MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1934-09-30. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.8 | 0.1 | 95 | 58 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 95.0 | 58.0 | 95-58 | 95-58 | >99.9% | 39.3% | +11.6% | +93.1% | +96.2% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Giants | NL | 0.9 | -0.1 | 93 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 60.0 | 93-60 | 93-60 | <0.1% | <0.1% | -11.6% | -93.1% | -92.2% | ||||||
| 3 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 0.3 | 0.2 | 86 | 65 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 65.0 | 85-65 | 85-65 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -4.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Boston Braves | NL | -0.3 | 0.0 | 78 | 73 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 73.0 | 77-73 | 77-73 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.0 | 0.2 | 74 | 76 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 74.0 | 75.0 | 74-75 | 74-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | -0.1 | 0.0 | 71 | 81 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 81.0 | 71-81 | 71-81 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.5 | 0.2 | 56 | 93 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 56.0 | 92.0 | 56-92 | 56-92 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | -1.1 | 0.3 | 52 | 99 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 99.0 | 52-99 | 52-99 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 1.8 | -0.2 | 101 | 53 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 53.0 | 100-53 | 100-53 | >99.9% | 60.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +7.2% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Yankees | AL | 1.0 | -0.1 | 94 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 60.0 | 94-60 | 94-60 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -7.2% | ||||||
| 3 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 0.4 | -0.1 | 85 | 69 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 69.0 | 85-69 | 85-69 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.5 | -0.1 | 76 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 76.0 | 76-76 | 76-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | -0.5 | 0.1 | 68 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 68.0 | 82.0 | 68-82 | 68-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -0.9 | 0.1 | 67 | 85 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 67.0 | 84.0 | 67-84 | 67-84 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Washington Nationals | AL | -0.7 | 0.1 | 66 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.0 | 86.0 | 66-86 | 66-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Chicago White Sox | AL | -1.5 | 0.1 | 53 | 99 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 99.0 | 53-99 | 53-99 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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