MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1956-09-30. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | 0.9 | -0.1 | 93 | 61 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 61.0 | 93-61 | 93-61 | >99.9% | 43.6% | +21.6% | +42.8% | +72.0% | ||||||
| 2 | Milwaukee Braves | NL | 0.8 | -0.1 | 92 | 62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 62.0 | 92-62 | 92-62 | <0.1% | <0.1% | -21.6% | -41.4% | -62.2% | ||||||
| 3 | Cincinnati Redlegs | NL | 0.9 | 0.2 | 91 | 63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 63.0 | 91-63 | 91-63 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -1.3% | -9.8% | ||||||
| 4 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -0.4 | 0.3 | 76 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 78.0 | 76-78 | 76-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.3 | 0.3 | 71 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 83.0 | 71-83 | 71-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | New York Giants | NL | -0.7 | 0.1 | 67 | 87 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 87.0 | 67-87 | 67-87 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | -0.8 | 0.3 | 66 | 88 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.0 | 88.0 | 66-88 | 66-88 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.5 | 0.3 | 60 | 94 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 94.0 | 60-94 | 60-94 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Yankees | AL | 1.3 | -0.2 | 97 | 57 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 57.0 | 97-57 | 97-57 | >99.9% | 56.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.5% | ||||||
| 2 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 0.5 | -0.1 | 88 | 66 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 66.0 | 88-66 | 88-66 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.4% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 1.1 | -0.2 | 85 | 69 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 69.0 | 85-69 | 85-69 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 84 | 70 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 70.0 | 84-70 | 84-70 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.5 | -0.1 | 82 | 72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 72.0 | 82-72 | 82-72 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | -0.5 | 0.0 | 69 | 85 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 68.0 | 85.0 | 68-85 | 68-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Washington Nationals | AL | -1.8 | 0.2 | 59 | 95 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 59.0 | 94.0 | 59-94 | 59-94 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Kansas City Athletics | AL | -1.5 | 0.2 | 52 | 102 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 102.0 | 52-102 | 52-102 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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