MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1929-10-06. This page does not update during the postseason.

Playoff Odds Table
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
NL
1Chicago CubsNL1.2-0.298540.00.098.054.098-5498-54>99.9%49.4%0.0%0.0%+0.0%
2Pittsburgh PiratesNL0.7-0.188650.00.088.065.088-6588-65<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3New York GiantsNL1.0-0.184670.00.084.067.084-6784-67<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4St. Louis CardinalsNL-0.3-0.178740.00.078.074.078-7478-74<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Philadelphia PhilliesNL-0.70.071820.00.071.082.071-8271-82<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Brooklyn RobinsNL-0.50.170830.00.070.083.070-8370-83<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Cincinnati RedsNL-0.3-0.166880.00.066.088.066-8866-88<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Boston BravesNL-1.10.256980.00.056.098.056-9856-98<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Current Remaining Average 90% Confidence Change
Tm Lg SRS rSOS W L W L W L Best Worst Pennant Win WS 1 Day 7 Days 30 Days
AL
1Philadelphia AthleticsAL1.1-0.2104460.00.0104.046.0104-46104-46>99.9%50.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2New York YankeesAL0.60.088660.00.088.066.088-6688-66<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3Cleveland IndiansAL0.20.081710.0-1.081.070.081-7081-70<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4St. Louis BrownsAL0.20.07973-1.00.078.073.078-7378-73<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Washington NationalsAL-0.40.171810.00.071.081.071-8171-81<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Detroit TigersAL-0.10.170840.00.070.084.070-8470-84<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Chicago White SoxAL-0.90.159930.00.059.093.059-9359-93<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Boston Red SoxAL-0.80.158960.00.058.096.058-9658-96<0.1%<0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%