MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1961-10-01. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.3 | 0.1 | 93 | 61 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 61.0 | 93-61 | 93-61 | >99.9% | 33.6% | 0.0% | +0.7% | +24.5% | ||||||
| 2 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | 0.2 | 0.2 | 89 | 65 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.0 | 65.0 | 89-65 | 89-65 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -0.7% | -20.4% | ||||||
| 3 | San Francisco Giants | NL | 0.8 | 0.1 | 85 | 69 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 69.0 | 85-69 | 85-69 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -2.6% | ||||||
| 4 | Milwaukee Braves | NL | 0.5 | -0.1 | 83 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 71.0 | 83-71 | 83-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.3% | ||||||
| 5 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.2 | 0.2 | 80 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 74.0 | 80-74 | 80-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | ||||||
| 6 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.3 | 0.1 | 75 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 79.0 | 75-79 | 75-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.6 | 0.2 | 64 | 90 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 90.0 | 64-90 | 64-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -1.6 | 0.3 | 47 | 107 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 107.0 | 47-107 | 47-107 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Yankees | AL | 1.4 | -0.1 | 109 | 53 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 109.0 | 53.0 | 109-53 | 109-53 | >99.9% | 66.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +22.4% | ||||||
| 2 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.8 | -0.1 | 101 | 61 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 101.0 | 61.0 | 101-61 | 101-61 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -22.4% | ||||||
| 3 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | 1.1 | -0.1 | 95 | 67 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 95.0 | 67.0 | 95-67 | 95-67 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 86 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 76.0 | 86-76 | 86-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Cleveland Indians | AL | -0.8 | 0.0 | 78 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 83.0 | 78-83 | 78-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Boston Red Sox | AL | -0.3 | 0.0 | 76 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 86.0 | 76-86 | 76-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Minnesota Twins | AL | -0.1 | 0.0 | 70 | 90 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 90.0 | 70-90 | 70-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Los Angeles Angels | AL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70 | 91 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 91.0 | 70-91 | 70-91 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 9 | Kansas City Athletics | AL | -1.2 | 0.1 | 61 | 100 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.0 | 100.0 | 61-100 | 61-100 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 10 | Washington Senators | AL | -1.2 | 0.1 | 61 | 100 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.0 | 100.0 | 61-100 | 61-100 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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