MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1959-09-29. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | 0.4 | 0.1 | 88 | 68 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 68.0 | 88-68 | 88-68 | >99.9% | 46.4% | +27.6% | +81.0% | +83.0% | ||||||
| 2 | Milwaukee Braves | NL | 0.6 | -0.1 | 86 | 70 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 70.0 | 86-70 | 86-70 | <0.1% | <0.1% | -27.6% | -76.3% | -13.8% | ||||||
| 3 | San Francisco Giants | NL | 0.3 | 0.1 | 83 | 71 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 71.0 | 83-71 | 83-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -4.6% | -66.7% | ||||||
| 4 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.0 | 0.1 | 78 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 76.0 | 78-76 | 78-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -2.4% | ||||||
| 5 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.1 | 0.1 | 74 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 80.0 | 74-80 | 74-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.3 | 0.1 | 74 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 80.0 | 74-80 | 74-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -0.7 | 0.2 | 71 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 83.0 | 71-83 | 71-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.8 | 0.2 | 64 | 90 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 90.0 | 64-90 | 64-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.6 | -0.1 | 94 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 60.0 | 94-60 | 94-60 | >99.9% | 53.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +11.2% | ||||||
| 2 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 0.6 | -0.1 | 89 | 65 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.0 | 65.0 | 89-65 | 89-65 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -11.2% | ||||||
| 3 | New York Yankees | AL | 0.2 | -0.1 | 79 | 75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 75.0 | 79-75 | 79-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.1 | 0.0 | 76 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 78.0 | 76-78 | 76-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.5 | -0.1 | 75 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 79.0 | 75-79 | 75-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | -0.3 | 0.0 | 74 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 80.0 | 74-80 | 74-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Kansas City Athletics | AL | -0.9 | 0.1 | 66 | 88 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.0 | 88.0 | 66-88 | 66-88 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Washington Senators | AL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 63 | 91 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 63.0 | 91.0 | 63-91 | 63-91 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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