MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1954-09-26. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Giants | NL | 1.1 | -0.2 | 97 | 57 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 57.0 | 97-57 | 97-57 | >99.9% | 44.8% | 0.0% | +0.2% | +8.7% | ||||||
| 2 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | 0.5 | -0.1 | 92 | 62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 62.0 | 92-62 | 92-62 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -0.2% | -6.6% | ||||||
| 3 | Milwaukee Braves | NL | 0.9 | -0.1 | 89 | 65 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.0 | 65.0 | 89-65 | 89-65 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -2.1% | ||||||
| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.1 | 0.2 | 75 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 79.0 | 75-79 | 75-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Cincinnati Redlegs | NL | -0.3 | 0.2 | 74 | 80 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 80.0 | 74-80 | 74-80 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.1 | 0.2 | 72 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 82.0 | 72-82 | 72-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.6 | 0.2 | 64 | 90 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 90.0 | 64-90 | 64-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | -1.6 | 0.3 | 53 | 101 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 101.0 | 53-101 | 53-101 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 1.4 | -0.2 | 111 | 43 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 111.0 | 43.0 | 111-43 | 111-43 | >99.9% | 55.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +22.9% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Yankees | AL | 1.7 | -0.2 | 103 | 51 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 103.0 | 51.0 | 103-51 | 103-51 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -22.2% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.9 | -0.1 | 94 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 60.0 | 94-60 | 94-60 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.7% | ||||||
| 4 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.3 | -0.1 | 69 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 69-85 | 69-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Detroit Tigers | AL | -0.7 | 0.0 | 68 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 68.0 | 86.0 | 68-86 | 68-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Washington Nationals | AL | -0.3 | 0.4 | 66 | 88 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.0 | 88.0 | 66-88 | 66-88 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | -1.2 | 0.1 | 54 | 100 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 100.0 | 54-100 | 54-100 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | -2.1 | 51 | 103 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 103.0 | 51-103 | 51-103 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||


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