MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1952-09-28. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | 0.8 | -0.1 | 96 | 57 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 96.0 | 57.0 | 96-57 | 96-57 | >99.9% | 47.4% | 0.0% | +0.0% | +0.3% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Giants | NL | 0.1 | 0.0 | 92 | 62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 62.0 | 92-62 | 92-62 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.3% | ||||||
| 3 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.6 | 0.0 | 88 | 66 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 66.0 | 88-66 | 88-66 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | 0.8 | 0.0 | 87 | 67 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 67.0 | 87-67 | 87-67 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 77 | 77 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 77.0 | 77-77 | 77-77 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | -0.2 | 0.1 | 69 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 69-85 | 69-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Boston Braves | NL | -0.3 | 64 | 89 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 89.0 | 64-89 | 64-89 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||
| 8 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | -1.5 | 0.2 | 42 | 112 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 112.0 | 42-112 | 42-112 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Yankees | AL | 1.0 | -0.1 | 95 | 59 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 95.0 | 59.0 | 95-59 | 95-59 | >99.9% | 52.6% | 0.0% | +18.2% | +45.6% | ||||||
| 2 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 0.9 | -0.1 | 93 | 61 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 61.0 | 93-61 | 93-61 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -18.2% | -40.2% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.2 | -0.1 | 81 | 73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 73.0 | 81-73 | 81-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.8% | ||||||
| 4 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | -0.1 | 0.0 | 79 | 75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 75.0 | 79-75 | 79-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.6% | ||||||
| 5 | Washington Nationals | AL | 0.1 | 0.0 | 78 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 76.0 | 78-76 | 78-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | ||||||
| 6 | Boston Red Sox | AL | -0.1 | -0.1 | 76 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 78.0 | 76-78 | 76-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -3.9% | ||||||
| 7 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -0.8 | 0.1 | 64 | 90 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 90.0 | 64-90 | 64-90 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Detroit Tigers | AL | -1.4 | 0.1 | 50 | 104 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 104.0 | 50-104 | 50-104 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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