MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1961-10-01. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1Cincinnati RedsNL0.30.193610.00.093.061.093-6193-61>99.9%33.6%0.0%+0.7%+24.5%
2Los Angeles DodgersNL0.20.289650.00.089.065.089-6589-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%-0.7%-20.4%
3San Francisco GiantsNL0.80.185690.00.085.069.085-6985-69<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-2.6%
4Milwaukee BravesNL0.5-0.183710.00.083.071.083-7183-71<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-1.3%
5St. Louis CardinalsNL0.20.280740.00.080.074.080-7480-74<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-0.2%
6Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.30.175790.00.075.079.075-7975-79<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Chicago CubsNL-0.60.264900.00.064.090.064-9064-90<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Philadelphia PhilliesNL-1.60.3471070.00.047.0107.047-10747-107<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1New York YankeesAL1.4-0.1109530.00.0109.053.0109-53109-53>99.9%66.4%0.0%0.0%+22.4%
2Detroit TigersAL0.8-0.1101610.00.0101.061.0101-61101-61<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%-22.4%
3Baltimore OriolesAL1.1-0.195670.00.095.067.095-6795-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Chicago White SoxAL0.4-0.186760.00.086.076.086-7686-76<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Cleveland IndiansAL-0.80.078830.00.078.083.078-8378-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Boston Red SoxAL-0.30.076860.00.076.086.076-8676-86<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Minnesota TwinsAL-0.10.070900.00.070.090.070-9070-90<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Los Angeles AngelsAL0.00.070910.00.070.091.070-9170-91<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Kansas City AthleticsAL-1.20.1611000.00.061.0100.061-10061-100<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Washington SenatorsAL-1.20.1611000.00.061.0100.061-10061-100<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%