15.4%	53.1%	22.1%	45.5%	20.9%	9.5%	4.0%
2026-05-11	0.3	22	21	62.5	56.5	84.5	77.5	93-69	75-87	63.9%	16.5%	47.4%	19.4%	41.7%	19.6%	8.7%	3.4%
2026-05-10	0.2	21	21	62.8	57.2	83.8	78.2	93-69	75-87	58.7%	15.1%	43.6%	16.5%	37.7%	16.9%	7.6%	3.1%
2026-05-09	0.2	21	20	63.5	57.5	84.5	77.5	93-69	75-87	63.8%	16.7%	47.1%	18.9%	41.0%	18.7%	8.4%	3.3%
2026-05-08	0.3	21	19	64.6	57.4	85.6	76.4	95-67	77-85	72.6%	15.5%	57.1%	26.8%	50.3%	24.2%	11.1%	4.4%
2026-05-07	0.2	20	19	64.5	58.5	84.5	77.5	94-68	75-87	64.4%	16.6%	47.8%	20.5%	42.6%	19.7%	8.7%	3.7%
2026-05-06	0.2	19	19	65.1	58.9	84.1	77.9	93-69	75-87	60.8%	18.8%	42.0%	18.5%	40.1%	18.6%	8.7%	3.5%
2026-05-05	0.3	18	19	65.7	59.3	83.7	78.3	93-69	75-87	56.2%	20.1%	36.1%	16.8%	36.8%	17.6%	8.0%	3.2%
2026-05-04	0.3	18	18	66.4	59.6	84.4	77.6	94-68	75-87	59.3%	20.3%	39.0%	17.6%	38.8%	18.5%	8.3%	3.5%
2026-05-03	0.4	18	17	67.2	59.8	85.2	76.8	94-68	76-86	65.8%	20.2%	45.6%	22.6%	45.0%	22.1%	10.3%	4.4%
2026-05-02	0.4	18	16	68.8	59.2	86.8	75.2	96-66	77-85	75.3%	16.4%	59.0%	31.1%	54.4%	27.4%	13.6%	5.9%
2026-05-01	0.3	17	16	68.4	60.6	85.4	76.6	95-67	76-86	69.9%	12.4%	57.5%	22.9%	47.0%	22.5%	10.5%	4.4%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-04-30	0.3	16	16	68.8	61.2	84.8	77.2	94-68	76-86	67.7%	10.1%	57.6%	18.8%	43.7%	20.6%	9.6%	4.1%
2026-04-29	0.3	16	16	68.9	61.1	84.9	77.1	94-68	76-86	68.2%	10.4%	57.9%	19.3%	44.4%	20.9%	9.8%	4.2%
2026-04-28	0.3	15	16	69.2	61.8	84.2	77.8	94-68	75-87	62.9%	12.4%	50.5%	18.1%	40.4%	18.9%	9.0%	3.8%
2026-04-27	0.4	15	15	70.0	62.0	85.0	77.0	94-68	76-86	66.9%	13.3%	53.6%	20.9%	44.5%	20.5%	9.6%	4.0%
2026-04-26	0.4	15	14	70.7	62.3	85.7	76.3	95-67	76-86	71.6%	12.8%	58.8%	22.8%	47.5%	22.3%	10.6%	4.8%
2026-04-25	0.3	15	13	70.8	63.2	85.8	76.2	95-67	76-86	73.3%	11.9%	61.4%	23.3%	48.7%	22.8%	10.4%	4.6%
2026-04-24	0.4	15	12	71.6	63.4	86.6	75.4	96-66	77-85	76.0%	13.2%	62.8%	27.5%	52.8%	25.2%	11.7%	5.4%
2026-04-23	0.3	14	12	71.8	64.2	85.8	76.2	95-67	76-86	72.5%	13.8%	58.7%	24.9%	49.2%	23.1%	10.8%	4.8%
2026-04-22	0.3	14	12	71.7	64.3	85.7	76.3	95-67	76-86	72.9%	11.7%	61.2%	25.5%	49.5%	23.1%	10.5%	4.5%
2026-04-21	0.3	14	11	72.2	64.8	86.2	75.8	96-66	77-85	75.1%	11.3%	63.9%	26.1%	50.7%	23.6%	10.7%	4.5%
2026-04-20	0.2	13	11	71.6	66.4	84.6	77.4	94-68	75-87	66.2%	11.9%	54.3%	20.8%	42.7%	19.4%	8.4%	3.5%
2026-04-19	0.3	13	10	72.5	66.5	85.5	76.5	95-67	76-86	70.0%	14.4%	55.6%	24.8%	46.8%	21.8%	9.6%	4.1%
2026-04-18	0.2	12	10	72.1	67.9	84.1	77.9	94-68	74-88	61.6%	13.8%	47.8%	18.5%	39.4%	17.6%	7.6%	2.9%
2026-04-17	0.1	11	10	72.4	68.6	83.4	78.6	93-69	74-88	55.7%	15.1%	40.6%	15.7%	34.9%	15.4%	6.5%	2.6%
2026-04-16	0.2	11	9	72.9	69.1	83.9	78.1	94-68	74-88	58.1%	14.4%	43.7%	17.9%	37.5%	16.9%	7.3%	2.7%
2026-04-15	0.1	10	9	72.7	70.3	82.7	79.3	93-69	73-89	48.6%	12.8%	35.8%	12.2%	29.2%	12.8%	5.3%	2.1%
2026-04-14	0.2	10	8	74.0	70.0	84.0	78.0	94-68	74-88	56.1%	15.4%	40.7%	17.4%	36.1%	16.1%	7.1%	2.9%
2026-04-13	0.2	10	7	74.5	70.5	84.5	77.5	94-68	75-87	58.9%	16.4%	42.6%	18.1%	37.7%	17.0%	7.5%	2.9%
2026-04-12	0.1	9	7	74.3	71.7	83.3	78.7	93-69	73-89	52.3%	14.2%	38.0%	14.6%	32.3%	13.9%	5.9%	2.3%
2026-04-11	0.2	9	6	76.1	70.9	85.1	76.9	95-67	75-87	63.3%	15.5%	47.8%	20.5%	41.0%	18.3%	8.3%	3.3%
2026-04-10	0.1	8	6	75.7	72.3	83.7	78.3	94-68	74-88	59.9%	13.2%	46.8%	15.7%	36.2%	15.7%	6.5%	2.5%
2026-04-09	0.1	8	5	77.0	72.0	85.0	77.0	95-67	75-87	66.7%	13.9%	52.8%	20.4%	42.7%	19.3%	8.4%	3.3%
2026-04-08	0.2	8	5	77.0	72.0	85.0	77.0	95-67	75-87	65.4%	15.9%	49.5%	19.7%	41.7%	18.3%	7.7%	3.0%
2026-04-07	0.1	7	5	76.5	73.5	83.5	78.5	93-69	73-89	54.7%	19.4%	35.3%	13.6%	33.2%	14.2%	5.9%	2.1%
2026-04-06	0.1	6	5	76.9	74.1	82.9	79.1	93-69	73-89	48.7%	19.2%	29.5%	12.2%	29.2%	12.6%	5.6%	2.1%
2026-04-05	0.1	6	4	77.6	74.4	83.6	78.4	94-68	74-88	52.3%	16.9%	35.4%	14.1%	32.2%	13.9%	5.9%	2.2%
2026-04-04	0.1	5	3	78.6	75.4	83.6	78.4	94-68	73-89	49.7%	16.2%	33.5%	12.5%	29.5%	12.7%	5.4%	2.1%
2026-04-03	0.1	5	3	78.6	75.4	83.6	78.4	94-68	74-88	50.5%	13.9%	36.6%	11.8%	30.0%	12.7%	5.3%	2.0%
2026-04-02	0.1	4	3	79.3	75.7	83.3	78.7	93-69	73-89	49.6%	11.5%	38.1%	10.6%	28.7%	12.3%	5.1%	1.9%
2026-04-01	0.1	4	3	79.2	75.8	83.2	78.8	93-69	73-89	47.5%	12.8%	34.7%	10.5%	27.6%	12.2%	4.9%	1.8%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
2026-03-31	0.0	3	3	79.1	76.9	82.1	79.9	92-70	72-90	42.2%	9.1%	33.2%	7.1%	23.1%	9.7%	3.9%	1.5%
2026-03-30	0.0	3	2	79.2	77.8	82.2	79.8	92-70	72-90	41.7%	9.6%	32.1%	7.6%	23.1%	9.7%	3.9%	1.5%
2026-03-29	0.0	2	2	79.1	78.9	81.1	80.9	92-70	71-91	35.7%	7.8%	27.9%	5.6%	18.8%	7.7%	3.1%	1.1%
2026-03-28	0.0	2	1	80.4	78.6	82.4	79.6	93-69	72-90	45.5%	8.7%	36.7%	9.1%	25.8%	10.8%	4.4%	1.6%
2026-03-27	0.1	1	1	80.9	79.1	81.9	80.1	92-70	71-91	40.4%	8.7%	31.8%	7.7%	22.7%	9.3%	3.9%	1.6%
2026-03-26	0.1	1	0	81.5	79.5	82.5	79.5	93-69	72-90	43.3%	10.9%	32.5%	9.3%	25.0%	10.3%	4.2%	1.7%
2026-03-25	0.0			81.5	80.5	81.5	80.5	92-70	71-91	37.4%	8.8%	28.7%	7.2%	21.0%	8.8%	3.4%	1.2%
2026-03-24	0.0			81.6	80.4	81.6	80.4	92-70	71-91	38.2%	9.1%	29.0%	7.7%	21.4%	9.1%	3.7%	1.4%
		Current		Remaining		Average		90% Confidence
Date	SRS	W	L	W	L	W	L	Best	Worst	Post	WC	Div	Bye	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS