MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1927-10-02. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.6 | 0.0 | 94 | 60 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 60.0 | 94-60 | 94-60 | >99.9% | 32.8% | 0.0% | +24.4% | +48.6% | ||||||
| 2 | New York Giants | NL | 0.8 | -0.1 | 92 | 62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 62.0 | 92-62 | 92-62 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -17.9% | -11.5% | ||||||
| 3 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 0.4 | 0.0 | 92 | 61 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 61.0 | 92-61 | 92-61 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | -6.5% | -9.4% | ||||||
| 4 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 0.4 | 0.0 | 85 | 68 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 68.0 | 85-68 | 85-68 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -27.8% | ||||||
| 5 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.5 | 0.0 | 75 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 78.0 | 75-78 | 75-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Brooklyn Robins | NL | -0.4 | 0.1 | 65 | 88 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 65.0 | 88.0 | 65-88 | 65-88 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Boston Braves | NL | -0.8 | 0.1 | 60 | 94 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 94.0 | 60-94 | 60-94 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -1.4 | 0.1 | 51 | 103 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 103.0 | 51-103 | 51-103 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Yankees | AL | 2.1 | -0.1 | 110 | 44 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 110.0 | 44.0 | 110-44 | 110-44 | >99.9% | 67.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 2 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | 0.9 | -0.1 | 91 | 63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 63.0 | 91-63 | 91-63 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 3 | Washington Nationals | AL | 0.3 | 0.0 | 85 | 69 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 69.0 | 85-69 | 85-69 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.6 | 0.0 | 82 | 71 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 71.0 | 81-71 | 81-71 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Chicago White Sox | AL | -0.7 | 0.1 | 70 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 83.0 | 70-83 | 70-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Cleveland Indians | AL | -0.6 | 0.1 | 66 | 87 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 66.0 | 86.0 | 66-86 | 66-86 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -1.3 | 0.2 | 59 | 94 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 59.0 | 94.0 | 59-94 | 59-94 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Boston Red Sox | AL | -1.3 | 0.2 | 51 | 103 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 103.0 | 51-103 | 51-103 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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