MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1909-10-07. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 1.6 | 0.0 | 111 | 42 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 111.0 | 42.0 | 111-42 | 111-42 | >99.9% | 61.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +7.4% | ||||||
| 2 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 1.5 | 0.0 | 104 | 49 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 104.0 | 49.0 | 104-49 | 104-49 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -7.4% | ||||||
| 3 | New York Giants | NL | 0.3 | -0.1 | 92 | 61 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 61.0 | 92-61 | 92-61 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 0.0 | 0.1 | 77 | 77 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 77.0 | 77-77 | 77-77 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | 0.0 | 0.1 | 74 | 79 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 79.0 | 74-79 | 74-79 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Brooklyn Superbas | NL | -1.1 | 0.2 | 55 | 98 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 98.0 | 55-98 | 55-98 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -1.3 | 0.2 | 54 | 98 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 98.0 | 54-98 | 54-98 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Boston Doves | NL | -1.2 | 0.2 | 45 | 108 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.0 | 108.0 | 45-108 | 45-108 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 1.0 | 0.1 | 98 | 54 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 98.0 | 54.0 | 98-54 | 98-54 | >99.9% | 38.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +15.5% | ||||||
| 2 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | 1.4 | -0.2 | 95 | 58 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 95.0 | 58.0 | 95-58 | 95-58 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -15.5% | ||||||
| 3 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 0.3 | 0.1 | 88 | 63 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 63.0 | 88-63 | 88-63 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.3 | 0.1 | 78 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 74.0 | 78-74 | 78-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | New York Highlanders | AL | 0.2 | 0.1 | 74 | 77 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 77.0 | 74-77 | 74-77 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Cleveland Naps | AL | -0.5 | 0.2 | 71 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 82.0 | 71-82 | 71-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | St. Louis Browns | AL | -0.9 | 0.1 | 61 | 89 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 61-89 | 61-89 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Washington Nationals | AL | -1.8 | 0.3 | 42 | 110 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 110.0 | 42-110 | 42-110 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
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